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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Spurs55%92125
23Clippers45%90124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
52.9
27.0
27
48%
4
9
1
1
0
3
0
4
7-12
58%
7-19
5-10
37%
51%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.7
49.8
21.7
40
60%
6
9
1
1
0
3
1
5
12-14
86%
8-18
3-5
44%
50%
4-9
44%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.6
43.4
22.3
15
50%
8
4
6
1
3
1
3
5
1-2
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.8
40.9
30.5
8
80%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
20.4
24.4
8
67%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
31.8
13.0
14
54%
9
0
0
0
1
0
6
3
6-9
67%
4-9
2-4
44%
45%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.3
20.0
23.0
8
56%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
5-5
100%
0-0
2-3
-
54%
1-5
20%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.6
12.2
17.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
8.3
12.7
3
61%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 32.2
5.3
17.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.9
4.2
11.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
0.9
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.4
23.7
1
3-7
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 26.3
50.0
29.6
12
81%
4
7
0
2
1
6
0
4
0-1
0%
3-3
2-5
100%
41%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 19.6
47.1
30.0
18
69%
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
8-9
89%
5-9
3-8
56%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
40.4
20.9
21
71%
7
1
0
0
1
3
0
7
3-4
75%
9-13
3-7
69%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
35.7
34.7
24
76%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
11-13
85%
5-9
5-11
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 26.1
31.1
36.1
20
56%
6
3
0
1
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
10-18
7-15
56%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
35.0
9.1
20
61%
10
2
1
0
3
3
2
8
8-10
80%
6-12
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 23.9
21.9
16.1
5
56%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.8
19.4
22.1
2
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
38%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 29.4
9.3
19.6
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
11.2
0
1-2
41%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.9
9.9
0
1-3
45%
Lionel Chalmers
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.4
7.4
0
1-1
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.