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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Cavaliers53%99114
30Magic47%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.3
48.0
41.1
33
60%
7
6
5
2
1
2
1
6
8-10
80%
11-17
8-17
65%
49%
1-6
17%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.5
42.0
34.5
27
53%
7
4
0
1
1
3
4
3
5-6
83%
11-23
7-15
48%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.5
39.0
28.4
16
48%
3
8
1
1
0
3
2
1
4-4
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.2
31.2
24.6
20
66%
4
1
0
1
1
1
3
1
2-5
40%
9-13
3-7
69%
46%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
29.0
21.6
4
22%
6
2
1
1
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
22.8
18.5
5
58%
8
1
2
1
0
0
5
3
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.0
18.3
23.8
6
80%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.4
9.8
12.2
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.9
14.8
0
3-6
47%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
12.4
0
1-2
43%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.2
7.1
0
1-1
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.2
5.1
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.1
44.4
38.5
23
66%
6
7
1
2
0
5
3
3
6-10
60%
7-10
7-14
70%
45%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.2
41.3
25.6
17
55%
5
7
3
1
1
7
3
2
2-3
67%
6-10
4-7
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.3
39.3
32.9
23
73%
10
1
0
1
2
2
3
7
3-4
75%
10-14
5-9
71%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.0
38.6
34.0
21
60%
4
5
1
1
0
2
3
1
3-6
50%
3-6
5-12
50%
45%
4-9
44%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.6
19.4
20.8
7
72%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
14.5
22.1
7
72%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 24.4
14.4
4.7
2
50%
8
1
0
0
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Jones
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
10.8
10.7
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 23.1
6.0
10.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.6
5.3
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.0
3.0
6.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.7
2.9
16.9
2
36%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.