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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pistons57%9285
26Bulls43%8984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
46.5
35.2
12
64%
13
3
5
1
1
2
5
8
0-3
0%
6-8
4-9
75%
44%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.1
45.5
39.5
11
46%
6
3
1
1
2
2
0
6
1-2
50%
2-8
6-13
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.5
45.2
34.2
28
61%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
5-7
71%
7-15
3-6
47%
43%
3-5
60%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
39.3
30.7
14
47%
7
2
1
1
3
2
1
6
1-2
50%
5-8
4-10
63%
47%
1-6
17%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.2
38.5
37.2
6
16%
8
5
0
1
0
5
2
6
2-4
50%
2-17
5-12
12%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
20.2
23.7
6
33%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.7
15.5
12.1
8
48%
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
3-7
1-3
43%
41%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.4
14.3
13.8
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
37%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.6
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
3.0
0
0-0
47%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.8
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.7
2.5
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.4
45.4
28.0
12
40%
10
3
0
1
2
1
1
9
1-2
50%
1-11
3-7
9%
45%
3-3
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
40.0
30.7
15
36%
7
5
0
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
6-14
4-9
43%
42%
1-7
14%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
31.9
29.6
6
75%
7
1
0
0
0
4
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-8
75%
43%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
27.9
17.7
10
46%
10
1
1
0
0
4
4
6
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
15.9
24.2
0
0%
1
7
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
37%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
33.6
23.9
14
35%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
5-13
4-8
38%
43%
0-5
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.5
27.7
30.0
14
57%
16
1
0
1
2
2
8
8
4-5
80%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
17.0
8.4
2
29%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
13.0
16.4
5
50%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.8
10.9
19.9
6
51%
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.0
1.7
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.3
8.6
0
2-4
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.