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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets59%9790
22SuperSonics41%9478
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.9
41.8
39.1
38
65%
11
4
0
2
0
2
0
11
7-7
100%
11-18
9-18
61%
47%
3-8
38%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.4
36.2
34.9
7
70%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.6
32.2
27.4
20
73%
13
1
0
0
3
1
1
12
12-13
92%
4-8
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.0
24.0
27.2
6
38%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.6
21.7
12.8
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.8
21.8
22.0
5
37%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.7
20.2
14.0
10
50%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.0
18.3
17.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.8
15.5
18.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.4
8.3
18.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.4
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
1.7
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
42.9
30.2
12
61%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
42.0
37.8
18
39%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
46%
1-9
11%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.2
40.8
29.9
3
15%
3
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-4
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.9
24.1
27.8
7
54%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.4
11.8
15.3
2
14%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
50%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.1
32.8
12.6
13
49%
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
3-3
100%
5-12
2-3
42%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
27.6
30.1
15
59%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
2-7
4-10
29%
44%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
18.0
25.2
8
48%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 27.6
4.5
0
1-1
43%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.0
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.