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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Magic17%8994
4Pistons83%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.2
39.6
31.9
30
71%
5
8
5
1
0
2
2
3
5-7
71%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.3
36.1
34.6
17
44%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
3-3
100%
7-18
5-10
39%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.1
35.8
39.7
6
23%
2
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-13
6-14
23%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
28.2
18.5
0
0%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.7
22.9
10.7
11
56%
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
4-8
1-3
50%
39%
0-0
-
Mark Jones
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
24.4
10.8
6
44%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
37%
0-2
0%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 23.1
21.2
9.0
8
58%
2
4
0
0
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
36%
0-2
0%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.0
19.6
5.5
7
72%
10
1
0
0
1
1
1
9
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 24.4
12.0
9.2
9
44%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-5
60%
3-8
1-2
38%
45%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.0
34.8
1
5-12
42%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.6
20.0
1
2-4
50%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.6
10.0
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.1
30.0
39.2
14
93%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
8-8
100%
3-4
6-12
75%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
29.1
36.6
9
51%
13
1
2
2
0
0
5
8
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.5
27.6
35.8
10
54%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.2
25.3
35.7
14
59%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
23.4
31.8
11
62%
7
3
0
1
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
5-6
5-10
83%
50%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.6
20.9
3.4
3
19%
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
0-5
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.7
20.4
12.9
14
57%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
20.1
21.5
12
68%
8
2
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.4
17.2
13.6
5
34%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.7
15.1
2.3
5
43%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
1-4
0-1
25%
42%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.8
6.9
2.6
3
52%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
4.2
2.7
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.