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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks62%10495
21SuperSonics38%10090
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
36.7
29.9
15
50%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
6-12
3-7
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.8
35.7
32.8
31
76%
7
2
1
1
0
2
0
7
9-10
90%
11-15
6-12
73%
48%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.7
34.6
25.2
10
79%
9
0
1
0
1
3
4
5
0-3
0%
5-5
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
27.9
28.6
5
30%
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
3-3
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.1
23.3
33.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-8
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.4
25.9
13.5
14
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
3-3
100%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.5
24.4
21.9
12
61%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
14.0
14.7
5
51%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
9.4
10.9
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
7.7
17.2
1
57%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 33.1
0.4
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.8
4.4
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
38.5
38.3
19
44%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
5-14
6-12
36%
46%
2-6
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
35.5
11.1
12
43%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
1-7
14%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
31.1
34.1
5
28%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
43%
1-5
20%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.9
24.3
26.1
6
53%
13
2
0
1
0
1
8
5
4-6
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.4
20.2
14.4
10
56%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.1
25.7
12.7
17
54%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.3
18.9
33.0
10
83%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
18.3
22.3
4
50%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.0
15.6
10.6
5
66%
7
0
0
0
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
9.2
28.6
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
44%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.1
2.9
20.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 27.6
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.