Final Win Prob. pScore
2623%90
73
977%99
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
83.98794.9
DET logo Pistons
110.09083.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET73
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot73
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMilicic P.FOUL (P2.T4)73
99
Q4 - 0:29.0DETDupree Layup (20 PTS) (Arroyo 8 AST)73
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETDupree Violation:Defensive Goaltending73
97
Q4 - 0:46.0MILGoldwire Layup (6 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)73
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Dupree 19' Jump Shot71
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:13MILGoldwire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)71
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:29MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DETMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MILBooth Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MILBooth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DETMISS Milicic 14' Fadeaway Jumper71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MILStrickland P.FOUL (P2.T2)71
97
Q4 - 2:25DETDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MILMISS Fizer 8' Hook Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DETDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MILGoldwire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MILGoldwire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DETMilicic S.FOUL (P1.T3)69
94
Q4 - 3:24DETDupree Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Delfino 7 AST)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MILMISS Fizer 8' Jump Shot69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MILSUB: Booth FOR Pachulia69
92
Q4 - 3:58MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)69
92
Q4 - 4:10DETMilicic Dunk (4 PTS) (Delfino 6 AST)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MILMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37DETDupree Dunk (16 PTS) (Delfino 5 AST)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MILFizer Layup (8 PTS) (Goldwire 3 AST)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15DETMISS Milicic 17' Jump Shot67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33MILMISS Fizer 18' Jump Shot67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54DETMilicic Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MILMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19DETMISS Dupree 18' Jump Shot67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:32DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)67
86
Q4 - 6:32DETArroyo Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:3267
85
Q4 - 6:32MILGoldwire Foul Turnover (P1.T12)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:32MILGoldwire OFF.Foul (P1)67
85
Q4 - 6:35MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:37DETMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:43MILDelfino STEAL (1 STL)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52DETDupree Dunk (14 PTS)67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:58DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 7:01DETMISS Campbell 13' Turnaround Jump Shot67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 7:22MILKukoc 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)67
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 7:37DETSUB: Milicic FOR McDyess65
83
Q4 - 7:37DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)65
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:07MILGoldwire Layup (2 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)65
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:20DETDupree 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)63
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:36DETPISTONS Rebound63
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38MILMISS Goldwire 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 8:48DETCampbell P.FOUL (P2.T2)63
81
Q4 - 9:02MILBucks Rebound63
81
Q4 - 9:02DETMISS Dupree Free Throw Technical63
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 9:02MILFizer T.FOUL (P2.T1)63
81
Q4 - 9:02MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)63
81
Q4 - 9:09DETMcDyess Dunk (13 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)63
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 9:13DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 9:15MILDupree BLOCK (3 BLK)63
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:33DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)63
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 9:33MILFizer S.FOUL (P2.T1)63
78
Q4 - 9:33DETMcDyess 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)63
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 9:48DETSUB: Delfino FOR Billups63
76
Q4 - 9:48DETSUB: Dupree FOR Prince63
76
Q4 - 9:48MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T10)63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 9:48MILPachulia OFF.Foul (P1)63
76
Q4 - 10:14DETArroyo Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)63
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 10:19MILBillups STEAL (1 STL)63
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 10:27MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q4 - 10:29DETMISS Campbell 17' Jump Shot63
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q4 - 10:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 10:50MILMISS Kukoc 6' Hook Shot63
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q4 - 11:12DETPrince Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)63
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 11:16DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q4 - 11:19MILMISS Pachulia 7' Hook Shot63
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 11:37DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.T1)63
72
Q4 - 11:42DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)63
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q4 - 12:0063
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DET63
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot63
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILSUB: Fizer FOR Smith63
71
Q3 - 0:34.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILSmith S.FOUL (P4.PN)63
70
Q3 - 0:34.0MILWallace STEAL (2 STL)63
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)63
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 1:10MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Gadzuric61
70
Q3 - 1:10DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T9)61
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 1:10DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P3)61
70
Q3 - 1:21MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)61
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 1:40DETPrince Layup (15 PTS)59
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 1:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 1:45DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot59
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 2:07MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)59
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 2:23DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 2:23DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 2:23MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Mason57
66
Q3 - 2:23MILGadzuric L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)57
66
Q3 - 2:23DETPISTONS Rebound57
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 2:24DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot57
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 2:39MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 2:39MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 2:39MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)55
66
Q3 - 2:39DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.T3)55
66
Q3 - 3:03DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)55
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 3:17MILMason 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)55
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 3:30DETPrince Tip Shot (13 PTS)53
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 3:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 3:36DETMISS Prince Layup53
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 3:58MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)53
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 4:07MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 4:08DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 4:28MILStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)51
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 4:46DETMcDyess 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)49
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 5:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 5:08MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 249
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 5:08DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace49
60
Q3 - 5:08MILBucks Rebound49
60
Q3 - 5:08MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 249
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 5:08DETWallace S.FOUL (P4.T2)49
60
Q3 - 5:20DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
60
Q3 - 5:20MILBucks Rebound49
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 5:21MILBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)49
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q3 - 5:23DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 5:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 5:25MILMISS Gadzuric 8' Jump Shot49
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 5:45DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)49
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 6:09MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)49
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 6:18DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q3 - 6:18DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 6:18MILWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T4)47
55
Q3 - 6:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot47
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 6:51DETWallace 8' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)47
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q3 - 7:14MILGadzuric 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)47
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 7:16MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)45
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q3 - 7:17MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot45
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q3 - 7:40MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 245
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 7:41MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd45
53
Q3 - 7:41DETPISTONS Rebound45
53
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 245
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 7:41MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P2.T3)45
53
Q3 - 7:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)45
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 7:58MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot45
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q3 - 8:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 8:20DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q3 - 8:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)45
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 8:32DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q3 - 8:49MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 8:49MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q3 - 8:49DETWallace S.FOUL (P3.T1)43
53
Q3 - 8:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 9:01DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot43
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q3 - 9:07MILMason P.FOUL (P3.T2)43
53
Q3 - 9:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)43
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q3 - 9:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 243
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q3 - 9:09DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q3 - 9:09MILSmith S.FOUL (P3.T1)43
52
Q3 - 9:26MILWilliams 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 9:54DETWallace 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)41
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q3 - 10:07DETPISTONS Rebound41
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q3 - 10:08MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot41
8.6%
50
91.4%
Q3 - 10:25DETPrince Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)41
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q3 - 10:47MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)41
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q3 - 10:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)39
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q3 - 11:01DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot39
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q3 - 11:16MILMISS Mason 7' Running Jump Shot39
8.7%
48
91.3%
Q3 - 11:39DETPrince Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)39
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q3 - 11:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q3 - 11:48MILMISS Redd Layup39
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q3 - 12:0039
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL39
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound39
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Gadzuric Layup39
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
12.1%
46
87.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Williams Layup39
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETDupree Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETSUB: Billups FOR Campbell39
45
Q2 - 0:09.0DETDupree Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILMason S.FOUL (P2.T4)39
44
Q2 - 0:12.0MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)39
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILBucks Rebound39
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0MILDupree BLOCK (2 BLK)39
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)39
44
Q2 - 0:31.0DETSUB: Prince FOR Wallace39
44
Q2 - 0:31.0DETDelfino Violation:Kicked Ball39
44
Q2 - 0:35.0DETArroyo Layup (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)39
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILMISS Williams Layup39
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETDupree P.FOUL (P1.T4)39
42
Q2 - 1:01DETArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)39
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 1:19MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)39
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 1:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 1:25MILMISS Mason Alley Oop Dunk37
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 1:36DETDupree Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)37
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 1:48MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)37
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 2:06DETDelfino 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)37
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 2:24DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 2:25MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 237
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 2:25MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
23.0%
38
77.0%
Q2 - 2:25DETDelfino S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
38
Q2 - 2:40MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Pachulia36
38
Q2 - 2:40MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)36
38
Q2 - 2:40DETArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)36
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 2:58MILMason Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 3:16DETDupree Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 3:16MILSUB: Williams FOR Goldwire34
37
Q2 - 3:16DETDupree Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 3:16MILMason S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
36
Q2 - 3:20DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 3:21MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot34
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 3:43DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)34
21.0%
36
79.0%
Q2 - 4:02MILMason 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 4:24DETDupree Dunk (4 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)32
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 4:39DETPISTONS Rebound32
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 4:42DETMISS Dupree 11' Running Jump Shot32
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 4:58MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Goldwire 2 AST)32
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 5:06MILSUB: Smith FOR Fizer30
31
Q2 - 5:06DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess30
31
Q2 - 5:06DETCampbell P.FOUL (P1.T2)30
31
Q2 - 5:23DETDelfino 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 5:44MILPachulia 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Goldwire 1 AST)30
24.6%
29
75.4%
Q2 - 5:57MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 5:59DETMISS Campbell 16' Jump Shot28
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 6:07DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
29
Q2 - 6:07MILSUB: Redd FOR Kukoc28
29
Q2 - 6:07MILSUB: Mason FOR Strickland28
29
Q2 - 6:21MILCampbell STEAL (1 STL)28
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q2 - 6:28DETCampbell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q2 - 6:43MILFizer Layup (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)28
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q2 - 7:03MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
29
Q2 - 7:04DETMISS Dupree Free Throw 1 of 126
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 7:04MILStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
29
Q2 - 7:04DETDupree Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)26
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q2 - 7:13DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 7:16MILDupree BLOCK (1 BLK)26
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q2 - 7:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 7:25DETMISS Delfino Layup26
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q2 - 7:42DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 7:44MILMISS Goldwire 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q2 - 7:59DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 7:59DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q2 - 7:59MILFizer S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
25
Q2 - 8:11DETArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q2 - 8:11DETSUB: Dupree FOR Prince26
24
Q2 - 8:1126
24
Q2 - 8:11MILBucks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Strickland )26
24
Q2 - 8:32MILKukoc 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q2 - 8:41DETMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q2 - 8:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q2 - 8:58MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot24
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q2 - 8:59MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q2 - 9:01MILMISS Pachulia Layup24
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q2 - 9:11MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q2 - 9:14DETMISS Delfino 20' Jump Shot24
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q2 - 9:35MILFizer 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q2 - 9:38MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q2 - 9:40MILCampbell BLOCK (1 BLK)22
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 10:05DETCampbell Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)22
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 10:26MILPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
22
Q2 - 10:26MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd22
22
Q2 - 10:26DETJump Ball Arroyo vs. Pachulia: Tip to Delfino22
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q2 - 10:29MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Arroyo Layup22
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q2 - 10:48MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q2 - 10:48DETSUB: Delfino FOR Hamilton21
22
Q2 - 10:48MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q2 - 10:48DETHamilton S.FOUL (P2.T1)20
22
Q2 - 10:48MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q2 - 10:49MILHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)20
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q2 - 11:03DETMcDyess 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)20
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q2 - 11:23DETPISTONS Rebound20
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q2 - 11:24MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot20
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q2 - 11:29DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q2 - 11:45DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q2 - 11:47MILMISS Fizer 11' Jump Shot20
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q2 - 12:0020
20
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound20
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 40' 3PT Jump Shot20
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)20
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)20
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILWilliams Layup (5 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 0:30.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)20
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T4)17
18
Q1 - 0:33.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot17
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETMISS Billups Layup17
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILFizer 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 1:15DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)15
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 1:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 1:26MILMISS Gadzuric Layup15
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 1:4315
16
Q1 - 1:57DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 2:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 2:14MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot15
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 2:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS McDyess 11' Jump Shot15
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 2:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 2:37MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot15
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 2:58DETMcDyess Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)15
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 3:20MILMason 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)15
25.8%
12
74.2%
Q1 - 3:46DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 3:56DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 3:59DETMISS Prince Layup13
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 4:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 4:03DETMISS Prince Layup13
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 4:08MILSUB: Fizer FOR Smith13
10
Q1 - 4:08MILSmith L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)13
10
Q1 - 4:08DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 4:09DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot13
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 4:20DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 4:22MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot13
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 4:31MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 4:33DETMISS Wallace Layup13
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 4:49MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 4:49MILBucks Rebound12
10
Q1 - 4:49MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 212
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 4:49DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
10
Q1 - 4:53MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 4:55DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot12
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 5:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 5:12MILMISS Redd Layup12
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 5:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 5:16MILMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot12
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 5:35DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
10
Q1 - 5:35MILBucks Rebound12
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 5:38DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot12
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 5:57MILSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 6:15DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 6:15MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
9
Q1 - 6:15DETWallace Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)10
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 6:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
24.5%
7
75.5%
Q1 - 6:25MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot10
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 6:48DETWallace Dunk (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)10
25.9%
7
74.1%
Q1 - 7:05MILWilliams Tip Shot (3 PTS)10
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 7:06MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 7:07MILMISS Mason Alley Oop Layup8
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 7:11DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 7:27MILRedd Palming Turnover (P1.T3)8
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 7:32MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 7:34MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot8
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 7:55MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 7:55DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 28
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 7:55DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 7:55MILSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 8:11MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:11DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace7
4
Q1 - 8:11MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 8:11DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T2)6
4
Q1 - 8:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 8:21DETMISS Wallace Layup6
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 8:35DETPISTONS Rebound6
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 8:37MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot6
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 8:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 8:44DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot6
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 9:03MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 26
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 9:03MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 9:03DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
4
Q1 - 9:04MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:07MILPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)5
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:11DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Gadzuric Layup5
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:45MILBucks Rebound5
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 9:47DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 9:52MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)5
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 10:10DETPrince Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)5
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 10:21MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 10:28MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 10:29DETMISS Wallace Layup2
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 10:47MILSmith 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:03DETWallace 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 11:16MILWilliams Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 11:33MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:34DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:36DETMISS Wallace Layup0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 11:49DETMISS Wallace Layup0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Prince0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.84 42.0%
DET
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
28
43%
DET
26
39
67%
Midrange
MIL
16
42
38%
DET
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
DET
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIL
14
19
74%
DET
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason1547%7.5 / 16
J. Smith1464%7.0 / 11
M. Williams840%4.0 / 10
M. Redd836%4.0 / 11
M. Fizer840%4.0 / 10
A. Goldwire660%3.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric425%2.0 / 8
E. Strickland433%2.0 / 6
T. Kukoc467%2.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Dupree2071%10.0 / 14
T. Prince1747%8.5 / 18
B. Wallace1542%7.5 / 18
A. McDyess1372%6.5 / 9
R. Wallace788%3.5 / 4
C. Delfino758%3.5 / 6
C. Arroyo675%3.0 / 4
C. Billups429%2.0 / 7
R. Hamilton4100%2.0 / 2
D. Milicic450%2.0 / 4
E. Campbell225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
73
+14
-14
87
DET
80
+14
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.84 42.0%
DET
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
103.0
MIL 83.9
DET 110.0 +26.1
Pace
93.5
89.5
MIL 94.9 +11.1
DET 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.5
MIL 15.2 −2.0
DET 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
47.2%
MIL 38.8%
DET 51.9% +13.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.4%
MIL 14.2%
DET 11.0% −3.2%
ORB %
29.0%
31.3%
MIL 25.6%
DET 28.9% +3.3%
FTrt
33.9
33.5
MIL 25.0
DET 30.8 +5.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
62.7%
MIL 58.6%
DET 82.1% +23.5%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
MIL 8.0% +1.3%
DET 6.7%
BLK %
5.4%
9.4%
MIL 5.7%
DET 11.4% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
49.3%
MIL 42.0%
DET 52.7% +10.7%
Rim FG%
54.1%
55.5%
MIL 42.9%
DET 66.7% +23.8%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.7%
MIL 38.1% +5.8%
DET 32.3%
3P %
35.1%
34.5%
MIL 16.7%
DET 37.5% +20.8%
FT %
77.2%
73.9%
MIL 73.7%
DET 75.0% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
35.1%
MIL 36.8%
DET 50.0% +13.2%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
48.5%
MIL 55.3%
DET 39.7% −15.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.4%
MIL 7.9%
DET 10.3% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions8790
Possession Minutes22.025.8
Points7399
Rebounds3843
Assists1732
Steals76
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)32 (4)
Field Goals29-7639-78
At-the-Rim FG12-2826-39
Midrange FG16-4210-31
2-Point FG28-7036-70
3-Point FG1-63-8
Free Throws14-1918-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 28
27.7
15
47%
3
1
1
0
1
3
0
3
7-8
88%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
27.3
8
40%
3
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
25.5
4
25%
9
1
1
1
1
3
4
5
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 30
24.4
14
64%
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
24.0
8
36%
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
24.0
4
33%
4
1
1
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 262 · 27
23.6
8
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 34
20.7
6
60%
1
3
2
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 37
20.3
4
67%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
18.5
2
17%
7
1
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
42%
38
17
7
4
14
0
11
27
14-19
74%
28-70
40%
1-6
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.