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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies44%96102
10Nuggets56%98111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
35.7
33.2
17
59%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
3-9
4-7
33%
51%
3-4
75%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
32.2
28.5
16
69%
11
3
1
1
1
1
4
7
4-6
67%
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.4
23.3
26.4
10
36%
1
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
48%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
16.9
32.6
11
63%
1
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
16.8
32.0
6
44%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
6-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
30.3
22.3
16
63%
5
3
2
1
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
41%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.3
22.9
16.7
7
44%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
22.9
13.9
10
63%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.8
21.4
20.2
5
43%
2
10
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.1
3.4
3.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
2.1
7.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.8
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
36.1
31.9
22
57%
5
1
0
1
1
4
3
2
12-14
86%
5-13
6-13
38%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
33.0
29.4
15
72%
6
8
1
1
0
4
1
5
1-1
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
48%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
31.5
21.8
17
65%
8
5
2
1
1
2
1
7
7-7
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.9
24.8
20.0
8
57%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
20.1
27.8
7
51%
8
3
1
1
6
3
0
8
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.9
29.0
25.4
10
50%
1
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
6-7
86%
2-5
4-8
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
26.3
19.7
14
59%
15
1
0
1
1
2
9
6
6-9
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
21.2
18.3
11
61%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
17.9
19.7
7
47%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
10.8
0
1-1
53%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.3
9.1
0
0-1
40%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.1
6.9
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.