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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks51%99100
30Bobcats49%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.1
43.0
38.0
17
48%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
4-11
36%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
41.3
34.3
19
80%
4
9
3
1
0
5
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
5-10
33%
49%
5-8
63%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.5
33.3
27.6
16
62%
11
2
1
1
0
0
1
10
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.1
28.0
19.4
7
39%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.5
26.8
22.1
14
79%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.8
20.6
7.6
12
70%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
6-8
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28.5
20.1
20.5
4
29%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.9
12.3
21.6
1
13%
6
0
1
1
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.4
11.7
24.7
8
103%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-3
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.9
3.1
16.2
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.2
1.7
0
0-1
44%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.1
1.7
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
40.2
25.0
12
35%
11
3
0
1
1
2
7
4
2-5
40%
5-15
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
37.4
31.0
14
53%
14
4
1
2
2
3
5
9
0-3
0%
7-12
3-7
58%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
34.4
28.5
15
52%
6
2
2
1
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
7-9
3-8
78%
42%
0-5
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
32.2
25.8
13
55%
1
7
1
2
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
14.2
36.2
6
39%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
6-13
33%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.8
25.7
9.4
10
46%
6
2
0
0
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-10
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.0
20.3
16.9
4
41%
3
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
19.6
17.7
10
60%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.2
16.0
12.2
14
72%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
41%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
22.9
0
4-8
52%
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
9.9
0
1-2
43%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
5.4
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.