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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets30%9387
6Rockets70%100115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
35.0
33.0
16
38%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
8-9
89%
4-16
6-13
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
33.8
30.3
12
47%
1
9
3
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
30.9
25.3
22
60%
9
2
1
1
0
4
3
6
2-3
67%
10-17
5-10
59%
48%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
26.0
22.4
12
58%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-10
40%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.9
15.7
21.9
4
106%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
53%
1-1
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.9
29.5
26.5
9
60%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
43%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
21.0
19.2
2
33%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
19.3
8.6
6
55%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
12.9
19.3
3
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.1
11.7
5.4
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.3
4.2
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
24.8
1
4-8
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.9
37.7
37.6
32
66%
2
8
0
2
3
2
0
2
6-7
86%
4-14
8-17
29%
48%
6-7
86%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.4
32.7
29.7
10
48%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.6
23.6
30.7
13
61%
11
3
1
0
5
2
3
8
3-6
50%
5-8
7-12
63%
54%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.6
15.4
19.1
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.1
13.5
29.0
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.0
30.0
18.8
13
65%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.8
29.8
22.3
23
89%
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
46%
3-4
75%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.7
24.8
20.0
7
70%
1
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.8
21.8
14.2
11
84%
12
0
0
0
3
0
5
7
7-8
88%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.4
5.5
11.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
2.6
1.8
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.