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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies30%8975
5Spurs70%9597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
34.1
26.2
17
55%
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
5
7-8
88%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
29.9
33.4
6
33%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
23.0
26.7
4
50%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.4
21.2
25.1
2
25%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
16.4
29.4
5
21%
3
0
1
1
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
1-10
4-9
10%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
24.7
24.9
7
38%
2
1
4
1
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
0-2
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
23.1
17.6
4
29%
2
0
4
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.8
19.7
20.8
5
63%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.3
12.9
19.5
2
26%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
7.1
6.2
6
51%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
41%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.1
7.1
4.4
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.8
34.9
31.2
15
58%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
28.6
33.1
10
63%
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
7-13
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
27.1
22.7
8
51%
8
0
0
1
5
1
2
6
0-2
0%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
22.4
20.0
11
42%
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6
5-5
100%
3-11
5-9
27%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.7
19.4
26.7
13
86%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
7-8
88%
3-3
4-7
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.3
23.1
22.1
10
113%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
2-3
-
54%
3-4
75%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
19.4
13.8
14
79%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
4-5
80%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.6
18.7
27.4
4
29%
4
1
4
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 32.3
17.5
15.1
6
60%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
16.7
14.8
2
33%
7
2
0
0
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.9
7.1
4.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.6
5.3
11.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.