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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Kings21%10698
2Suns79%116116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
25.4
35.4
16
43%
1
5
2
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
5-12
6-12
42%
47%
1-5
20%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.6
24.5
37.2
8
31%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 27.7
24.3
33.2
11
51%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
5-10
6-13
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 28.9
23.6
24.4
2
20%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
22.7
28.3
7
39%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.4
25.3
21.6
9
38%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-10
4-8
30%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.2
23.5
7.1
10
56%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.1
23.1
3.9
2
29%
8
5
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.9
22.6
13.1
17
55%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
6-12
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.2
19.3
15.5
14
44%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
6-15
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 23.0
5.7
2.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.9
18.5
1
2-5
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 23.8
34.8
40.8
22
73%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.0
32.8
11.9
7
35%
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
32.7
35.0
38
68%
9
0
0
1
3
1
2
7
8-11
73%
15-22
8-15
68%
54%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 26.9
31.0
38.2
17
62%
8
1
2
2
3
0
3
5
6-6
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.2
26.0
35.4
4
67%
6
11
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.4
22.0
17.6
17
100%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
7-8
88%
5-5
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.5
21.6
31.3
4
29%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
12.0
4.7
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
52%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 31.2
10.6
7.7
2
25%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
6.7
2.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
5.9
16.0
1
28%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-4
25%
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Paul Shirley
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
3.7
2.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.