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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pacers60%9888
31Magic40%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.1
40.5
19.7
19
57%
3
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
4-4
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.6
36.1
31.1
13
45%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-6
17%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
29.2
23.4
16
55%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
4-6
67%
6-12
6-13
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.1
28.7
25.3
7
72%
7
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.0
28.2
32.6
10
35%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
4-5
80%
3-9
5-11
33%
46%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.5
23.7
18.0
11
138%
5
2
0
0
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
3-3
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.3
19.0
21.2
0
0%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.0
18.1
15.8
7
38%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.7
16.4
15.2
5
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
1-4
25%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
31.6
1
3-8
46%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.2
16.5
1
2-3
47%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
2.1
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
43.2
24.7
24
52%
6
6
2
1
0
4
1
5
5-5
100%
8-19
4-9
42%
45%
1-2
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.0
39.4
29.7
18
65%
2
3
0
1
1
4
2
0
3-4
75%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.4
38.0
31.1
17
61%
9
2
3
1
1
1
2
7
5-9
56%
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.2
34.4
31.1
9
64%
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
31.9
21.7
12
52%
9
1
0
0
2
0
1
8
4-6
67%
4-9
2-4
44%
49%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.7
22.0
19.3
6
43%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.6
16.5
11.9
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 24.4
9.6
15.8
3
31%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 23.2
5.0
21.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Mark Jones
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
14.3
0
2-4
44%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.0
11.9
0
2-3
50%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.7
6.8
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.