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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs45%9192
7Grizzlies55%9294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.7
33.4
23.7
16
53%
3
8
1
1
1
3
2
1
5-5
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
31.6
24.0
8
45%
15
0
0
1
3
1
8
7
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
28.4
16.1
12
75%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
28.0
21.5
17
59%
6
2
0
0
4
0
1
5
3-3
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.8
23.8
32.0
4
22%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.3
22.9
22.2
2
50%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 32.3
22.0
16.0
23
90%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
8-9
3-6
89%
45%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.6
20.5
23.5
4
18%
7
0
2
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-4
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.9
19.6
6.3
4
29%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
1-1
17%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
5.4
15.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.7
4.3
9.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
30.8
1
6-12
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
33.6
31.6
28
63%
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-3
0%
8-13
4-7
62%
50%
4-8
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
30.3
25.4
6
34%
7
0
1
1
0
0
3
4
4-4
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
30.1
28.4
20
73%
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
4-4
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.4
29.6
23.7
2
18%
1
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
28.1
25.1
6
39%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.4
23.0
9.6
16
70%
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
4
6-10
60%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.9
18.4
20.4
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.6
17.7
19.2
8
63%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
14.7
24.5
6
44%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.3
14.4
17.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
6.9
0
1-2
43%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.1
5.6
0
1-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.