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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Lakers26%10199
15Warriors74%109126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.7
37.3
27.1
22
37%
6
5
1
1
0
6
3
3
4-6
67%
9-23
4-9
39%
47%
0-4
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
34.4
33.8
18
83%
11
1
5
1
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
4-7
57%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.1
32.2
22.7
8
52%
6
5
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-6
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.7
26.9
31.8
12
67%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
21.1
23.4
10
71%
9
1
0
0
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.1
23.8
15.6
0
0%
5
7
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
19.9
4.4
19
66%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
6-9
0-1
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
17.5
19.9
0
0%
5
2
0
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
0-6
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
14.9
15.2
6
38%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
3-7
2-3
43%
47%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.0
12.0
6.7
4
29%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
45%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.1
33.9
1
6-13
45%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 37.2
9.7
0
1-3
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.0
32.4
35.8
24
70%
1
13
3
2
0
3
0
1
5-7
71%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
5-10
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.0
30.4
30.8
19
83%
9
6
0
1
0
1
4
5
1-1
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
27.1
29.6
17
45%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
27.1
25.1
7
48%
13
2
1
0
2
0
4
9
1-3
33%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.6
23.5
32.8
10
56%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
50%
0-3
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.7
29.0
19.5
10
67%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
26.6
20.3
25
92%
4
1
2
1
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
4-5
80%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.0
20.9
18.1
4
69%
10
0
0
1
2
0
3
7
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
13.3
8.7
8
45%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.0
9.7
4.0
2
25%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
0-2
0%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
13.4
0
2-4
52%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.8
4.2
0
1-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.