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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
34Hawks14%9386
1376ers86%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.4
42.3
35.2
18
48%
13
3
0
1
3
5
2
11
2-2
100%
8-15
5-12
53%
45%
0-3
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.8
40.0
37.3
15
49%
6
5
2
1
0
3
3
3
5-5
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.0
29.9
27.1
20
76%
3
4
0
1
0
5
0
3
7-7
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
27.2
20.5
12
57%
4
1
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.6
9.0
20.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 30.0
32.7
12.1
5
64%
10
0
3
0
0
1
4
6
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.4
25.0
14.7
6
26%
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-6
50%
0-5
1-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.3
12.9
14.7
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
11.7
23.1
2
25%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.5
9.3
15.7
6
43%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.2
12.3
0
2-4
42%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.6
7.8
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.1
42.0
30.1
21
61%
6
2
3
1
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
4-12
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.2
28.4
33.3
12
55%
4
5
3
2
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
58%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
21.5
22.2
2
33%
9
0
2
1
2
3
0
9
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
56%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.8
17.9
16.5
2
25%
3
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 29.9
12.0
41.0
16
63%
0
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-8
9-19
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
31.7
6.2
16
66%
0
2
0
0
1
6
0
0
3-5
60%
5-6
1-2
83%
45%
1-4
25%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
23.9
4.9
16
83%
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5
4-6
67%
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
2-3
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.4
19.3
10.4
4
50%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 30.3
18.7
23.3
12
69%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
6-6
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 32.5
10.7
19.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.3
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.