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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons62%9286
31Bobcats38%8897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.6
31.7
23.4
6
44%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.8
30.6
15.6
9
42%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
5-6
83%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
21.7
29.2
12
50%
10
0
1
1
4
0
3
7
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.1
20.5
30.6
13
93%
0
3
0
1
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
5-10
83%
51%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.6
16.3
25.2
2
26%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.2
22.1
14.8
13
75%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-6
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.7
21.6
17.2
9
37%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-10
2-5
30%
42%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
20.4
23.1
6
30%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
52%
0-0
-
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.5
19.9
2.4
6
34%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.7
19.1
21.3
6
75%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.4
16.0
12.8
4
40%
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
11.9
0
2-4
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
41.6
23.7
16
41%
19
1
2
1
2
2
4
15
4-8
50%
6-16
4-8
38%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
38.5
32.6
17
66%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
40%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
35.0
27.1
15
59%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
5-6
83%
5-10
4-9
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
34.6
20.3
14
60%
5
13
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-6
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
28.7
27.3
11
57%
4
2
3
1
2
1
1
3
5-6
83%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.2
20.9
22.4
12
87%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
39%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.8
16.4
19.9
8
50%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.0
14.7
24.3
0
0%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
9.5
22.5
4
34%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
12.0
0
1-2
39%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
11.3
0
2-4
49%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.