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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks40%96108
7Grizzlies60%9988
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
27.9
26.8
27
83%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
10-12
4-8
83%
48%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.8
25.6
31.2
16
49%
8
5
1
1
0
1
2
6
10-12
83%
3-11
5-12
27%
47%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.8
25.4
26.8
6
53%
7
2
0
0
2
2
3
4
4-6
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
25.3
21.3
5
83%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.1
21.8
29.4
11
69%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
22.1
16.9
2
25%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
18.0
6.3
4
29%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-1
29%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.5
17.6
22.8
13
66%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-8
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.5
16.0
21.2
10
85%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.8
15.6
9.6
2
35%
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
13.8
17.6
8
69%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 33.1
11.0
13.5
4
67%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
26.1
25.9
7
39%
9
2
0
1
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
24.8
28.7
18
91%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
8-9
6-11
89%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
23.4
31.7
12
64%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.4
21.3
25.5
2
33%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
21.1
27.0
2
53%
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.6
29.3
18.7
13
67%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
5-6
83%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.4
27.8
16.5
11
41%
4
1
1
1
1
2
3
1
3-3
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.3
26.2
16.8
12
47%
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
6-6
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.9
20.1
19.9
9
52%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
13.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.1
6.6
4.5
2
100%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
20.9
1
2-5
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.