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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
33Jazz22%9589
15Warriors78%105106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.9
35.2
31.1
22
57%
10
3
1
1
0
2
6
4
2-5
40%
10-16
6-11
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.4
31.8
25.9
11
54%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
7-14
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.9
29.6
32.7
16
56%
6
1
1
1
1
4
4
2
4-5
80%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
24.0
29.3
9
35%
8
2
2
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
23.2
24.3
4
32%
2
5
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-4
2-6
25%
39%
0-1
0%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.9
29.9
22.3
7
30%
6
0
0
1
0
1
5
1
2-4
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
42%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.2
29.0
22.5
12
44%
12
0
0
1
0
2
4
8
2-4
50%
5-12
3-8
42%
44%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.4
24.8
16.6
6
28%
0
6
0
1
1
5
0
0
4-4
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
43%
0-2
0%
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 30.1
6.9
14.6
2
50%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 31.4
5.6
11.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.6
8.1
0
1-2
45%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.6
4.7
0
1-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.0
34.1
33.3
23
66%
2
9
2
2
0
7
0
2
6-10
60%
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
3-6
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.0
32.3
29.9
9
38%
6
2
2
1
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.6
31.0
28.1
18
92%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
30.9
28.2
18
50%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
7-9
78%
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
29.2
25.6
11
85%
9
1
0
0
3
1
5
4
1-1
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.7
27.7
23.7
15
59%
2
4
4
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
19.2
22.9
6
39%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.1
13.7
19.1
2
50%
7
0
0
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
13.6
11.3
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.0
8.3
7.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
38%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
8.7
0
1-3
50%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.8
4.2
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.