FinalWin Prob.pScore
1140%89
108
660%92
66
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
117.49292.3
MIA logo MIA
71.79292.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI108
100%
66
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIKhryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
100%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot108
100%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHIGriffin 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)108
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)106
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05CHIKhryapa 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)106
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T23)104
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)103
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)102
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot102
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06CHIGriffin 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T16)102
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)102
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Hite 10' Jump Shot102
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41CHIAllen Layup (4 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)102
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58CHIMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Hite 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28CHIMISS Griffin 21' Jump Shot100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAHite Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T22)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37CHIHite STEAL (1 STL)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Wright Driving Finger Roll100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55CHIKapono STEAL (1 STL)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIASimien Foul Turnover (P1.T21)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21CHIMISS Khryapa 20' Jump Shot100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:45CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHite Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01CHIMISS Khryapa Free Throw 2 of 297
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01CHIKhryapa Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:18MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIASimien 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)93
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:03MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17CHISefolosha 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)93
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 6:56CHISefolosha 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35CHIMISS Allen 19' Turnaround Jump Shot89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:43CHIBulls Rebound89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:43CHIMISS Thomas Layup89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Quinn 5' Running Jump Shot89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)89
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAQuinn 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)86
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:40CHIAllen Tip Shot (2 PTS)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 8:41CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 8:44CHIMISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot84
99.8%
57
0.2%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)84
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 9:14CHISefolosha Tip Shot (2 PTS)84
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 9:16CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 9:18CHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot82
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 9:38CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot82
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 10:05CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)82
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade Driving Dunk (25 PTS)80
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 10:20CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)80
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q4 - 10:32MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
99.6%
55
0.4%
Q4 - 10:32MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
99.6%
54
0.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q4 - 10:39CHIMISS Allen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWade Running Dunk (23 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)80
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q4 - 11:29CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)80
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q4 - 11:42CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot80
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI80
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0CHIDuhon 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P3.T17)78
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot78
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 1:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 1:03CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup78
99.2%
51
0.8%
Q3 - 1:26MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)78
99.3%
51
0.7%
Q3 - 1:32MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
99.4%
49
0.6%
Q3 - 1:34CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.5%
49
0.5%
Q3 - 1:42CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
99.5%
49
0.5%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot78
99.5%
49
0.5%
Q3 - 2:01CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
99.2%
49
0.8%
Q3 - 2:01CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
99.2%
49
0.8%
Q3 - 2:02MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)76
99.1%
49
0.9%
Q3 - 2:19CHIDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
98.9%
49
1.1%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)73
98.4%
49
1.6%
Q3 - 2:52CHIDuhon 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
98.7%
47
1.3%
Q3 - 3:00CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)71
98.5%
47
1.5%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot71
98.1%
47
1.9%
Q3 - 3:13CHIDuhon 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)71
97.8%
47
2.2%
Q3 - 3:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
97.4%
47
2.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 269
97.6%
46
2.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
97.4%
46
2.6%
Q3 - 3:51CHIMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot69
97.5%
46
2.5%
Q3 - 4:09CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)69
97.4%
46
2.6%
Q3 - 4:11CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup69
97.0%
46
3.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)69
97.4%
46
2.6%
Q3 - 4:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
97.8%
44
2.2%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot69
98.1%
44
1.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
97.8%
44
2.2%
Q3 - 4:45CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot69
97.9%
44
2.1%
Q3 - 5:04MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)69
97.8%
44
2.2%
Q3 - 5:22CHINocioni Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)69
98.1%
42
1.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)69
98.5%
42
1.5%
Q3 - 6:17CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T10)69
98.4%
40
1.6%
Q3 - 6:24CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
98.6%
40
1.4%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.6%
40
1.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound69
98.4%
40
1.6%
Q3 - 6:43CHIMISS Wallace Layup69
98.5%
40
1.5%
Q3 - 6:44CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)69
98.6%
40
1.4%
Q3 - 6:46CHIMISS Wallace Layup69
98.5%
40
1.5%
Q3 - 6:51CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
98.6%
40
1.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot69
98.6%
40
1.4%
Q3 - 7:12CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)69
98.1%
40
1.9%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)66
97.5%
40
2.5%
Q3 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
97.0%
40
3.0%
Q3 - 7:45CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
97.2%
40
2.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)66
97.2%
40
2.8%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
97.6%
38
2.4%
Q3 - 8:16CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot66
97.7%
38
2.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T14)66
97.9%
38
2.1%
Q3 - 9:01CHIWallace Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)66
97.2%
38
2.8%
Q3 - 9:03CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
96.7%
38
3.3%
Q3 - 9:05CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot64
96.4%
38
3.6%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
96.8%
38
3.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 264
96.9%
37
3.1%
Q3 - 9:42CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)64
96.8%
37
3.2%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade Layup (18 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)61
95.8%
37
4.2%
Q3 - 10:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
95.8%
35
4.2%
Q3 - 10:03CHIMISS Wallace Dunk61
96.0%
35
4.0%
Q3 - 10:04CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
96.4%
35
3.6%
Q3 - 10:06CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup61
96.0%
35
4.0%
Q3 - 10:25CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
96.4%
35
3.6%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
96.2%
35
3.8%
Q3 - 10:34CHIWalker STEAL (1 STL)61
95.8%
35
4.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)61
96.4%
35
3.6%
Q3 - 11:12CHIBrown Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)61
96.4%
33
3.6%
Q3 - 11:19CHIBulls Rebound61
96.9%
33
3.1%
Q3 - 11:20CHIWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)61
96.6%
33
3.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
96.9%
33
3.1%
Q3 - 11:46CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)61
97.6%
30
2.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
97.3%
30
2.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
96.4%
30
3.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
96.4%
30
3.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)57
95.8%
30
4.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 257
96.0%
29
4.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
96.0%
29
4.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0CHIMISS Khryapa 20' Jump Shot57
96.1%
29
3.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIKhryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
96.3%
29
3.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 257
96.3%
29
3.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
96.0%
29
4.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw Technical57
96.5%
28
3.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0CHIDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)57
96.5%
28
3.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
95.3%
28
4.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Quinn 17' Jump Shot54
95.2%
28
4.8%
Q2 - 1:18CHIDuhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Khryapa 3 AST)54
94.4%
28
5.6%
Q2 - 1:40CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
92.5%
28
7.5%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 251
92.4%
28
7.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
91.9%
28
8.1%
Q2 - 1:59CHIWallace Layup (3 PTS) (Khryapa 2 AST)51
92.9%
27
7.1%
Q2 - 2:15CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
90.9%
27
9.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
90.6%
27
9.4%
Q2 - 2:33CHIKhryapa 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)49
90.0%
27
10.0%
Q2 - 2:54MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
88.7%
27
11.3%
Q2 - 2:54MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)47
89.0%
26
11.0%
Q2 - 3:09CHIPayton STEAL (1 STL)47
88.6%
25
11.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)47
89.9%
25
10.1%
Q2 - 3:32CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q2 - 3:42CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw Technical47
90.0%
25
10.0%
Q2 - 3:43CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
90.0%
25
10.0%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot47
89.6%
25
10.4%
Q2 - 3:57CHIGordon Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)47
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q2 - 4:02CHIKhryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q2 - 4:22CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)45
85.0%
25
15.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)42
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAHEAT Rebound42
80.0%
25
20.0%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup42
81.2%
25
18.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical42
80.0%
25
20.0%
Q2 - 5:07CHIHinrich Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)42
79.2%
25
20.8%
Q2 - 5:20CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
77.5%
25
22.5%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot40
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q2 - 5:35CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Khryapa 1 AST)40
75.3%
25
24.7%
Q2 - 5:41CHIKhryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
73.3%
25
26.7%
Q2 - 5:42CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot38
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 5:56CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
73.3%
25
26.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 6:17CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
69.8%
25
30.2%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)38
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
74.3%
23
25.7%
Q2 - 6:58CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 238
74.7%
23
25.3%
Q2 - 6:58CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 238
75.8%
23
24.2%
Q2 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)38
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q2 - 7:40CHIDeng Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)38
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q2 - 7:43CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
75.4%
21
24.6%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot36
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 7:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot36
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 8:15CHIThomas Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)36
72.4%
21
27.6%
Q2 - 8:17CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q2 - 8:19CHIMISS Deng Driving Layup34
68.9%
21
31.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAWalker 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q2 - 9:15CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)34
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q2 - 9:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)32
69.6%
19
30.4%
Q2 - 9:42CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
67.3%
19
32.7%
Q2 - 9:55MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)32
69.7%
19
30.3%
Q2 - 9:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
67.3%
19
32.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot32
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q2 - 10:12CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)29
62.5%
19
37.5%
Q2 - 10:24CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
59.9%
19
40.1%
Q2 - 10:28CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q2 - 10:30CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)26
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)26
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q2 - 11:10MIAWade Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)26
56.8%
17
43.2%
Q2 - 11:12CHINocioni 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)26
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)24
56.8%
16
43.3%
Q2 - 11:42CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)24
54.4%
16
45.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
52.0%
16
48.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
49.6%
16
50.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 44' 3PT Jump Shot22
51.3%
16
48.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHINocioni Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)20
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot20
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 1:06CHIDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Brown: Tip to Duhon20
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot20
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 1:32CHIThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 1:39CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 220
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 1:58CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 2:05CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Haslem 14' Turnaround Jump Shot20
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q1 - 2:20CHIMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot20
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 2:24CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot20
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 2:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q1 - 2:44CHIMISS Duhon 21' Jump Shot20
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 2:51CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 2:52CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 220
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 2:52CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 220
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 2:52CHIBulls Rebound20
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 2:53CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot20
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 3:13MIAWalker 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)20
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 3:33CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 3:33CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
50.1%
13
49.9%
Q1 - 3:44MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)18
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 3:57CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 3:57CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 217
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 4:12MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 4:22CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup17
50.6%
10
49.4%
Q1 - 4:32MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)17
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 4:44CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
49.8%
10
50.2%
Q1 - 4:44CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 216
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 5:00CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 5:02CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot16
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 5:14CHIBulls Rebound16
49.2%
10
50.8%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 5:31CHIHinrich Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 5:41MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 5:58CHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)14
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 6:17MIAHEAT Turnover: 3 Second Violation (T#4)14
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 6:41CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
48.3%
7
51.7%
Q1 - 6:41CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
47.8%
7
52.2%
Q1 - 6:41CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 6:42CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot12
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 6:48CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot12
45.7%
7
54.3%
Q1 - 7:05CHIWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)12
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 7:27CHIMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot9
38.6%
7
61.4%
Q1 - 7:33CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot9
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 7:51CHIBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 7:51CHIBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
37.8%
7
62.2%
Q1 - 7:58CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 27
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)7
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 8:15CHIBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)7
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 8:28CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot5
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 8:48CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 25
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 8:48CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:52MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:03CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot4
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 9:09CHIBulls Rebound4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:10CHIWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)4
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 9:18MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:27CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 9:35CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAHEAT Rebound4
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:52CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 10:27CHIDeng Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:32CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 10:47CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot2
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 10:58MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 11:07CHIMISS Brown 3' Jump Shot2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:22MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 11:35CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:35CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:40CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Payton0
34.4%
0
65.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.15 57.4%
MIA
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
26
58%
MIA
10
14
71%
Midrange
CHI
17
40
43%
MIA
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
MIA
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
CHI
23
32
72%
MIA
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich2672%13.0 / 18
C. Duhon20111%10.0 / 9
L. Deng1250%6.0 / 12
T. Sefolosha11110%5.5 / 5
A. Nocioni956%4.5 / 8
B. Gordon627%3.0 / 11
B. Wallace542%2.5 / 6
V. Khryapa550%2.5 / 5
P. Brown467%2.0 / 3
T. Thomas429%2.0 / 7
M. Allen433%2.0 / 6
A. Griffin250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2574%12.5 / 17
A. Walker938%4.5 / 12
G. Payton750%3.5 / 7
S. O'Neal732%3.5 / 11
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
J. Kapono3150%1.5 / 1
J. Posey2100%1.0 / 1
C. Quinn220%1.0 / 5
D. Wright225%1.0 / 4
W. Simien2100%1.0 / 1
A. Mourning117%0.5 / 3
R. Hite0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
76
+17
-16
93
MIA
71
+6
-21
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.15 57.4%
MIA
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
104.2
CHI 117.4
MIA 71.7 +45.7
Pace
93.8
90.1
CHI 92.3
MIA 92.4 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
CHI 15.6
MIA 15.6 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
50.6%
CHI 53.8% +13.0%
MIA 40.8%
TO %
16.3%
15.3%
CHI 14.7% +8.8%
MIA 23.5%
ORB %
28.7%
24.9%
CHI 34.2% +24.2%
MIA 10.0%
FTrt
31.3
32.1
CHI 40.5 +6.7
MIA 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
57.6%
CHI 56.4% +4.4%
MIA 52.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.6%
CHI 10.9% +4.4%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
8.8%
8.8%
CHI 10.4% +5.9%
MIA 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.4%
CHI 57.4% +15.1%
MIA 42.3%
Rim FG%
55.2%
61.8%
CHI 57.7%
MIA 71.4% +13.7%
Mid FG%
42.1%
40.5%
CHI 42.5% +7.2%
MIA 35.3%
3P %
38.8%
34.3%
CHI 53.8% +36.2%
MIA 17.6%
FT %
73.4%
69.0%
CHI 71.9% +12.8%
MIA 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
34.9%
CHI 32.9% +11.4%
MIA 21.5%
Mid Att. %
49.1%
40.7%
CHI 50.6% +1.7%
MIA 52.3%
3P Att. %
18.6%
24.5%
CHI 16.5%
MIA 26.2% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.923.9
Points10866
Rebounds4929
Assists2213
Steals106
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)21 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals39-7925-65
At-the-Rim FG15-2610-14
Midrange FG17-4012-34
2-Point FG32-6622-48
3-Point FG7-133-17
Free Throws23-3213-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
34.6
26
72%
4
3
2
0
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
3-5
60%
C · 6'9" 240 · 32
28.5
5
42%
11
1
0
1
0
2
6
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 22
24.1
12
50%
2
1
1
0
3
2
1
1
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
22.9
6
27%
1
2
1
0
2
3
0
1
4-5
80%
1-7
14%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 239 · 37
18.4
4
67%
3
1
1
1
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 225 · 27
28.9
9
56%
11
2
0
0
2
2
1
10
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
16.8
20
111%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 225 · 20
16.4
4
29%
5
2
1
2
3
3
1
4
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 210 · 24
14.0
5
50%
4
3
1
0
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 28
13.7
4
33%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32
11.2
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 22
10.5
11
110%
2
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#15 · C · 7'2" 240 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 5'10" 173 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · F · 6'8" 270 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
57%
49
22
10
5
16
0
13
36
23-32
72%
32-66
48%
7-13
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.