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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 31, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls39%89108
6Heat61%9266
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.8
34.6
35.4
26
66%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
7-13
4-10
54%
41%
3-5
60%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.1
28.5
31.6
5
46%
11
1
0
1
1
0
6
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
24.1
32.2
12
52%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
4-6
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
22.9
30.6
6
27%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
1-7
3-8
14%
40%
0-2
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.0
18.4
14.1
4
69%
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.9
28.9
27.3
9
56%
11
2
0
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
16.8
20.3
20
107%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
39%
3-3
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.2
16.4
15.4
4
30%
5
2
1
0
2
3
1
4
2-6
33%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.2
14.0
14.3
5
51%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
13.7
6.5
4
33%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.3
11.2
9.8
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
10.5
11.5
11
103%
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.6
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
35.9
26.2
9
39%
6
2
1
1
2
3
0
6
3-6
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
46%
0-6
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
34.7
17.6
7
49%
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
34.1
37.3
25
71%
2
3
1
2
0
4
1
1
3-6
50%
8-12
8-16
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
27.6
28.8
6
33%
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
24.4
27.7
7
32%
5
0
0
0
1
3
3
2
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.8
22.6
24.2
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.7
15.4
12.0
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
13.8
12.1
2
20%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
10.4
12.1
3
104%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.9
8.2
12.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
7.7
11.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
5.1
12.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.