FinalWin Prob.pScore
336%93
97
164%98
91
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.89099.3
DAL logo DAL
101.19082.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL97
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)97
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 297
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)96
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALMISS Howard 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
98.3%
88
1.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 293
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALTerry Driving Finger Roll (14 PTS)93
98.5%
88
1.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALStackhouse Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)91
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
94.9%
86
5.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 290
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
95.5%
86
4.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot90
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
88.0%
86
12.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASDuncan Layup (13 PTS)90
88.0%
86
12.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)88
70.4%
86
29.6%
Q4 - 1:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
75.4%
86
24.6%
Q4 - 1:12DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
71.3%
86
28.7%
Q4 - 1:27DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
59.1%
86
40.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 288
60.7%
86
39.3%
Q4 - 1:30SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 288
66.7%
86
33.3%
Q4 - 1:30SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
72.5%
86
27.5%
Q4 - 1:30DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot88
68.6%
86
31.4%
Q4 - 1:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
58.3%
86
41.7%
Q4 - 1:39SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)88
62.4%
86
37.6%
Q4 - 2:00DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)88
70.2%
86
29.8%
Q4 - 2:17SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)88
75.7%
84
24.3%
Q4 - 2:37DALHoward 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)85
60.4%
84
39.6%
Q4 - 3:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
64.1%
82
35.9%
Q4 - 3:01SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Hook Shot85
68.2%
82
31.8%
Q4 - 3:15DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
76.7%
82
23.3%
Q4 - 3:15DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 3:30DALMAVERICKS Rebound85
80.7%
80
19.3%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot85
83.6%
80
16.4%
Q4 - 3:59DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 3:59DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 285
85.6%
79
14.4%
Q4 - 3:59DALDiop REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)85
83.5%
79
16.5%
Q4 - 3:59DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot85
86.9%
79
13.1%
Q4 - 4:17SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
83.8%
79
16.2%
Q4 - 4:17SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 284
81.9%
79
18.1%
Q4 - 4:20DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)84
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
78.0%
79
22.0%
Q4 - 4:23DALMISS Nowitzki Layup84
82.4%
79
17.6%
Q4 - 4:39DALDiop REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)84
78.2%
79
21.8%
Q4 - 4:40SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
80.2%
79
19.8%
Q4 - 4:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
84.3%
79
15.7%
Q4 - 4:57DALMISS Harris Driving Layup84
82.7%
79
17.3%
Q4 - 5:17SASBowen 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)84
73.8%
79
26.2%
Q4 - 5:43DALTerry 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)82
67.4%
79
32.6%
Q4 - 5:57SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
74.1%
77
25.9%
Q4 - 6:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
64.4%
77
35.6%
Q4 - 6:17DALMISS Harris Driving Layup80
61.9%
77
38.1%
Q4 - 6:32DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
56.2%
77
43.8%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
58.8%
77
41.2%
Q4 - 6:50SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
64.5%
77
35.5%
Q4 - 6:50DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 180
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 6:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
70.3%
75
29.7%
Q4 - 6:58SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)80
72.4%
75
27.6%
Q4 - 7:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
73.8%
75
26.2%
Q4 - 7:10DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot80
71.9%
75
28.1%
Q4 - 7:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
67.5%
75
32.5%
Q4 - 7:36SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot80
69.5%
75
30.5%
Q4 - 7:57SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
74.0%
75
26.0%
Q4 - 7:58DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
72.2%
75
27.8%
Q4 - 8:28SASParker 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
65.6%
75
34.4%
Q4 - 8:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
59.8%
75
40.2%
Q4 - 8:45DALMISS Terry 23' Jump Shot78
57.8%
75
42.2%
Q4 - 9:09SASElson Reverse Dunk (10 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)78
51.9%
75
48.1%
Q4 - 9:26SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
46.2%
75
53.8%
Q4 - 9:27DALMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
44.3%
75
55.7%
Q4 - 9:36DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
40.1%
75
59.9%
Q4 - 9:37SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
41.9%
75
58.1%
Q4 - 9:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
46.2%
75
53.8%
Q4 - 9:44DALMISS Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot76
44.3%
75
55.7%
Q4 - 10:10SASGinobili 7' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
39.5%
75
60.5%
Q4 - 10:23SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q4 - 10:24SASMISS Finley Reverse Layup74
30.9%
75
69.1%
Q4 - 10:33DALTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q4 - 10:55SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)74
29.3%
75
70.7%
Q4 - 11:06SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q4 - 11:07DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot74
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q4 - 11:28SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q4 - 11:42DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)72
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q4 - 11:45DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
21.5%
75
78.5%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Ginobili Layup72
22.7%
75
77.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL72
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
21.5%
75
78.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 76' 3PT Jump Shot72
24.3%
75
75.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
23.3%
75
76.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)72
25.9%
75
74.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALMISS Dampier 7' Jump Shot72
24.7%
75
75.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALMISS Croshere Reverse Layup72
24.7%
75
75.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
21.4%
75
78.6%
Q3 - 1:04DALCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)70
19.4%
75
80.6%
Q3 - 1:19DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)70
26.1%
72
73.9%
Q3 - 1:21SASElson Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)70
30.0%
71
70.0%
Q3 - 1:25SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 1:26DALMISS Croshere 8' Running Jump Shot68
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q3 - 1:30DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q3 - 1:32SASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)68
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 1:53DALHarris Running Layup (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)68
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 1:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
30.0%
69
70.0%
Q3 - 1:57SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
34.4%
69
65.6%
Q3 - 1:57SASMISS Finley Layup68
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 1:59SASMISS Udrih 13' Jump Shot68
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 2:16DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
34.0%
69
66.0%
Q3 - 2:16DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
36.7%
67
63.3%
Q3 - 2:46DALStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 3:09SASFinley Running Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)66
38.0%
65
62.0%
Q3 - 3:15DALDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)64
34.1%
65
65.9%
Q3 - 3:28SASDuncan Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)64
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 3:42DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 3:42DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 4:02SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)62
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 4:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 4:27DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot60
25.5%
63
74.5%
Q3 - 4:35DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 4:36SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot60
24.0%
63
76.0%
Q3 - 4:50DALHoward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)60
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 5:00SASBowen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)60
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 5:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q3 - 5:15SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 5:35DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)57
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q3 - 5:50SASParker 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)57
29.9%
58
70.1%
Q3 - 6:03DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)55
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 6:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot55
24.5%
58
75.5%
Q3 - 6:31SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 6:32DALMISS Buckner 14' Jump Shot55
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 6:48SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q3 - 7:01SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)53
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 7:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 7:02DALMISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot52
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 7:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 252
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 252
17.7%
58
82.3%
Q3 - 7:30SASSpurs Rebound52
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 7:30DALMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot52
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 7:49SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 7:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 7:59DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
13.8%
58
86.2%
Q3 - 8:29SASDuncan Layup (5 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)50
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q3 - 8:57DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 9:03DALDiop REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)48
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 9:04DALMISS Diop Layup48
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 9:14SASOberto 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)48
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 9:35DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q3 - 9:52DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 9:53DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot46
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 10:10DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 10:11DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot46
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q3 - 10:21SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)46
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 10:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
17.1%
53
82.9%
Q3 - 10:26SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 246
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 10:26SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q3 - 10:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 10:31DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 10:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q3 - 10:51SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot45
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q3 - 11:08DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)45
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 11:23SASDiop STEAL (1 STL)45
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q3 - 11:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q3 - 11:39DALMISS Buckner 21' Jump Shot45
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound45
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 40' 3PT Jump Shot45
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALDampier Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)45
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)45
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALMISS Croshere Layup45
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q2 - 1:04DALCroshere Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
19.6%
49
80.4%
Q2 - 1:14SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)43
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 1:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
24.0%
47
76.0%
Q2 - 1:18DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
23.6%
47
76.4%
Q2 - 1:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
22.7%
47
77.3%
Q2 - 1:37SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 242
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q2 - 1:39DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)42
21.7%
47
78.3%
Q2 - 1:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 1:59DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot42
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 2:15SASParker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 2:27DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 2:44SASBowen 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)40
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 3:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
18.9%
45
81.1%
Q2 - 3:02DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 238
18.6%
45
81.4%
Q2 - 3:02DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 238
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 3:20DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 3:22SASMISS Elson 9' Jump Shot38
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Bowen Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 238
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Bowen Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 238
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:49DALHoward Layup (7 PTS)38
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q2 - 3:50DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 3:52DALMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot38
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 4:10DALMAVERICKS Rebound38
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 4:10DALMISS Howard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot38
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 4:29DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 4:31SASDiop BLOCK (3 BLK)38
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 4:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot38
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 4:43SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 4:44DALMISS Terry 8' Jump Shot38
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 4:59SASParker 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 5:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 5:05DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Shot36
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 5:21SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)36
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 5:37DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 5:57DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 5:58SASDiop BLOCK (2 BLK)36
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 6:10SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 6:11DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot36
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 6:21SASElson Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)36
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 6:33DALDiop 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)34
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 6:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound34
17.5%
41
82.5%
Q2 - 6:48SASDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)34
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 6:58SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 7:00DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 234
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 7:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 7:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot34
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 7:41DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)34
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 7:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 7:43DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Driving Hook Shot34
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 8:05DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 8:07DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot34
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 8:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 8:16SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot34
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 8:31DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)34
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 8:49SASElson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)34
23.3%
38
76.7%
Q2 - 9:04DALCroshere 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 9:19SASElson Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)34
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 9:35DALJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 9:47SASGinobili 7' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)32
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 10:12DALStackhouse Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 10:30SASElson 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 10:53DALCroshere Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)28
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q2 - 11:03SASHorry 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)28
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 11:14DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)26
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 11:31SASElson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)26
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 11:48DALCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)26
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot26
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
29.3%
27
70.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot24
26.4%
27
73.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 1:00SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot24
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 1:24DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)24
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 1:44SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 1:44SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
28.9%
25
71.1%
Q1 - 1:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
26.9%
25
73.1%
Q1 - 1:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 1:59DALMISS Dampier Layup22
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 2:00DALMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot22
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 2:09SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)22
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 2:29DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 2:50SASUdrih 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 3:05DALDampier 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 3:19SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)17
23.7%
21
76.3%
Q1 - 3:24SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 3:41DALStackhouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 3:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot16
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 4:11DALDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T1)16
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 4:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 4:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot13
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 4:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot13
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q1 - 5:20DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 5:20DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 213
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 5:32SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 5:51DALTerry 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 5:59SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)13
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 6:16DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 6:31SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)10
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 6:49DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 6:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 7:00SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 7:20DALHoward 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)8
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 7:37DALMAVERICKS Rebound8
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 7:38DALMISS Buckner Layup8
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 7:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 7:54SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot8
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 8:07DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 8:10SASBuckner STEAL (1 STL)8
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 8:13SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 8:14DALMISS Buckner 19' Jump Shot8
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 8:43SASOberto Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 8:48SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot6
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 9:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 9:01DALHoward Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 9:04DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 9:04DALMISS Diop Layup6
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 9:05DALMISS Howard Layup6
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 9:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 9:22SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 9:39DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 9:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 9:57SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot4
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:08SASSpurs Rebound4
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 10:08DALMISS Terry 4' Running Jump Shot4
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 10:20SASParker 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 10:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 10:52SASOberto 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 11:00DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 11:07DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:09SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:27DALNowitzki Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:45SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)2
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
31.3%
0
68.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.7%
DAL
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
11
22
50%
DAL
12
26
46%
Midrange
SAS
19
36
53%
DAL
21
46
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
DAL
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
SAS
25
37
68%
DAL
10
16
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1956%9.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1657%8.0 / 14
B. Bowen1381%6.5 / 8
T. Duncan1343%6.5 / 15
F. Elson1275%6.0 / 8
M. Finley1045%5.0 / 11
B. Udrih880%4.0 / 5
F. Oberto467%2.0 / 3
R. Horry225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2150%10.5 / 21
J. Howard2053%10.0 / 19
J. Terry1454%7.0 / 13
A. Croshere1267%6.0 / 9
J. Stackhouse956%4.5 / 8
E. Dampier867%4.0 / 6
D. Diop338%1.5 / 4
A. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
D. Harris217%1.0 / 6
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+8
-12
86
DAL
79
+19
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.7%
DAL
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.8
SAS 107.8 +6.7
DAL 101.1
Pace
89.8
90.0
SAS 99.3 +17.0
DAL 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.8
SAS 14.5 +3.0
DAL 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.9%
SAS 52.2% +6.2%
DAL 46.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.5%
SAS 12.3%
DAL 12.0% +0.3%
ORB %
24.5%
28.8%
SAS 21.2%
DAL 28.9% +7.7%
FTrt
31.3
31.7
SAS 53.6 +35.4
DAL 18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
54.2%
SAS 58.8% +19.3%
DAL 39.5%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
SAS 6.7% +1.1%
DAL 5.6%
BLK %
7.8%
7.9%
SAS 6.9%
DAL 12.1% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
54.1%
SAS 55.7% +9.7%
DAL 46.0%
Rim FG%
62.1%
58.4%
SAS 50.0% +3.8%
DAL 46.2%
Mid FG%
40.4%
43.3%
SAS 52.8% +7.1%
DAL 45.7%
3P %
38.1%
38.1%
SAS 36.4% +5.1%
DAL 31.3%
FT %
75.1%
80.5%
SAS 67.6% +5.1%
DAL 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
30.1%
SAS 31.9% +2.3%
DAL 29.5%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
48.1%
SAS 52.2% +0.1%
DAL 52.3%
3P Att. %
24.7%
21.8%
SAS 15.9%
DAL 18.2% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes21.826.3
Points9791
Rebounds3939
Assists2015
Steals65
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)26 (5)
Field Goals34-6938-88
At-the-Rim FG11-2212-26
Midrange FG19-3621-46
2-Point FG30-5833-72
3-Point FG4-115-16
Free Throws25-3710-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
34.7
13
81%
5
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-6
17%
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
34.4
19
56%
2
3
1
0
1
3
0
2
9-12
75%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
34.3
16
57%
4
5
2
1
1
1
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
33.9
13
43%
10
4
1
1
3
3
3
7
3-5
60%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
15.7
4
67%
2
1
0
1
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
27.3
10
45%
3
0
2
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31
26.3
12
75%
6
1
0
2
3
3
0
6
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
19.6
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
13.6
8
80%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
0.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
39
20
6
5
12
0
7
32
25-37
68%
30-58
52%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.