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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs36%9397
1Mavericks64%9891
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.4
34.7
25.8
13
75%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-6
17%
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
2-2
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
34.4
33.2
19
58%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
9-12
75%
5-10
7-15
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
34.3
29.5
16
56%
4
5
2
2
1
1
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
33.9
33.6
13
43%
10
4
1
1
1
3
3
7
3-5
60%
5-13
7-15
38%
47%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
15.7
4.7
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
27.3
22.0
10
44%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
42%
1-4
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
26.3
17.2
12
76%
6
1
0
1
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.2
19.6
12.6
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
13.6
11.8
8
86%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
0.3
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
22.8
1
1-3
48%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.8
17.5
1
1-2
51%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.6
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
35.8
31.0
20
54%
6
4
1
1
2
1
2
4
5-6
83%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
32.8
37.9
21
50%
11
1
1
1
1
1
2
9
1-2
50%
7-16
6-13
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
32.0
33.9
14
54%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
26.0
21.5
3
35%
8
0
1
1
3
1
6
2
1-3
33%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.1
18.1
22.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.0
26.0
14.5
9
53%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
41%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
21.4
15.1
8
59%
6
1
0
0
1
5
2
4
2-4
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.1
18.3
24.8
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.5
15.5
12.0
12
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
14.2
22.7
2
17%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.7
7.4
0
1-2
42%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.