FinalWin Prob.pScore
2349%106
92
2751%107
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
97.99494.0
TOR logo TOR
117.29393.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR92
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILMarkota 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Noel 1 AST)92
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)89
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORBargnani Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILNoel 19' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0TORHumphries 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MILBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MILBucks Rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10TORMISS Tucker 10' Jump Shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MILBell 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45TORHumphries Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 282
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17TORMISS Graham 17' Jump Shot82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29TORRAPTORS Rebound82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42TORBargnani Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T15)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16TORBosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MILMISS Noel 20' Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32TORNesterovic Tip Shot (10 PTS)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35TORMISS Nesterovic Layup82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53TORBosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MILMISS Patterson 11' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05TORMISS Nesterovic 9' Jump Hook Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25MILMISS Markota 18' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MILBucks Rebound82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MILNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MILBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46TORParker 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MILNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)82
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 5:08TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 5:27MILBosh STEAL (2 STL)82
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 5:44TORJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 5:52TORBosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)82
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 5:52MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot82
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 5:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 5:56MILMISS Williams 12' Fadeaway Jumper82
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 6:21TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)82
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 6:44TORBosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)82
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 6:46MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q4 - 6:56TORParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)82
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 7:05TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 7:07MILMISS Redd 11' Running Jump Shot82
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 7:17TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P2.T10)82
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 7:25MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)82
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 7:44TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 7:52MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)79
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 8:15TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 8:37MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)79
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 9:00TORJones Driving Layup (12 PTS)77
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 9:22TORRAPTORS Rebound77
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 9:22MILMISS Bell 14' Jump Shot77
8.1%
87
91.9%
Q4 - 9:30MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
9.5%
87
90.5%
Q4 - 9:31TORMISS Calderon Driving Finger Roll77
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q4 - 9:48TORJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 9:51MILMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.0%
87
92.0%
Q4 - 10:17TORCalderon Reverse Layup (7 PTS)77
10.6%
87
89.4%
Q4 - 10:34MILSkinner 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)77
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 10:52TORJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)75
10.5%
85
89.5%
Q4 - 11:13TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
16.4%
82
83.6%
Q4 - 11:15MILMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q4 - 11:34TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)75
19.7%
82
80.3%
Q4 - 11:41TORRAPTORS Rebound75
27.3%
79
72.7%
Q4 - 11:42TORMISS Garbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR75
27.3%
79
72.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
27.3%
79
72.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot75
28.7%
79
71.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)75
33.0%
79
67.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILWilliams 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
37.7%
77
62.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0TORBosh Driving Dunk (24 PTS)73
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 1:10MILBogut 18' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)73
38.3%
75
61.7%
Q3 - 1:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
33.9%
75
66.1%
Q3 - 1:33TORMISS Ford Driving Layup71
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q3 - 1:43MILWilliams Running Layup (13 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)71
29.6%
75
70.4%
Q3 - 2:02MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
26.6%
75
73.4%
Q3 - 2:03TORMISS Garbajosa 3PT Jump Shot69
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q3 - 2:30MILBogut 6' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)69
22.7%
75
77.3%
Q3 - 2:48MILBucks Rebound67
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 2:48MILMISS Williams 5' Fadeaway Jumper67
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q3 - 2:49MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 2:50MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)67
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q3 - 2:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 2:53MILMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot67
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q3 - 3:10TORFord Running Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)67
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q3 - 3:16MILJones STEAL (1 STL)67
23.7%
73
76.3%
Q3 - 3:37TORBosh Slam Dunk (22 PTS)67
27.3%
73
72.7%
Q3 - 3:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)67
30.8%
71
69.2%
Q3 - 3:41TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup67
33.7%
71
66.3%
Q3 - 3:59MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)67
30.8%
71
69.2%
Q3 - 4:08TORJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)64
24.8%
71
75.2%
Q3 - 4:28MILBogut 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)64
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q3 - 4:51TORFord Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)62
18.8%
71
81.2%
Q3 - 5:04MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q3 - 5:04MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
21.9%
69
78.1%
Q3 - 5:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
19.7%
69
80.3%
Q3 - 5:11TORMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot60
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 5:23TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 5:25MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot60
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q3 - 5:39TORNesterovic 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)60
19.6%
69
80.4%
Q3 - 5:55MILBogut 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)60
22.1%
67
77.9%
Q3 - 6:14TORBosh Alley Oop Layup (20 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)58
20.5%
67
79.5%
Q3 - 6:32MILBogut Running Layup (4 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)58
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q3 - 6:46TORFord 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)56
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q3 - 6:52TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 6:53MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Shot56
23.9%
63
76.1%
Q3 - 7:08MILBucks Rebound56
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 7:09TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot56
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 7:34MILVillanueva Reverse Layup (17 PTS)56
23.3%
63
76.7%
Q3 - 7:45TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)54
21.0%
63
79.0%
Q3 - 8:12MILVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 8:34TORNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)52
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q3 - 8:35TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 8:37TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot52
29.2%
58
70.8%
Q3 - 8:48MILRedd Foul Turnover (P2.T10)52
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 8:56MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q3 - 8:58TORMISS Nesterovic 11' Turnaround Jump Shot52
29.2%
58
70.8%
Q3 - 9:12MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 9:12MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
27.1%
58
72.9%
Q3 - 9:30TORNesterovic 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)50
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 9:32TORRAPTORS Rebound50
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q3 - 9:33TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q3 - 9:39TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q3 - 9:42MILNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)50
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q3 - 9:54TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)50
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 9:59TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot50
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 10:17MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)50
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q3 - 10:19TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 150
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 10:22MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)50
34.1%
54
65.9%
Q3 - 10:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 10:40MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
35.2%
54
64.8%
Q3 - 11:06TORFord 15' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
38.1%
54
61.9%
Q3 - 11:14TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q3 - 11:16MILBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)50
42.4%
52
57.6%
Q3 - 11:32TORParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)50
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q3 - 11:43MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)50
48.1%
50
51.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)50
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)50
58.7%
47
41.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
51.2%
47
48.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot47
50.5%
47
49.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MILVillanueva Layup (13 PTS)47
48.8%
47
51.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)45
44.6%
47
55.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILMISS Villanueva Tip Shot45
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
44.6%
47
55.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0MILNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)45
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 1:04TORBosh 11' Hook Bank Shot (16 PTS)45
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q2 - 1:24MILWilliams Driving Layup (9 PTS)45
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 1:30MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q2 - 1:32TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot43
44.0%
45
56.0%
Q2 - 1:51MILVillanueva 7' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Patterson 3 AST)43
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q2 - 2:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q2 - 2:12TORMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 241
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 2:12TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 2:17TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
39.4%
44
60.6%
Q2 - 2:18MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot41
40.2%
44
59.8%
Q2 - 2:41TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)41
42.1%
44
57.9%
Q2 - 2:51MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)41
48.6%
41
51.4%
Q2 - 3:09TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
42.8%
41
57.2%
Q2 - 3:09TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)38
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 3:22MILVillanueva Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)38
45.4%
39
54.6%
Q2 - 3:39TORParker 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 3:57MILBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)36
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 4:17TORBosh 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 4:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)33
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 4:20TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
44.8%
35
55.2%
Q2 - 4:39MILPatterson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)33
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 4:43TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)31
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 4:48TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
37.3%
35
62.7%
Q2 - 4:50MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 5:07MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 5:08TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot31
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 5:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)31
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 5:10TORMISS Ford 7' Running Jump Shot31
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 5:34MILSkinner Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)31
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 5:36TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)29
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 5:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)29
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 5:39MILMISS Skinner Tip Shot29
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 5:41MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 5:42MILMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 6:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 6:01TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
34.8%
35
65.2%
Q2 - 6:24MILVillanueva Finger Roll (7 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)29
32.7%
35
67.3%
Q2 - 6:41MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:43TORMISS Peterson 12' Running Jump Shot27
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 7:08MILSkinner Dunk (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)27
29.2%
35
70.8%
Q2 - 7:28TORCalderon Palming Turnover (P1.T5)25
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 7:34MILPatterson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)25
25.0%
35
75.0%
Q2 - 7:46TORPeterson Running Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)23
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 8:02TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)23
25.1%
33
74.9%
Q2 - 8:04MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot23
25.8%
33
74.2%
Q2 - 8:19TORJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 8:21TORJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:22TORMISS Bargnani Tip Shot23
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 8:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:26TORMISS Garbajosa 21' Jump Shot23
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 8:30MILGarbajosa STEAL (2 STL)23
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 8:33TORMISS Bargnani 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 8:34TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:36TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 9:00MILVillanueva Reverse Layup (5 PTS)23
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 9:01MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 9:03MILMISS Bell Reverse Layup21
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 9:17MILBucks Rebound21
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 9:18MILCalderon BLOCK (1 BLK)21
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 9:23MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 9:25TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 9:34TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 9:36MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 9:53TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
27.8%
31
72.2%
Q2 - 10:05TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q2 - 10:07MILMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q2 - 10:19MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 10:21TORMISS Peterson 17' Jump Shot21
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 10:39MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P1.T6)21
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 10:50MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 10:51TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot21
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 11:03MILRedd Palming Turnover (P1.T5)21
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 11:09MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 11:11TORMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 11:23MILCalderon STEAL (1 STL)21
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 11:32TORJones Driving Dunk (2 PTS)21
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 11:47TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34.5%
27
65.5%
Q2 - 11:49MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound21
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
35.4%
27
64.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORMISS Garbajosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
31.8%
27
68.2%
Q1 - 1:01TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 1:02MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot19
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q1 - 1:27TORGarbajosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)19
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q1 - 1:45MILBell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)19
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q1 - 2:05TORBargnani Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)17
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q1 - 2:22TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 217
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 217
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 2:35TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)17
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 2:43TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 2:45MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot17
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q1 - 2:58TORFord Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)17
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 3:02MILGarbajosa STEAL (1 STL)17
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 3:14TORBosh Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 3:14TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 3:14TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot17
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 3:15TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 3:17TORMISS Ford 3' Running Jump Shot17
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 3:21TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 3:23MILMISS Bogut Finger Roll17
42.6%
20
57.4%
Q1 - 3:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 3:39TORMISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot17
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 3:54MILWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 4:01MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q1 - 4:03TORMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot15
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 4:11MILWilliams 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)15
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 4:40TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)13
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 4:53TORRAPTORS Rebound13
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 4:53MILMISS Williams Layup13
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 4:56MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
40.2%
18
59.8%
Q1 - 4:57MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot13
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 5:02MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 5:04TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot13
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 5:26MILPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 5:44TORBosh 16' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)13
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 6:12MILRedd 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
42.5%
16
57.5%
Q1 - 6:25MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 6:27TORMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot11
40.0%
16
60.0%
Q1 - 6:40MILVillanueva Layup (3 PTS)11
38.6%
16
61.4%
Q1 - 6:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 6:44MILMISS Bogut 15' Turnaround Jump Shot9
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 6:52MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 6:54TORMISS Peterson Running Layup9
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 7:12MILRedd Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)9
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 7:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 7:15TORMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot7
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 7:16TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 7:18TORMISS Ford Driving Finger Roll7
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 7:24TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 7:26MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot7
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 7:40TORNesterovic 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 7:58MILRedd Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)7
35.5%
14
64.5%
Q1 - 8:10TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 8:16TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 8:17MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 8:37TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)5
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 8:58MILBogut 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)5
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 9:18TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)3
36.1%
11
63.9%
Q1 - 9:32MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)3
37.4%
9
62.6%
Q1 - 9:53TORBosh Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)3
39.6%
9
60.4%
Q1 - 10:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 10:06TORMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot3
42.6%
7
57.4%
Q1 - 10:15TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 10:16MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 10:38TORBosh Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 10:45TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 10:46MILMISS Villanueva Driving Layup3
45.4%
5
54.6%
Q1 - 11:01TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)3
46.8%
5
53.2%
Q1 - 11:17MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 11:17MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 22
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 11:32TORParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)2
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 11:46MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 11:46MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 11:50TORBosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Bogut: Tip to Ford0
48.7%
0
51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
19
33
58%
TOR
20
31
65%
Midrange
MIL
14
33
42%
TOR
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
TOR
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIL
11
14
79%
TOR
6
10
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut1869%9.0 / 13
C. Villanueva1753%8.5 / 16
M. Redd1547%7.5 / 16
M. Williams1542%7.5 / 18
C. Bell750%3.5 / 7
R. Patterson650%3.0 / 6
B. Skinner675%3.0 / 4
S. Blake338%1.5 / 4
D. Markota350%1.5 / 3
D. Noel250%1.0 / 2
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2676%13.0 / 17
F. Jones15107%7.5 / 7
M. Peterson1454%7.0 / 13
T. Ford1350%6.5 / 13
A. Parker1169%5.5 / 8
J. Calderon1179%5.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic1042%5.0 / 12
A. Bargnani433%2.0 / 6
J. Garbajosa325%1.5 / 6
K. Humphries2100%1.0 / 1
J. Graham0-0.0 / 1
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+15
-15
94
TOR
78
+15
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
106.3
MIL 97.9 +19.3
TOR 117.2
Pace
92.3
93.3
MIL 94.0 +1.0
TOR 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.3
MIL 15.3 +0.2
TOR 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.4%
MIL 47.1%
TOR 58.5% +11.4%
TO %
15.7%
13.8%
MIL 14.0%
TOR 14.0%
ORB %
27.8%
22.3%
MIL 26.2%
TOR 32.5% +6.3%
FTrt
28.6
30.3
MIL 16.3 +4.9
TOR 11.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
60.1%
MIL 57.9% +0.5%
TOR 57.4%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
MIL 7.4%
TOR 7.5% +0.1%
BLK %
4.4%
6.3%
MIL 4.5%
TOR 12.1% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.6%
MIL 48.9%
TOR 58.0% +9.1%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.5%
MIL 57.6%
TOR 64.5% +6.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.7%
MIL 42.4%
TOR 50.0% +7.6%
3P %
35.6%
36.3%
MIL 25.0%
TOR 42.9% +17.9%
FT %
73.3%
78.8%
MIL 78.6% +18.6%
TOR 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
30.1%
MIL 38.4% +3.1%
TOR 35.2%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
47.6%
MIL 38.4% +2.5%
TOR 40.9%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.4%
MIL 23.3%
TOR 23.9% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILTOR
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points92109
Rebounds3844
Assists2227
Steals77
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals38-8647-88
At-the-Rim FG19-3320-31
Midrange FG14-3318-36
2-Point FG33-6638-67
3-Point FG5-209-21
Free Throws11-146-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
34.0
15
47%
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 198 · 24
32.9
15
42%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
1-5
20%
F · 6'5" 223 · 31
32.1
6
50%
2
3
2
1
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 260 · 22
30.8
18
69%
7
3
2
1
5
1
3
4
2-4
50%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 22
28.6
17
53%
11
3
1
0
2
3
4
7
1-2
50%
8-13
62%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
30.1
7
50%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30
18.2
6
75%
6
1
0
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 172 · 27
16.0
3
38%
0
4
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 19
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23
4.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 21
4.5
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
49%
38
22
7
3
15
0
11
27
11-14
79%
33-66
50%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.