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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons52%103101
22Celtics48%10288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
36.6
34.5
20
55%
1
11
2
1
0
0
0
1
12-14
86%
4-9
3-8
44%
43%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.1
36.1
25.9
18
54%
9
3
0
1
1
1
3
6
2-4
50%
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.7
35.8
35.3
27
67%
4
5
4
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
8-16
7-15
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.7
34.9
35.9
12
47%
7
4
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
21.9
22.1
14
54%
8
0
0
1
2
1
5
3
2-2
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
27.4
25.0
8
42%
10
0
1
1
1
0
2
8
0-1
0%
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
21.9
19.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
14.7
11.1
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.7
6.1
9.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.9
4.5
6.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
7.9
0
1-2
48%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
5.6
0
1-1
46%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.6
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
38.0
37.1
22
67%
8
4
1
1
0
2
1
7
7-8
88%
6-12
6-13
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
33.0
32.5
18
65%
4
3
1
1
0
6
1
3
1-2
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
1-2
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.2
26.5
26.7
6
38%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.4
19.1
25.6
9
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.0
17.3
21.1
4
100%
8
1
0
0
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 20.7
31.6
20.5
7
44%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
41%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.8
28.0
14.4
11
43%
10
1
0
0
2
0
4
6
3-4
75%
4-11
3-5
36%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.6
18.6
3.5
2
50%
3
0
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.3
16.3
26.5
5
28%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.8
10.1
16.0
1
27%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.8
1.6
11.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-1
100%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.4
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.