FinalWin Prob.pScore
1042%96
85
858%99
91
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
89.595107.3
MIA logo MIA
95.89585.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0NJNMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0NJNCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)85
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 282
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0NJNWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)82
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)82
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0NJNMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot82
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 0:36.0NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0NJNMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot82
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 1:02NJNNets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)82
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 1:25NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
11.2%
86
88.8%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 182
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 1:50NJNKrstic 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
19.3%
84
80.7%
Q4 - 2:06MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)80
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 2:29NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)80
26.4%
81
73.6%
Q4 - 2:30NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
15.1%
81
84.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot77
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q4 - 2:52NJNCarter 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q4 - 3:06MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)75
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 3:27NJNCarter 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 3:40MIAO'Neal 7' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)73
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q4 - 4:03NJNMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)73
23.5%
76
76.5%
Q4 - 4:30NJNPosey STEAL (2 STL)73
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)73
23.4%
76
76.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound73
16.9%
76
83.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot73
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
19.1%
76
80.9%
Q4 - 5:09NJNMISS Carter 11' Jump Shot73
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q4 - 5:27MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 5:56NJNCarter 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
39.1%
73
60.9%
Q4 - 6:05NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot71
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q4 - 6:24MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
25.6%
73
74.4%
Q4 - 6:26NJNMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot71
27.6%
73
72.4%
Q4 - 6:36NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
30.4%
73
69.6%
Q4 - 7:04NJNCarter 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)71
27.1%
73
72.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS)69
22.5%
73
77.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q4 - 7:40NJNMISS Carter 12' Jump Shot69
28.9%
71
71.1%
Q4 - 7:44NJNNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
33.5%
71
66.5%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot69
31.4%
71
68.6%
Q4 - 8:09NJNJefferson 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
28.3%
71
71.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T15)67
23.4%
71
76.6%
Q4 - 8:43NJNCarter Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)67
19.0%
71
81.0%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)67
24.4%
71
75.6%
Q4 - 9:18MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
28.8%
69
71.2%
Q4 - 9:20NJNMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot67
30.4%
69
69.6%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T14)67
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q4 - 9:45NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
28.8%
69
71.2%
Q4 - 9:45NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q4 - 9:49NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Posey Layup65
22.9%
69
77.1%
Q4 - 10:06NJNJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)65
20.8%
69
79.2%
Q4 - 10:10NJNKidd Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)65
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q4 - 10:21MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q4 - 10:21MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q4 - 10:22MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot64
28.1%
67
71.9%
Q4 - 10:44NJNKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q4 - 10:44NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q4 - 10:49NJNWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q4 - 10:51NJNMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q4 - 11:06MIAKapono Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)62
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHEAT Rebound62
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q4 - 11:19NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q4 - 11:41MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)62
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN62
25.4%
65
74.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound62
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
26.7%
65
73.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0NJNNets Rebound62
30.4%
65
69.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Walker Layup62
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
26.2%
65
73.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0NJNMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot62
27.5%
65
72.5%
Q3 - 1:02MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (17 PTS)62
30.9%
65
69.1%
Q3 - 1:21NJNWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)62
35.1%
63
64.9%
Q3 - 1:24NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot60
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
26.8%
63
73.2%
Q3 - 1:34NJNMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot60
28.0%
63
72.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)60
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q3 - 1:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 1:48NJNO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)60
36.5%
61
63.5%
Q3 - 1:49NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q3 - 1:55NJNWade BLOCK (1 BLK)60
36.5%
61
63.5%
Q3 - 2:14NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 2:16NJNMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot60
36.2%
61
63.8%
Q3 - 2:21NJNWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot60
38.0%
61
62.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
34.8%
61
65.2%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot60
38.0%
61
62.0%
Q3 - 3:02NJNWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)60
35.2%
61
64.8%
Q3 - 3:17MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS)58
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q3 - 3:32NJNCollins Foul Turnover (P1.T12)58
35.2%
59
64.8%
Q3 - 3:38MIAPayton Layup (10 PTS)58
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
43.7%
57
56.3%
Q3 - 3:56NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 258
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 3:56NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 3:57NJNNets Rebound57
44.0%
57
56.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot57
42.5%
57
57.5%
Q3 - 4:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q3 - 4:17NJNMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot57
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q3 - 4:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)57
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
51.8%
54
48.2%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot57
55.2%
54
44.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
51.5%
54
48.5%
Q3 - 5:13NJNMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot57
52.8%
54
47.2%
Q3 - 5:40MIAO'Neal Finger Roll (13 PTS)57
55.9%
54
44.1%
Q3 - 6:02NJNKrstic 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)57
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q3 - 6:26MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)55
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
58.8%
50
41.2%
Q3 - 6:33NJNMISS Kidd Driving Layup55
60.1%
50
39.9%
Q3 - 6:38NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
62.9%
50
37.1%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot55
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 6:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
58.8%
50
41.2%
Q3 - 6:52NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
60.1%
50
39.9%
Q3 - 7:00NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
62.9%
50
37.1%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot55
60.6%
50
39.4%
Q3 - 7:25NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)55
57.7%
50
42.3%
Q3 - 7:48MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
50.6%
50
49.4%
Q3 - 8:02NJNKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
57.4%
47
42.6%
Q3 - 8:02NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q3 - 8:06NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
54.1%
47
45.9%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot50
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q3 - 8:30NJNKrstic Layup (12 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)50
49.9%
47
50.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWalker 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
46.6%
47
53.4%
Q3 - 8:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
49.8%
45
50.2%
Q3 - 8:55NJNMISS Jefferson 8' Running Jump Shot48
51.2%
45
48.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)48
53.1%
45
46.9%
Q3 - 9:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot48
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q3 - 9:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q3 - 9:23NJNMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot48
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q3 - 9:30NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
53.2%
45
46.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Haslem 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q3 - 10:00NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)48
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q3 - 10:01NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q3 - 10:02NJNMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)45
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q3 - 10:30NJNCarter Driving Dunk (13 PTS)45
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIAWalker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)43
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q3 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q3 - 10:44NJNMISS Kidd Driving Layup43
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q3 - 10:52NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
41.0%
43
59.0%
Q3 - 11:18NJNKrstic 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)43
38.4%
43
61.6%
Q3 - 11:33MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)41
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q3 - 11:48NJNKidd Foul Turnover (P2.T11)41
32.1%
43
67.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN41
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound41
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Carter 62' 3PT Jump Shot41
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)41
39.1%
41
60.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 238
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0NJNWalker STEAL (2 STL)38
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)38
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 1:05NJNMoore 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)38
39.4%
38
60.6%
Q2 - 1:17NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
34.5%
38
65.5%
Q2 - 1:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 1:29NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot36
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAPosey 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 2:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
38.7%
36
61.3%
Q2 - 2:07NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot36
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWalker Palming Turnover (P2.T9)36
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 2:23NJNWalker STEAL (1 STL)36
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 2:28NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot36
40.7%
36
59.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 2:47NJNMISS Jefferson Layup36
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 2:50MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)36
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
44.9%
34
55.1%
Q2 - 2:58NJNO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)36
45.7%
34
54.3%
Q2 - 3:08NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 3:10NJNMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
45.2%
34
54.8%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWalker Palming Turnover (P1.T8)36
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 3:42NJNCarter Foul Turnover (P2.T8)36
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
48.9%
33
51.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot36
48.8%
33
51.2%
Q2 - 4:20MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 4:22NJNMISS Carter 9' Fadeaway Jumper36
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 4:46MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)36
49.7%
33
50.3%
Q2 - 5:08NJNKrstic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
55.0%
30
45.0%
Q2 - 5:13NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
58.0%
30
42.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot36
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 5:36NJNPayton STEAL (1 STL)36
55.0%
30
45.0%
Q2 - 5:38NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
58.0%
30
42.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 5:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
55.0%
30
45.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot36
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 6:11NJNCarter Layup (11 PTS)36
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWalker Layup (8 PTS)34
52.2%
30
47.8%
Q2 - 6:51NJNKrstic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
54.4%
28
45.6%
Q2 - 7:06NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot32
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 7:16MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
48.7%
28
51.3%
Q2 - 7:18NJNMISS Wright Layup32
49.6%
28
50.4%
Q2 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)32
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 7:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.7%
28
51.3%
Q2 - 7:38NJNMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
49.6%
28
50.4%
Q2 - 7:44NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot32
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 7:59NJNWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
48.7%
28
51.3%
Q2 - 7:59NJNWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
47.9%
28
52.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
46.1%
28
53.9%
Q2 - 8:23NJNCarter 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T5)28
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 8:54NJNMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot28
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 9:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 9:17NJNMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)28
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 10:03NJNCarter 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q2 - 10:09NJNNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot26
47.2%
23
52.8%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup26
47.2%
23
52.8%
Q2 - 10:32NJNKrstic 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q2 - 10:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
45.3%
21
54.7%
Q2 - 10:52NJNMISS Moore 6' Hook Shot24
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q2 - 11:03NJNWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q2 - 11:25NJNWright STEAL (1 STL)24
45.0%
21
55.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
47.4%
21
52.6%
Q2 - 11:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
45.0%
21
55.0%
Q2 - 11:35NJNMISS Carter 29' 3PT Jump Shot24
45.7%
21
54.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
47.4%
21
52.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
45.0%
21
55.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot24
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)24
46.8%
21
53.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot24
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0NJNWright Layup (5 PTS)24
44.9%
21
55.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0NJNWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0NJNMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)22
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0NJNWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Payton Layup22
41.5%
21
58.5%
Q1 - 1:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.3%
21
59.7%
Q1 - 1:03NJNMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)22
40.9%
21
59.1%
Q1 - 1:25MIAWright Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)22
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q1 - 1:33NJNWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 1:52NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
46.8%
19
53.2%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 222
46.5%
19
53.5%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 222
45.2%
19
54.8%
Q1 - 2:13NJNWright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)22
44.8%
19
55.2%
Q1 - 2:26NJNWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot19
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Wright 5' Running Hook Shot19
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 3:00NJNNachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)16
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 3:28NJNMISS Nachbar 8' Jump Shot16
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 3:38NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 3:50MIAPayton Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)16
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 4:07NJNJefferson 7' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)16
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 4:29MIAWalker 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 4:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 4:54NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 214
33.7%
16
66.3%
Q1 - 4:54NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 214
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q1 - 5:06NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot14
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 5:24NJNKidd Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWalker 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 5:54NJNPosey STEAL (1 STL)14
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 6:04NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 6:05NJNMISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot14
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 6:19MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)14
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 6:39NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
41.1%
12
58.9%
Q1 - 6:39NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 6:48NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot12
38.7%
12
61.3%
Q1 - 7:05NJNKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 7:05NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 7:09NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.6%
12
64.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot10
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 7:28NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 7:30NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Payton Layup7
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 7:46NJNJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAPayton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
30.7%
12
69.3%
Q1 - 8:18NJNKrstic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)7
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 8:28NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 15
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 8:39NJNCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)5
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 9:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 9:19NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot2
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)2
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 9:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 9:40NJNMISS Collins 19' Jump Shot2
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:53MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)2
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 10:13NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:13NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:17NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot0
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 10:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:26NJNMISS Collins 7' Jump Shot0
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 11:03NJNMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot0
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:25NJNMISS Krstic 17' Jump Shot0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collins: Tip to Haslem0
37.1%
0
62.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.96 47.8%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
10
16
63%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
NJN
14
41
34%
MIA
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
NJN
19
22
86%
MIA
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2756%13.5 / 24
N. Krstic2071%10.0 / 14
R. Jefferson1134%5.5 / 16
J. Kidd956%4.5 / 8
A. Wright758%3.5 / 6
M. Williams429%2.0 / 7
B. Nachbar330%1.5 / 5
J. Collins225%1.0 / 4
M. Moore250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2162%10.5 / 17
D. Wade1761%8.5 / 14
G. Payton1464%7.0 / 11
A. Walker1146%5.5 / 12
J. Posey1071%5.0 / 7
U. Haslem844%4.0 / 9
J. Kapono660%3.0 / 5
D. Wright220%1.0 / 5
A. Mourning220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
79
+10
-16
89
MIA
78
+10
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.96 47.8%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
104.2
NJN 89.5
MIA 95.8 +6.3
Pace
92.0
90.1
NJN 107.3 +22.1
MIA 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
NJN 13.4 +3.5
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.6%
NJN 42.9%
MIA 49.3% +6.4%
TO %
15.2%
15.3%
NJN 16.4% +0.9%
MIA 17.3%
ORB %
24.6%
24.9%
NJN 17.8%
MIA 22.0% +4.2%
FTrt
33.8
32.1
NJN 28.6
MIA 30.3 +1.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.4%
57.6%
NJN 40.0%
MIA 48.6% +8.6%
STL %
6.5%
7.6%
NJN 5.3%
MIA 6.3% +1.0%
BLK %
5.4%
8.8%
NJN 3.3%
MIA 10.5% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.4%
NJN 47.8%
MIA 51.7% +3.9%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.8%
NJN 62.5%
MIA 63.6% +1.1%
Mid FG%
42.4%
40.5%
NJN 34.1%
MIA 42.1% +8.0%
3P %
36.3%
34.3%
NJN 30.0%
MIA 31.3% +1.3%
FT %
72.7%
69.0%
NJN 86.4% +16.8%
MIA 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
34.9%
NJN 20.8%
MIA 28.9% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
38.4%
40.7%
NJN 53.2%
MIA 50.0% +3.2%
3P Att. %
26.3%
24.5%
NJN 26.0% +4.9%
MIA 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes21.326.8
Points8591
Rebounds4046
Assists1217
Steals56
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)37 (2)
Field Goals30-7735-76
At-the-Rim FG10-1614-22
Midrange FG14-4116-38
2-Point FG24-5730-60
3-Point FG6-205-16
Free Throws19-2216-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 30
42.8
27
56%
4
4
1
0
4
2
0
4
3-3
100%
9-15
60%
2-8
25%
C · 7'0" 240 · 23
38.3
20
71%
6
0
2
1
2
2
2
4
6-6
100%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 233 · 26
37.4
11
34%
8
2
0
0
3
1
0
8
3-4
75%
4-14
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 34
35.3
9
56%
9
3
1
0
3
1
1
8
3-3
100%
0-4
0%
2-3
67%
F · 7'0" 255 · 28
30.5
2
25%
2
0
0
0
1
5
1
1
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 26
16.3
3
30%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 21
15.8
4
29%
3
2
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23
13.3
7
58%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31
10.3
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40
F · 6'4" 220 · 22
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
#0 · G · 6'4" 190 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · G · 6'1" 190 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
48%
40
12
5
2
16
0
8
32
19-22
86%
24-57
42%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.