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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nets42%9685
8Heat58%9991
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
42.8
37.5
27
56%
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
9-15
6-14
60%
45%
2-8
25%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
38.3
26.0
20
73%
6
0
2
0
1
2
2
4
6-6
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
49%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.4
37.4
36.7
11
33%
8
2
0
1
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
4-14
5-11
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.6
35.3
34.0
9
54%
9
3
1
2
0
3
1
8
3-3
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.9
30.5
20.5
2
27%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.3
16.3
17.9
3
30%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.9
15.8
20.6
4
29%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
13.3
12.3
7
60%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.0
10.3
14.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.9
9.4
0
1-1
41%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.4
4.7
0
0-1
41%
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.4
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
40.7
27.9
14
63%
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
35.7
25.4
21
61%
9
1
0
0
2
5
2
7
1-3
33%
10-16
5-9
63%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
32.8
31.7
11
46%
6
2
2
1
0
4
0
6
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-4
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
31.6
28.0
8
45%
9
2
0
1
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
29.6
34.8
17
56%
3
5
0
2
1
2
1
2
4-5
80%
5-11
8-15
45%
49%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.8
27.5
23.1
10
73%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.9
15.6
10.1
2
20%
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
15.0
12.1
6
61%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.7
11.5
14.2
2
20%
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
1
0-2
0%
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
13.5
0
1-3
42%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
9.3
0
1-3
47%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
3.7
0
1-1
48%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.