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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats44%9483
28Grizzlies56%9696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
42.5
20.4
12
44%
7
1
3
1
1
4
1
6
2-6
33%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.0
36.9
32.5
12
61%
3
7
1
2
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
40%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
36.0
28.9
8
27%
4
8
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
41%
0-4
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.1
35.2
28.9
8
35%
8
2
0
1
4
1
2
6
2-8
25%
3-8
5-11
38%
43%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.6
20.3
14.8
9
77%
6
2
0
1
2
2
0
6
1-2
50%
4-5
2-6
80%
43%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.3
30.5
28.9
21
66%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
43%
3-7
43%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
16.6
8.9
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
12.8
9.2
8
95%
6
0
0
0
1
2
0
6
4-5
80%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
5.5
18.1
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.2
3.8
18.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.5
8.8
0
1-3
46%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
6.1
0
1-2
43%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.7
36.6
34.9
27
82%
9
1
0
1
1
0
1
8
6-8
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
5-7
71%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.3
27.8
24.8
15
60%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
7-8
88%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.0
27.7
22.4
10
31%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-8
1-3
13%
46%
2-7
29%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
25.8
22.7
8
44%
3
7
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
2-3
67%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.4
23.3
14.3
9
40%
8
0
2
0
1
3
4
4
3-3
100%
3-10
2-3
30%
52%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
24.7
13.8
9
51%
11
2
3
0
2
0
3
8
1-2
50%
4-8
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.6
18.0
19.9
0
0%
4
4
0
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
17.7
13.4
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
44%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.2
15.6
26.8
9
65%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.2
14.0
25.0
2
20%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.5
8.8
7.4
5
34%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.