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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Kings43%9389
9Bulls57%9588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.5
45.1
36.7
23
58%
4
9
3
1
0
11
0
4
10-11
91%
2-8
4-9
25%
44%
3-7
43%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.8
45.0
33.5
30
77%
5
0
3
1
0
1
3
2
9-10
90%
9-13
4-7
69%
50%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
41.7
39.8
22
47%
13
4
2
2
1
4
1
12
7-8
88%
6-14
5-11
43%
43%
1-6
17%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.3
31.9
29.0
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.6
29.3
29.7
8
31%
8
2
1
1
0
3
3
5
2-2
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
27.0
24.3
5
32%
6
0
1
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
10.9
19.7
1
57%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.9
4.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.4
2.9
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
1.9
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.0
7.7
0
1-3
44%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
5.1
0
1-1
42%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.6
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
43.1
22.9
29
59%
7
4
2
1
2
2
0
7
5-8
63%
12-21
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.1
41.0
28.0
9
78%
13
1
3
1
1
3
4
9
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.8
29.1
32.4
15
68%
1
6
1
1
1
3
1
0
6-7
86%
3-5
4-9
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
21.2
28.0
5
34%
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
43%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
18.8
15.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
29.6
23.1
10
44%
3
3
4
1
0
6
1
2
3-3
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.9
20.8
24.5
14
51%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
12.8
15.8
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
8.6
11.8
2
33%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.2
6.3
16.5
2
26%
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
5.4
17.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.3
3.3
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.0
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.