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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Timberwolves45%99112
18Nuggets55%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.1
37.4
28.7
19
70%
3
6
3
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.5
37.0
37.4
27
65%
15
2
1
1
3
3
2
13
9-11
82%
9-16
7-14
56%
50%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.4
34.2
28.1
18
58%
3
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
4-6
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.7
30.3
32.1
8
51%
3
2
0
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.9
28.7
24.6
10
56%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 27.9
17.7
21.4
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-1
0%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.6
17.6
12.0
9
58%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.0
16.1
9.3
20
63%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-2
0%
10-15
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.4
12.9
17.7
1
17%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.1
8.2
10.2
0
0%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
7.1
0
1-2
41%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.3
6.7
0
1-2
41%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.8
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.4
38.2
26.3
28
45%
5
2
0
1
0
4
3
2
1-2
50%
12-24
6-13
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
35.1
31.4
18
57%
4
12
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
30.0
34.0
4
33%
7
0
0
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
5-11
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
27.4
24.8
10
51%
10
0
0
1
0
1
4
6
0-4
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.1
12.7
24.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.4
35.3
24.9
28
84%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
13-15
87%
3-6
3-8
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.1
22.4
11.0
13
66%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-9
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
21.3
16.1
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.3
13.3
8.8
4
106%
0
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.8
4.3
14.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.5
10.1
0
1-2
47%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.3
9.7
0
1-3
47%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.5
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.