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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Trail Blazers26%9589
24Warriors74%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
38.5
30.4
22
56%
11
0
1
1
0
3
3
8
4-4
100%
9-18
6-14
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.0
38.3
34.6
12
60%
1
10
3
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
4-8
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 22.3
38.0
30.6
19
47%
6
5
0
1
1
0
2
4
9-10
90%
5-13
4-10
38%
42%
0-3
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
20.8
20.1
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
0-2
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.1
11.1
21.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
3
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.5
27.9
20.3
2
36%
10
1
0
0
0
3
5
5
2-4
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.4
18.8
4.5
7
88%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.1
16.0
20.9
6
36%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 19.9
15.8
16.9
12
100%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
4-5
80%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.1
9.5
22.4
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 20.4
1.9
16.0
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
40%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 28.1
1.9
5.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-1
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 21.3
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
40.4
27.9
17
49%
4
9
2
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.5
35.4
27.8
12
52%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-8
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
32.1
27.7
14
57%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
29.1
30.7
8
42%
5
5
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
5.8
20.4
2
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
31.0
19.5
16
81%
10
1
3
1
0
2
3
7
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
3-4
75%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.0
24.6
21.5
15
59%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
23.1
21.1
10
49%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-5
40%
4-8
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
14.2
20.9
8
62%
4
1
0
1
1
3
3
1
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
60%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.7
1.6
10.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
1.1
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
8.1
0
1-2
51%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.0
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.