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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies26%9086
7Pistons74%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.3
37.3
26.4
21
54%
6
5
0
1
0
2
4
2
7-8
88%
7-16
4-9
44%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.7
36.2
35.6
11
51%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.0
21.9
24.9
4
35%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
15.9
24.0
5
43%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.4
14.9
19.2
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.2
24.9
21.0
19
53%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
8-11
73%
4-11
2-4
36%
44%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.2
24.6
19.5
10
45%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
2-4
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
21.0
15.7
6
87%
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
20.7
19.5
4
35%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.5
13.9
8.2
2
53%
1
3
3
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.6
8.7
18.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.7
39.2
35.4
24
61%
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
9-16
7-14
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.7
34.9
35.2
12
67%
4
2
0
1
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.1
33.9
30.8
15
76%
13
2
0
1
2
5
0
13
1-2
50%
7-8
3-7
88%
47%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
29.9
35.3
7
30%
3
10
0
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
1-5
3-8
20%
44%
0-4
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
21.6
21.9
13
60%
8
0
1
1
2
0
4
4
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
20.9
20.8
4
67%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.7
20.0
8.4
13
60%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
5-9
1-2
56%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
16.4
12.5
7
58%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
12.6
26.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.9
10.5
5.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
5.4
0
1-1
49%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.6
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.