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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Kings54%10491
23Bucks46%103104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.8
32.5
39.0
15
48%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.5
30.1
40.5
12
35%
3
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-9
4-10
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.3
27.3
30.4
6
75%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
25.2
40.0
7
30%
2
4
5
2
2
1
2
0
3-6
50%
2-5
5-12
40%
44%
0-4
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.6
15.5
29.5
4
40%
5
3
0
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
37.2
15.3
18
68%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
4-9
1-3
44%
44%
2-2
100%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
22.7
25.7
15
59%
6
2
2
1
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.4
20.6
4.0
10
53%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
5-7
0-1
71%
43%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
13.1
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.0
7.9
4.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.9
7.9
3.6
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
34.8
35.2
26
71%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
5-10
6-13
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.3
31.7
29.1
10
63%
4
5
0
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.9
30.4
31.0
15
101%
6
12
1
1
0
6
2
4
1-1
100%
4-5
4-10
80%
44%
2-2
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.9
29.9
29.2
21
80%
8
2
1
1
0
5
1
7
7-7
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.2
29.5
29.7
25
74%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
49%
3-4
75%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
27.0
27.9
0
0%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.7
22.2
16.9
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.5
14.9
18.0
1
27%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
6.8
5.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
4.3
7.0
4
72%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.7
4.3
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.9
4.3
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.0
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.