FinalWin Prob.pScore
1652%98
82
2748%97
95
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
90.19188.1
ATL logo ATL
105.69093.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL82
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Milicic Layup82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLClaxton STEAL (6 STL)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLMISS Hill 1' Layup79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:01ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)79
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:35ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:35ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:35ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (30 PTS)79
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 1:58ORLHill 2' Layup (14 PTS)79
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 2:13ATLSmith 3' Layup (11 PTS)77
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 2:31ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 2:45ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 2:46ATLMISS Childress 10' Jump Shot75
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:10ORLArroyo 1' Layup (20 PTS)75
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 3:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 3:19ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 3:42ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot73
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 4:08ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS)73
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 4:32ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot73
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 4:56ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (27 PTS)73
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 5:12ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T20)73
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 5:28ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q4 - 5:28ATLChildress Tip Shot (8 PTS)73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q4 - 5:29ATLMISS Claxton 2' Layup73
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 5:41ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q4 - 5:43ORLMISS Garrity 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q4 - 5:58ATLChildress 4' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)73
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q4 - 6:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 6:08ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot73
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 6:22ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 6:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 271
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 6:35ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q4 - 6:57ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P2.T19)71
16.7%
76
83.3%
Q4 - 6:58ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
22.1%
76
77.9%
Q4 - 7:00ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot71
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 7:17ORLArroyo 13' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)71
19.4%
76
80.6%
Q4 - 7:33ATLClaxton 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q4 - 7:55ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
19.2%
74
80.8%
Q4 - 7:57ORLMISS Garrity 17' Jump Shot69
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q4 - 8:13ATLPachulia 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)69
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q4 - 8:37ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)69
31.1%
72
68.9%
Q4 - 8:38ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q4 - 8:40ATLMISS Lue 8' Jump Shot66
20.1%
72
79.9%
Q4 - 8:55ORLSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)66
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q4 - 8:55ORLMagic Rebound66
17.3%
72
82.7%
Q4 - 8:55ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)66
17.3%
72
82.7%
Q4 - 9:21ATLPachulia 1' Layup (12 PTS)66
23.1%
72
76.9%
Q4 - 9:43ORLHoward 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)66
27.3%
70
72.7%
Q4 - 9:56ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P5.T17)64
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q4 - 10:13ORLHoward 1' Dunk (9 PTS)64
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q4 - 10:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
16.9%
70
83.1%
Q4 - 10:19ORLSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)62
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q4 - 10:32ATLSmith 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)62
16.9%
70
83.1%
Q4 - 10:41ORLArroyo 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
20.0%
68
80.0%
Q4 - 11:07ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q4 - 11:13ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q4 - 11:14ORLMISS Garrity 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q4 - 11:20ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
25.0%
66
75.0%
Q4 - 11:23ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Layup60
23.8%
66
76.2%
Q4 - 11:47ORLArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL57
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)57
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLHAWKS Rebound57
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
20.1%
64
79.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
20.1%
64
79.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
23.3%
63
76.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Layup57
27.5%
62
72.5%
Q3 - 1:04ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
31.7%
62
68.3%
Q3 - 1:04ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q3 - 1:08ORLChildress STEAL (2 STL)57
35.9%
60
64.1%
Q3 - 1:15ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 1:17ATLMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot57
39.2%
60
60.8%
Q3 - 1:43ORLMilicic 11' Hook Shot (9 PTS)57
35.9%
60
64.1%
Q3 - 2:06ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)55
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 2:27ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)55
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q3 - 2:31ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 2:34ATLMISS Childress Layup53
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 2:49ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q3 - 2:51ORLMISS Milicic 8' Running Hook Shot53
29.3%
58
70.7%
Q3 - 3:14ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (23 PTS)53
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q3 - 3:28ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)53
37.0%
56
63.0%
Q3 - 3:32ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
41.5%
56
58.5%
Q3 - 3:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
38.3%
56
61.7%
Q3 - 3:50ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)53
41.5%
56
58.5%
Q3 - 4:00ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)53
50.1%
53
49.9%
Q3 - 4:15ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)53
54.9%
53
45.1%
Q3 - 4:31ORLBattie 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)53
49.9%
53
50.1%
Q3 - 4:47ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
46.3%
53
53.7%
Q3 - 4:48ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 251
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 4:48ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)51
42.8%
53
57.2%
Q3 - 5:17ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
46.1%
52
53.9%
Q3 - 5:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 251
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 5:20ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
48.9%
52
51.1%
Q3 - 5:20ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)50
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q3 - 5:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q3 - 5:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot50
43.3%
52
56.7%
Q3 - 5:45ATLWright 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)50
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q3 - 5:59ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
50.2%
50
49.8%
Q3 - 6:01ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot50
53.3%
50
46.7%
Q3 - 6:25ORLTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)50
50.3%
50
49.7%
Q3 - 6:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
46.6%
50
53.4%
Q3 - 6:40ATLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot48
45.3%
50
54.7%
Q3 - 7:02ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
42.1%
50
57.9%
Q3 - 7:23ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
35.3%
50
64.7%
Q3 - 7:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
38.4%
48
61.6%
Q3 - 7:30ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup45
39.7%
48
60.3%
Q3 - 7:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup45
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q3 - 7:54ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
38.4%
48
61.6%
Q3 - 7:54ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q3 - 7:59ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)43
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q3 - 8:10ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMagic Rebound42
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 242
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q3 - 8:22ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T13)42
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q3 - 8:30ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q3 - 8:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 241
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q3 - 8:37ATLClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)41
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q3 - 8:40ORLClaxton STEAL (5 STL)41
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q3 - 9:00ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q3 - 9:02ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot41
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q3 - 9:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q3 - 9:20ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q3 - 9:34ORLNelson 2' Layup (4 PTS)41
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q3 - 9:50ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)39
23.9%
48
76.1%
Q3 - 9:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 9:58ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot39
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 10:12ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q3 - 10:12ORLBattie Layup (2 PTS)39
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup37
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q3 - 10:21ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q3 - 10:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
22.1%
46
77.9%
Q3 - 10:25ATLMISS Pachulia Layup37
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q3 - 10:30ATLMISS Claxton 1' Layup37
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q3 - 11:01ORLHill 2' Layup (12 PTS)37
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q3 - 11:13ORLMagic Rebound35
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q3 - 11:18ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot35
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q3 - 11:34ORLMagic Rebound35
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q3 - 11:36ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot35
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q3 - 11:45ATLHAWKS Rebound35
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q3 - 11:45ATLMISS Claxton Layup35
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL35
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSmith 29' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)35
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLHill Layup (10 PTS)35
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 133
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLShel. Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)33
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot33
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 1:01ORLClaxton STEAL (4 STL)33
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 1:17ATLShel. Williams Layup (2 PTS)33
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 1:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
27.8%
41
72.2%
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS Hill Layup33
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 1:34ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMISS Claxton 9' Jump Shot33
28.8%
41
71.2%
Q2 - 1:55ORLNelson Layup (2 PTS)33
27.8%
41
72.2%
Q2 - 2:04ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 2:04ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 2:04ATLHAWKS Rebound31
28.0%
39
72.0%
Q2 - 2:04ATLMISS Childress 21' Jump Shot31
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q2 - 2:22ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
28.0%
39
72.0%
Q2 - 2:22ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
27.6%
39
72.4%
Q2 - 2:32ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T9)29
25.3%
39
74.7%
Q2 - 2:34ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
23.2%
39
76.8%
Q2 - 2:37ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 2:54ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)29
25.3%
39
74.7%
Q2 - 3:00ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 3:02ORLMISS Dooling 7' Jump Shot29
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 3:20ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
31.5%
37
68.5%
Q2 - 3:21ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 229
31.2%
37
68.8%
Q2 - 3:21ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 3:38ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)29
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 3:44ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 3:47ATLMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot27
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 4:05ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot27
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 4:19ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
29.6%
36
70.4%
Q2 - 4:21ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 4:32ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 4:32ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 4:46ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)25
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q2 - 4:57ORLChildress STEAL (1 STL)25
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 5:09ATLClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)25
25.7%
36
74.3%
Q2 - 5:19ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q2 - 5:22ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot25
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 5:36ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)25
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 5:36ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)25
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 5:56ATLClaxton No Turnover (P2.T6)25
30.2%
34
69.8%
Q2 - 5:56ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 5:56ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q2 - 6:08ATLWright 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 6:30ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
28.2%
32
71.8%
Q2 - 6:30ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q2 - 6:44ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 6:50ATLHAWKS Rebound21
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 221
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 221
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 7:21ATLWright 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)21
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 7:42ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)21
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 7:42ORLMilicic Layup (7 PTS)21
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 7:45ORLMISS Dooling Layup19
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q2 - 8:01ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
32.0%
28
68.0%
Q2 - 8:04ATLMISS Claxton Layup19
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 8:19ORLBogans Foul Turnover (P1.T10)19
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 8:22ATLClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
32.0%
28
68.0%
Q2 - 8:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 8:37ORLMISS Milicic 14' Jump Shot19
30.3%
28
69.7%
Q2 - 8:46ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
32.0%
28
68.0%
Q2 - 9:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q2 - 9:07ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 219
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 9:07ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q2 - 9:20ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 9:20ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q2 - 9:20ATLMISS Jones Layup18
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 9:24ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot18
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 9:45ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q2 - 9:55ATLJones 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)16
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 10:08ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 10:08ORLOutlaw Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 10:10ORLMISS Milicic Layup14
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q2 - 10:33ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q2 - 10:33ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q2 - 10:42ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 213
27.9%
24
72.1%
Q2 - 10:50ATLJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)13
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 11:14ORLArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)13
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q2 - 11:35ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q2 - 11:38ATLMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot11
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL11
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Jones Layup11
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Milicic Layup11
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot11
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLMilicic 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)11
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q1 - 1:14ORLMagic Rebound9
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 1:14ATLMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot9
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 1:24ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 1:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 1:40ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMilicic Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)9
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 2:04ATLWright 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bozeman 2 AST)7
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 2:21ORLDooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)7
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 2:33ATLJones Layup (2 PTS) (Bozeman 1 AST)7
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 2:35ATLHAWKS Rebound7
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 2:35ATLMISS Childress Layup7
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 2:39ATLHAWKS Rebound7
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 2:41ATLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot7
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 2:57ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 2:59ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 27
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 2:59ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 3:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)6
32.7%
15
67.3%
Q1 - 3:31ORLHill Layup (4 PTS)6
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 3:41ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 3:56ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 3:57ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup4
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMagic Rebound4
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 4:07ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)4
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 4:24ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 4:38ORLMilicic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)4
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 4:53ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Milicic Layup4
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 5:01ORLMISS Milicic Layup4
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 5:03ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Battie Layup4
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 5:17ATLPachulia Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 5:21ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 5:24ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot4
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 5:47ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
37.4%
12
62.6%
Q1 - 6:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 24
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 24
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 6:16ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.8%
12
62.2%
Q1 - 6:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 24
37.6%
12
62.4%
Q1 - 6:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 6:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 6:18ATLMISS Smith Layup4
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 6:22ATLMISS Shel. Williams 5' Jump Shot4
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:41ATLHAWKS Rebound4
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 6:43ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup4
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 6:46ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 6:48ORLMISS Nelson Layup4
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 7:01ATLPachulia 4' Layup (4 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)4
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:21ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T7)4
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 7:31ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:31ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 7:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 7:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 8:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 8:03ATLMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot4
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 8:23ORLHill 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 8:46ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 8:50ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot2
44.1%
7
55.9%
Q1 - 9:00ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
42.6%
7
57.4%
Q1 - 9:03ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot2
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 9:07ATLHAWKS Rebound2
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 9:07ATLMISS Claxton Layup2
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 9:07ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 9:12ATLMISS Claxton Layup2
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 9:18ORLShel. Williams STEAL (1 STL)2
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 9:30ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 9:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
45.1%
6
54.9%
Q1 - 9:33ORLJohnson STEAL (3 STL)2
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 9:47ATLJump Ball Shel. Williams vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson2
48.5%
5
51.5%
Q1 - 9:48ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup2
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 9:59ORLClaxton STEAL (2 STL)2
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 10:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.3%
5
51.7%
Q1 - 10:05ATLMISS Johnson Layup2
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 10:22ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS)2
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 10:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
44.6%
5
55.4%
Q1 - 10:27ORLMISS Battie Layup0
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 10:36ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)0
44.6%
5
55.4%
Q1 - 10:58ORLClaxton STEAL (1 STL)0
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:16ATLShel. Williams Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 11:18ORLJohnson STEAL (2 STL)0
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 11:32ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 11:38ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:43ORLMISS Howard Layup0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
53.7%
0
46.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.91 45.6%
ATL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
36
44%
ATL
11
28
39%
Midrange
ORL
13
27
48%
ATL
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
ATL
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
Free Throws
ORL
18
29
62%
ATL
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Arroyo22100%11.0 / 11
G. Hill1450%7.0 / 14
D. Howard1161%5.5 / 9
D. Milicic932%4.5 / 14
T. Battie758%3.5 / 6
K. Dooling525%2.5 / 10
J. Nelson433%2.0 / 6
H. Turkoglu314%1.5 / 11
T. Diener3-0.0 / 0
K. Bogans250%1.0 / 2
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3167%15.5 / 23
Z. Pachulia1777%8.5 / 11
J. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
J. Childress850%4.0 / 8
L. Wright857%4.0 / 7
S. Claxton625%3.0 / 12
T. Lue638%3.0 / 8
S. Jones660%3.0 / 5
S. Williams225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
70
+18
-21
88
ATL
73
+15
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.91 45.6%
ATL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
102.9
ORL 90.1 +15.4
ATL 105.6
Pace
89.8
90.2
ORL 88.1
ATL 93.1 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
ORL 16.4
ATL 15.5 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.1%
ORL 43.2%
ATL 44.5% +1.3%
TO %
18.0%
16.7%
ORL 20.2%
ATL 16.1% +4.1%
ORB %
29.3%
29.3%
ORL 32.6% +6.3%
ATL 26.3%
FTrt
39.3
34.6
ORL 39.2
ATL 47.9 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
55.6%
ORL 25.8%
ATL 51.6% +25.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
ORL 6.6%
ATL 14.4% +7.8%
BLK %
8.5%
8.7%
ORL 9.1% +2.8%
ATL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
50.8%
ORL 45.6%
ATL 51.6% +6.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
55.2%
ORL 44.4% +5.1%
ATL 39.3%
Mid FG%
38.3%
39.3%
ORL 48.1% +3.4%
ATL 44.7%
3P %
35.6%
32.9%
ORL 18.2%
ATL 42.9% +24.7%
FT %
70.2%
76.1%
ORL 62.1%
ATL 85.7% +23.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
38.8%
ORL 48.6% +10.3%
ATL 38.4%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
44.9%
ORL 36.5% +15.6%
ATL 52.1%
3P Att. %
15.8%
16.3%
ORL 14.9% +5.3%
ATL 9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points8295
Rebounds4239
Assists816
Steals613
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals31-7431-73
At-the-Rim FG16-3611-28
Midrange FG13-2717-38
2-Point FG29-6328-66
3-Point FG2-113-7
Free Throws18-2930-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 34
29.3
14
50%
5
0
1
0
3
4
0
5
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'10" 220 · 28
26.1
3
14%
5
2
0
0
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
24.6
11
61%
8
0
1
2
5
5
3
5
5-8
63%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
23.1
7
58%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
22.7
4
33%
1
1
2
0
5
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
25.4
5
25%
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
25.3
22
100%
3
3
0
0
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
8-8
100%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
24.7
9
32%
6
1
0
3
1
2
5
1
1-6
17%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26
15.2
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
12.4
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
10.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
0.8
3
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
46%
42
8
6
6
21
0
14
28
18-29
62%
29-63
46%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.