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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets51%9590
19Hornets49%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
43.6
31.8
18
58%
7
5
3
1
0
0
1
6
3-6
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
5-11
45%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
39.9
27.8
14
41%
7
7
2
1
0
5
1
6
4-5
80%
5-12
5-12
42%
44%
0-3
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
37.1
38.0
13
50%
4
3
1
2
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-8
60%
41%
2-7
29%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.1
27.7
33.5
17
59%
10
1
0
1
0
2
4
6
5-8
63%
6-11
8-16
55%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.4
22.4
14.8
4
40%
10
0
1
1
0
5
4
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
19.1
19.8
10
56%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
16.6
18.5
4
33%
6
2
1
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
15.0
26.8
6
47%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
13.8
5.8
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
3.2
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
1.8
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
5.0
0
0-1
42%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.5
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.5
38.3
32.6
12
45%
3
16
3
2
0
5
1
2
2-3
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
36.7
29.3
22
58%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
8-11
73%
7-13
7-13
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.1
32.7
27.1
8
39%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
3-9
4-9
33%
43%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.4
29.7
26.6
16
67%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
5-8
63%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.1
26.2
29.2
8
54%
11
0
1
1
0
1
5
6
4-10
40%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.6
26.1
24.1
12
56%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
17.0
19.0
11
110%
2
0
3
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
3-3
100%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
13.9
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.0
10.2
13.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
39%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.4
9.2
11.4
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21.9
4.9
0
1-1
47%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.5
4.4
0
1-1
44%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.