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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs67%99105
29Knicks33%9393
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
35.8
32.6
15
53%
8
3
1
1
2
4
3
5
3-5
60%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
34.6
33.5
24
71%
3
10
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
9-14
8-14
64%
52%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
29.2
30.6
15
67%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.4
28.9
30.7
6
75%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
19.3
18.8
4
67%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
26.1
19.5
19
97%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
5-7
71%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
21.3
20.7
4
42%
4
1
0
1
2
3
0
4
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
15.9
14.0
8
51%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
14.2
9.2
5
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
13.2
17.7
5
28%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-6
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.2
14.1
1
1-1
42%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
1.8
0
0-0
44%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.7
34.4
26.2
18
67%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.6
28.0
33.7
14
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-8
63%
3-7
3-7
43%
42%
1-2
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.9
27.5
35.1
13
52%
11
0
0
1
0
5
2
9
5-8
63%
4-9
6-11
44%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.5
13.4
21.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.7
10.5
30.4
6
100%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.6
33.5
25.0
7
39%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.4
26.4
23.5
15
44%
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
5-5
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
43%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.5
22.3
20.7
4
40%
9
2
0
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.0
21.9
2.2
8
103%
3
2
3
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.3
10.3
6.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
9.5
1.7
8
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-3
0-0
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.2
0.8
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.0
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.