| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 DAL | 111.8 | 93 | 93.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
GSW
76
+10
-17
86
DAL
81
+15
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
GSW
1.24 62.2%
DAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | GSW | DAL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 107 100% | 104 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 107 99.0% | 104 1.0% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | DAL | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 107 87.4% | 104 12.6% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | GSW | MISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot | 107 90.0% | 104 10.0% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | DAL | Stackhouse Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 107 91.0% | 104 9.0% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 107 74.0% | 104 26.0% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | GSW | MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot | 107 78.2% | 104 21.8% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | DAL | Harris Running Layup (17 PTS) | 107 80.1% | 104 19.9% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | GSW | Harris STEAL (3 STL) | 107 85.7% | 102 14.3% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | DAL | Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 107 90.2% | 102 9.8% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 107 93.1% | 100 6.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | DAL | MISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 107 95.3% | 100 4.7% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 107 91.9% | 100 8.1% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | GSW | MISS Richardson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 107 93.1% | 100 6.9% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | DAL | Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST) | 107 94.5% | 100 5.5% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | GSW | Richardson Running Layup (22 PTS) (Davis 8 AST) | 107 96.8% | 97 3.2% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | DAL | Harris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 105 96.1% | 97 3.9% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | DAL | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 105 90.5% | 97 9.5% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | GSW | MISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot | 105 91.9% | 97 8.1% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | GSW | Ellis Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 105 94.5% | 97 5.5% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | GSW | Ellis Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 104 93.9% | 97 6.1% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | DAL | Nowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11) | 103 88.0% | 97 12.0% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 103 79.8% | 97 20.2% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | GSW | Richardson Tip Shot (20 PTS) | 103 79.8% | 97 20.2% |
| Q4 - 3:31 | GSW | MISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot | 101 61.0% | 97 39.0% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | GSW | Warriors Rebound | 101 68.2% | 97 31.8% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | DAL | MISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 101 65.5% | 97 34.5% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 101 59.7% | 97 40.3% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 100 57.2% | 97 42.8% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | DAL | Harris Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 99 51.3% | 97 48.7% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | GSW | Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST) | 99 60.3% | 95 39.7% |
| Q4 - 5:07 | DAL | Croshere Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 96 38.3% | 95 61.7% |
| Q4 - 5:19 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 96 30.6% | 95 69.4% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | GSW | MISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot | 96 32.9% | 95 67.1% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | DAL | Harris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 96 38.5% | 95 61.5% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | DAL | MISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 40.4% | 94 59.6% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | GSW | Murphy Reverse Dunk (20 PTS) (Davis 7 AST) | 96 38.3% | 94 61.7% |
| Q4 - 6:10 | DAL | Buckner 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 6 AST) | 94 29.4% | 94 70.6% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 94 35.1% | 92 64.9% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | GSW | MISS Davis Driving Layup | 94 37.5% | 92 62.5% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | DAL | Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST) | 94 43.5% | 92 56.5% |
| Q4 - 7:11 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 94 53.5% | 89 46.5% |
| Q4 - 7:12 | GSW | MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 94 54.5% | 89 45.5% |
| Q4 - 7:12 | GSW | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 94 58.5% | 89 41.5% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 93 54.5% | 89 45.5% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | DAL | MISS Terry 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 93 52.1% | 89 47.9% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | GSW | Biedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 93 46.8% | 89 53.2% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | GSW | MISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 | 92 43.2% | 89 56.8% |
| Q4 - 8:02 | DAL | Johnson Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS) | 92 45.1% | 89 54.9% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | GSW | Pietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 92 51.4% | 87 48.6% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | GSW | Pietrus Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS) | 92 51.4% | 87 48.6% |
| Q4 - 8:17 | GSW | MISS Davis 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 90 40.8% | 87 59.2% |
| Q4 - 8:44 | DAL | Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST) | 90 45.3% | 87 54.7% |
| Q4 - 9:07 | GSW | Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 6 AST) | 90 54.7% | 84 45.3% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | DAL | MAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 87 43.2% | 84 56.8% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 87 37.1% | 84 62.9% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 4' Jump Shot | 87 41.3% | 84 58.7% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | GSW | Pietrus Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Davis 5 AST) | 87 37.2% | 84 62.8% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 85 31.3% | 84 68.7% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | GSW | MISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot | 85 27.8% | 84 72.2% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | DAL | Stackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 85 31.3% | 84 68.7% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | DAL | Stackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 85 26.3% | 84 73.7% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | GSW | MISS Pietrus Layup | 85 27.8% | 84 72.2% |
| Q4 - 10:39 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 85 31.3% | 84 68.7% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | DAL | MISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot | 85 29.7% | 84 70.3% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | GSW | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 85 26.3% | 84 73.7% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | GSW | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 25.1% | 84 74.9% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 84 26.7% | 84 73.3% |
| Q4 - 11:05 | DAL | MISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 25.4% | 84 74.6% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | DAL | Stackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 84 22.5% | 84 77.5% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | DAL | MISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 25.4% | 84 74.6% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | DAL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 84 22.5% | 84 77.5% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | GSW | MISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot | 84 23.7% | 84 76.3% |
| Q4 - 11:32 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 84 26.7% | 84 73.3% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | GSW | MISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot | 84 23.7% | 84 76.3% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | DAL | Buckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 84 26.7% | 84 73.3% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | DAL | MISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 27.5% | 83 72.5% |
| Q4 - 11:49 | GSW | Terry STEAL (3 STL) | 84 26.5% | 83 73.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 84 31.2% | 83 68.8% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 84 26.5% | 83 73.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | GSW | MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 27.9% | 83 72.1% |
| Q3 - 0:08.0 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 84 30.1% | 83 69.9% |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse Layup | 84 28.8% | 83 71.2% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | GSW | Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 84 26.0% | 83 74.0% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | DAL | Stackhouse Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS) | 81 18.9% | 83 81.1% |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | DAL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 81 22.3% | 81 77.7% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | GSW | MISS Richardson Layup | 81 23.4% | 81 76.6% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 81 26.1% | 81 73.9% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | GSW | MISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot | 81 23.4% | 81 76.6% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | DAL | Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Terry 5 AST) | 81 25.4% | 81 74.6% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | GSW | Davis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 81 33.3% | 78 66.7% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 79 29.3% | 78 70.7% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 79 29.7% | 77 70.3% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | GSW | Richardson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) | 79 33.4% | 76 66.6% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 77 28.3% | 76 71.7% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | DAL | MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 27.1% | 76 72.9% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | DAL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 77 24.4% | 76 75.6% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | GSW | Buckner BLOCK (1 BLK) | 77 25.6% | 76 74.4% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS) | 77 28.4% | 76 71.6% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | GSW | Richardson 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 77 36.2% | 73 63.8% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 75 31.8% | 73 68.2% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 4' Fadeaway Jumper | 75 30.6% | 73 69.4% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 75 27.8% | 73 72.2% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 74 26.8% | 73 73.2% |
| Q3 - 3:28 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 73 24.6% | 73 75.4% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | DAL | MISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 23.5% | 73 76.5% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 73 21.2% | 73 78.8% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | GSW | Harris BLOCK (2 BLK) | 73 22.2% | 73 77.8% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 73 24.6% | 73 75.4% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | DAL | MISS Croshere 17' Jump Shot | 73 23.5% | 73 76.5% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | GSW | Ellis Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 73 21.2% | 73 78.8% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | GSW | Ellis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 23.9% | 73 76.1% |
| Q3 - 4:05 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot | 73 22.8% | 73 77.2% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 73 20.5% | 73 79.5% |
| Q3 - 4:21 | GSW | MISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 21.6% | 73 78.4% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | GSW | Ellis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 24.0% | 73 76.0% |
| Q3 - 4:31 | DAL | MISS Croshere 16' Jump Shot | 73 22.9% | 73 77.1% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 73 20.6% | 73 79.4% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | DAL | MISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot | 73 22.9% | 73 77.1% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | GSW | Davis 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST) | 73 20.6% | 73 79.4% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 15.8% | 73 84.2% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | DAL | MISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 15.1% | 73 84.9% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | GSW | Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST) | 70 13.5% | 73 86.5% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 67 10.2% | 73 89.8% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | GSW | MISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 9.1% | 73 90.9% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | DAL | Buckner 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 4 AST) | 67 10.3% | 73 89.7% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | GSW | Barnes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST) | 67 13.5% | 70 86.5% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | DAL | Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 65 11.9% | 70 88.1% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | DAL | Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 65 12.2% | 69 87.8% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | GSW | Murphy 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Davis 4 AST) | 65 13.6% | 68 86.4% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | DAL | Buckner 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 63 12.1% | 68 87.9% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | GSW | Richardson Foul Turnover (P4.T14) | 63 13.5% | 66 86.5% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | DAL | Buckner Running Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST) | 63 15.7% | 66 84.3% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | GSW | Terry STEAL (2 STL) | 63 17.6% | 64 82.4% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 63 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | GSW | MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot | 63 18.4% | 64 81.6% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 20.1% | 64 79.9% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | DAL | MISS Harris Running Layup | 63 19.3% | 64 80.7% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | DAL | Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 63 17.5% | 64 82.5% |
| Q3 - 8:27 | GSW | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 18.3% | 64 81.7% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 63 20.1% | 64 79.9% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | DAL | MISS Harris 19' Jump Shot | 63 19.3% | 64 80.7% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 63 17.5% | 64 82.5% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | GSW | MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 18.3% | 64 81.7% |
| Q3 - 9:10 | DAL | Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST) | 63 19.4% | 64 80.6% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 24.3% | 61 75.7% |
| Q3 - 9:18 | GSW | MISS Biedrins Layup | 63 25.1% | 61 74.9% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 63 27.2% | 61 72.8% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 63 27.5% | 60 72.5% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | GSW | Davis 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST) | 63 30.2% | 59 69.8% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 61 26.4% | 59 73.6% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | DAL | MISS Terry 21' Jump Shot | 61 25.5% | 59 74.5% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | GSW | Richardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12) | 61 23.5% | 59 76.5% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | DAL | Nowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 61 26.4% | 59 73.6% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | GSW | Richardson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST) | 61 23.5% | 59 76.5% |
| Q3 - 11:05 | DAL | Terry Traveling Turnover (P2.T6) | 59 20.6% | 59 79.4% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 59 18.3% | 59 81.7% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 58 17.8% | 59 82.2% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | DAL | Diop Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5) | 57 16.4% | 59 83.6% |
| Q3 - 11:32 | DAL | Diop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 57 14.6% | 59 85.4% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 23' Jump Shot | 57 15.9% | 59 84.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 57 14.6% | 59 85.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | GSW | Warriors Rebound | 57 16.5% | 59 83.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | GSW | MISS Davis 41' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 15.1% | 59 84.9% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 16.2% | 59 83.8% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | DAL | MISS Dampier Layup | 57 15.8% | 59 84.2% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 57 15.0% | 59 85.0% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | DAL | MISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 15.8% | 59 84.2% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 57 14.9% | 59 85.0% |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | GSW | MISS Murphy 14' Jump Shot | 57 15.3% | 59 84.7% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 57 16.2% | 59 83.8% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | GSW | Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 57 15.2% | 59 84.8% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | GSW | Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 56 14.7% | 59 85.3% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | DAL | Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST) | 55 12.9% | 59 87.1% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | GSW | Ellis Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST) | 55 17.0% | 56 83.0% |
| Q2 - 1:48 | GSW | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 14.5% | 56 85.5% |
| Q2 - 1:49 | DAL | MISS Terry 17' Jump Shot | 53 14.2% | 56 85.8% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | GSW | Pietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11) | 53 13.4% | 56 86.6% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 53 14.8% | 56 85.2% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 53 14.9% | 55 85.1% |
| Q2 - 2:36 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw Technical (12 PTS) | 53 16.6% | 54 83.4% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | GSW | Pietrus Traveling Turnover (P3.T10) | 53 18.4% | 53 81.6% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | GSW | Dunleavy Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 53 19.9% | 53 80.1% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | DAL | Harris 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diop 1 AST) | 52 18.1% | 53 81.9% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 52 19.7% | 51 80.3% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | GSW | MISS Davis 12' Jump Shot | 52 20.3% | 51 79.7% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | GSW | Pietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 52 21.9% | 51 78.1% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot | 52 21.2% | 51 78.8% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | GSW | Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 52 19.7% | 51 80.3% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | GSW | MISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 19.3% | 51 80.7% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | GSW | Dunleavy Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 51 19.9% | 51 80.1% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | GSW | Dunleavy Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 50 18.1% | 51 81.9% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 49 16.4% | 51 83.6% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | DAL | MISS Terry Layup | 49 15.8% | 51 84.2% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | DAL | Diop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 49 14.5% | 51 85.5% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | DAL | MISS Harris Layup | 49 15.5% | 51 84.5% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | GSW | Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST) | 49 14.5% | 51 85.5% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | DAL | Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 4 AST) | 46 11.9% | 51 88.1% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 13.1% | 49 86.9% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | GSW | MISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot | 46 13.6% | 49 86.4% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | DAL | Nowitzki Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Terry 3 AST) | 46 14.5% | 49 85.5% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | GSW | Davis 8' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) | 46 15.8% | 47 84.2% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | GSW | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 44 14.5% | 47 85.5% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot | 44 14.0% | 47 86.0% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | DAL | Diop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 44 13.0% | 47 87.0% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | GSW | MISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot | 44 13.4% | 47 86.6% |
| Q2 - 6:04 | DAL | Terry 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST) | 44 14.5% | 47 85.5% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | GSW | Harris STEAL (2 STL) | 44 15.6% | 45 84.4% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | DAL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 44 17.4% | 45 82.6% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | DAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 44 17.8% | 44 82.2% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 17.1% | 44 82.9% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | GSW | Harris BLOCK (1 BLK) | 44 17.7% | 44 82.3% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | GSW | Pietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 18.8% | 44 81.2% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | GSW | MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 17.7% | 44 82.3% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | DAL | Howard Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS) | 44 18.8% | 44 81.2% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | GSW | Ellis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST) | 44 20.4% | 42 79.6% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 18.8% | 42 81.2% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | DAL | MISS Harris Driving Layup | 42 18.3% | 42 81.7% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | GSW | Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST) | 42 17.2% | 42 82.8% |
| Q2 - 8:04 | GSW | Ellis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 14.5% | 42 85.5% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | DAL | MISS Terry 21' Jump Shot | 39 14.0% | 42 86.0% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | GSW | Davis Running Dunk (12 PTS) | 39 13.1% | 42 86.9% |
| Q2 - 8:48 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 2 AST) | 37 12.1% | 42 87.9% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | GSW | Murphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 37 13.0% | 40 87.0% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | DAL | Harris 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 34 11.0% | 40 89.0% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 11.9% | 38 88.1% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | GSW | MISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot | 34 12.3% | 38 87.7% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | DAL | Howard Running Finger Roll (10 PTS) | 34 13.2% | 38 86.8% |
| Q2 - 10:00 | GSW | Howard STEAL (2 STL) | 34 14.2% | 36 85.8% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | GSW | Warriors Rebound | 34 15.8% | 36 84.2% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | DAL | MISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 15.3% | 36 84.7% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | GSW | Murphy Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 34 14.3% | 36 85.7% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | DAL | Croshere Layup (2 PTS) | 32 13.3% | 36 86.7% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | DAL | Croshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 32 14.3% | 34 85.7% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | DAL | MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 15.3% | 34 84.7% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | GSW | Richardson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 32 14.3% | 34 85.7% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | GSW | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 13.0% | 34 87.0% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | DAL | MISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 12.6% | 34 87.4% |
| Q2 - 11:27 | GSW | Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 30 11.9% | 34 88.1% |
| Q2 - 11:41 | DAL | Dampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3) | 27 10.0% | 34 90.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 27 9.2% | 34 90.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 27 9.2% | 34 90.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Croshere 22' Jump Shot | 27 9.8% | 34 90.2% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | GSW | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 27 9.3% | 34 90.7% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | DAL | Stackhouse Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) | 27 10.0% | 34 90.0% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | DAL | Stackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 11.1% | 32 88.9% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DAL | MISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 2 | 27 11.7% | 32 88.3% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DAL | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 27 11.2% | 32 88.8% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 12.0% | 31 88.0% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 12.6% | 31 87.4% |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | GSW | Murphy 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 27 12.0% | 31 88.0% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | DAL | Stackhouse 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 25 10.8% | 31 89.2% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | GSW | Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 25 12.0% | 29 88.0% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | DAL | Dampier Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 25 12.9% | 29 87.1% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | GSW | Richardson 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST) | 25 14.2% | 27 85.8% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | DAL | Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST) | 22 11.8% | 27 88.2% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | DAL | Stackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 14.2% | 24 85.8% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | GSW | MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot | 22 14.5% | 24 85.5% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 22 15.2% | 24 84.8% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 22 15.3% | 23 84.7% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | GSW | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 22 16.5% | 22 83.5% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | GSW | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 21 16.2% | 22 83.8% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | DAL | Dampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 20 15.2% | 22 84.8% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | GSW | Davis Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 20 16.2% | 20 83.8% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | GSW | Pietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 15.2% | 20 84.8% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 | 18 15.0% | 20 85.0% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 14.1% | 20 85.9% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | GSW | Davis Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 18 15.0% | 19 85.0% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | DAL | Terry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 15 13.0% | 19 87.0% |
| Q1 - 3:55 | GSW | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 15 11.9% | 19 88.1% |
| Q1 - 3:55 | GSW | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 14 11.6% | 19 88.4% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | DAL | Dampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 14 11.9% | 19 88.1% |
| Q1 - 4:22 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 14 12.6% | 17 87.4% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | GSW | MISS Davis Layup | 14 13.0% | 17 87.0% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | DAL | Harris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1) | 14 13.9% | 17 86.1% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | GSW | Terry STEAL (1 STL) | 14 12.6% | 17 87.4% |
| Q1 - 5:08 | DAL | Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST) | 14 13.6% | 17 86.4% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | GSW | Murphy Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 14 15.6% | 14 84.4% |
| Q1 - 5:28 | GSW | Pietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 14.6% | 14 85.4% |
| Q1 - 5:29 | DAL | MISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot | 12 14.3% | 14 85.7% |
| Q1 - 5:34 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 12 13.5% | 14 86.5% |
| Q1 - 5:34 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Shot | 12 14.3% | 14 85.7% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | GSW | Murphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 13.5% | 14 86.5% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | GSW | Murphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 11 13.3% | 14 86.7% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 12.6% | 14 87.4% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | DAL | MISS Howard 11' Jump Shot | 10 12.3% | 14 87.7% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | GSW | Howard STEAL (1 STL) | 10 11.7% | 14 88.3% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | DAL | Terry 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 10 12.6% | 14 87.4% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | GSW | Davis 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 10 13.4% | 12 86.6% |
| Q1 - 6:59 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 8 12.6% | 12 87.4% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | DAL | MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot | 8 12.3% | 12 87.7% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | GSW | Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 8 11.7% | 12 88.3% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 5 10.3% | 12 89.7% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | GSW | MISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot | 5 9.7% | 12 90.3% |
| Q1 - 7:54 | DAL | Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 1 AST) | 5 10.3% | 12 89.7% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | GSW | Murphy 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 11.5% | 9 88.5% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 10.9% | 9 89.1% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | DAL | MISS Harris Layup | 3 10.6% | 9 89.4% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 3 10.1% | 9 89.9% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | DAL | MISS Harris Layup | 3 10.6% | 9 89.4% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 10.1% | 9 89.9% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | GSW | MISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot | 3 10.3% | 9 89.7% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | DAL | Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 3 10.9% | 9 89.1% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | GSW | Harris STEAL (1 STL) | 3 12.1% | 6 87.9% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | DAL | Nowitzki Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 3 13.2% | 6 86.8% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 13.8% | 4 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | GSW | MISS Davis 16' Jump Shot | 3 14.2% | 4 85.8% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 3 15.0% | 4 85.0% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Tip Shot | 3 14.7% | 4 85.3% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 3 13.8% | 4 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | DAL | MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot | 3 14.7% | 4 85.3% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 13.9% | 4 86.1% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | GSW | MISS Richardson Layup | 3 14.2% | 4 85.8% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 3 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | DAL | MISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 3 14.6% | 4 85.4% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | GSW | Murphy Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 3 13.8% | 4 86.2% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | DAL | Harris Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST) | 3 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | GSW | Nowitzki STEAL (1 STL) | 3 15.7% | 2 84.3% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | DAL | Howard Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 3 16.7% | 2 83.3% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | GSW | Biedrins Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 3 17.8% | 0 82.2% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | GSW | Biedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 1 16.7% | 0 83.3% |
| Q1 - 11:28 | DAL | MISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot | 1 16.4% | 0 83.6% |
| Q1 - 11:47 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 15.7% | 0 84.3% |
| Q1 - 11:47 | GSW | MISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 0 15.5% | 0 84.5% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DAL | Jump Ball Diop vs. Biedrins: Tip to Murphy | 0 15.7% | 0 84.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
GSW
1.24 62.2%
DAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
14
21
67%
DAL
19
31
61%
Midrange
GSW
12
29
41%
DAL
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
DAL
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
Free Throws
GSW
25
31
81%
DAL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Warriors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Davis | 26 | 50% | 13.0 / 26 | |
| J. Richardson | 22 | 48% | 11.0 / 23 | |
| T. Murphy | 20 | 91% | 10.0 / 11 | |
| M. Ellis | 16 | 80% | 8.0 / 10 | |
| M. Pietrus | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| M. Dunleavy | 6 | 150% | 3.0 / 2 | |
| A. Biedrins | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| M. Barnes | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Mavericks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nowitzki | 26 | 87% | 13.0 / 15 | |
| D. Harris | 17 | 57% | 8.5 / 15 | |
| J. Terry | 15 | 47% | 7.5 / 16 | |
| J. Howard | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| G. Buckner | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| E. Dampier | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. Stackhouse | 6 | 25% | 3.0 / 12 | |
| A. Johnson | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| A. Croshere | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 | |
| D. Diop | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
GSW
76
+10
-17
86
DAL
81
+15
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
GSW
1.24 62.2%
DAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.2 110.8 | GSW 115.1 +3.2 DAL 111.8 |
| Pace | 99.1 90.0 | GSW 92.2 DAL 93.8 +1.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.0 16.8 | GSW 15.6 DAL 15.4 +0.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.2% 50.9% | GSW 56.2% +3.8% DAL 52.4% |
| TO % | 15.8% 14.5% | GSW 16.4% DAL 12.3% +4.1% |
| ORB % | 25.7% 28.8% | GSW 24.3% DAL 26.8% +2.5% |
| FTrt | 30.0 31.7 | GSW 42.5 +16.0 DAL 26.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.8% 54.2% | GSW 52.8% DAL 60.5% +7.7% |
| STL % | 9.2% 7.6% | GSW 5.4% DAL 10.8% +5.4% |
| BLK % | 9.0% 7.9% | GSW 11.3% +5.3% DAL 6.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.82 and 2.82.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.8% 54.1% | GSW 62.2% +8.6% DAL 53.6% |
| Rim FG% | 59.4% 58.4% | GSW 66.7% +5.4% DAL 61.3% |
| Mid FG% | 38.2% 43.3% | GSW 41.4% +5.0% DAL 36.4% |
| 3P % | 35.6% 38.1% | GSW 43.5% +6.8% DAL 36.7% |
| FT % | 71.7% 80.5% | GSW 80.6% +3.3% DAL 77.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 41.5% 30.1% | GSW 28.8% DAL 37.3% +8.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 30.6% 48.1% | GSW 39.7% DAL 26.5% +13.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 27.9% 21.8% | GSW 31.5% DAL 36.1% +4.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.
| Game Totals | GSW | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 93 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.2 | 23.8 |
| Points | 107 | 104 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 39 |
| Assists | 19 | 23 |
| Steals | 5 | 10 |
| Blocks | 6 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 17 (0) | 12 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (1) | 11 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (2) | 28 (0) |
| Field Goals | 36-73 | 38-83 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-21 | 19-31 |
| Midrange FG | 12-29 | 8-22 |
| 2-Point FG | 26-50 | 27-53 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-23 | 11-30 |
| Free Throws | 25-31 | 17-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.