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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors21%92107
3Mavericks79%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
48.0
29.4
26
50%
7
8
2
1
1
4
2
5
6-9
67%
7-14
4-9
50%
43%
2-8
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.5
42.5
27.9
20
88%
6
4
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-3
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
44%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
36.0
24.7
12
68%
5
1
0
1
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
34.1
29.6
22
49%
7
2
1
1
0
4
2
5
7-8
88%
6-16
4-8
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
26.7
20.0
3
52%
8
1
1
1
3
0
3
5
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.0
31.1
25.5
16
74%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
3-4
75%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
13.0
29.6
6
90%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
3-6
-
45%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
8.7
5.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
22.0
0
3-7
49%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
9.5
0
1-2
47%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.7
8.9
0
1-2
42%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.0
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
43.1
33.8
26
85%
11
6
1
1
0
3
1
10
11-12
92%
6-9
6-13
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
36.5
29.4
15
47%
2
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
3-8
38%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
34.0
14.6
17
57%
6
4
3
1
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
5-11
2-4
45%
49%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
14.9
32.3
13
60%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
5-10
60%
49%
2-5
40%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
13.0
21.0
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.0
25.8
24.3
6
25%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
0-4
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.1
22.7
20.9
13
82%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
52%
2-4
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.1
19.1
19.7
5
50%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.5
16.1
15.5
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
14.8
22.0
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.7
6.1
0
1-1
47%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.