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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13SuperSonics37%9887
10Heat63%10290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
41.8
38.6
23
61%
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
2-6
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
38.0
36.4
18
46%
4
3
1
1
1
4
3
1
4-6
67%
1-10
5-10
10%
47%
4-7
57%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
26.0
33.6
3
23%
6
5
3
1
0
3
2
4
1-1
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
25.3
29.8
7
51%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.8
12.6
21.1
2
114%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.4
29.7
22.8
8
50%
3
6
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.0
28.2
15.3
8
67%
10
1
1
0
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.8
22.0
23.4
8
46%
4
1
1
1
0
5
1
3
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.6
16.4
8.3
10
105%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.5
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.5
1.3
0
0-0
38%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.1
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.9
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
42.7
31.9
8
33%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
2-6
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
42.5
36.8
31
51%
7
6
2
2
3
7
3
4
14-17
82%
7-19
8-16
37%
52%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
32.9
36.9
11
47%
8
1
4
1
0
2
3
5
3-4
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
32.4
31.5
12
40%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-2
0%
6-10
3-5
60%
49%
0-4
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.7
30.1
14.0
13
67%
6
0
0
0
4
2
4
2
3-6
50%
5-7
2-3
71%
57%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.9
27.1
21.4
9
61%
5
6
1
1
2
1
0
5
3-3
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.8
22.1
28.8
6
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
10.2
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
11.6
0
1-2
45%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
2.6
0
0-1
54%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.