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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Rockets68%9486
28Grizzlies32%8880
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
43.1
36.8
10
64%
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
3-7
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
41.5
35.8
12
55%
5
2
4
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
39.0
31.8
19
50%
9
4
2
1
0
6
2
7
7-9
78%
6-11
6-12
55%
45%
0-4
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
34.6
30.7
24
65%
7
1
1
0
3
6
3
4
8-8
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.4
25.5
18.0
12
64%
11
2
1
1
2
0
6
5
2-3
67%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
23.9
19.1
3
30%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-5
20%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
16.9
21.8
4
35%
4
4
0
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
6.9
9.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
5.7
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
2.9
6.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
7.3
0
1-1
47%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.6
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.0
34.5
23.3
14
66%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
3-4
2-3
75%
44%
1-4
25%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.7
34.1
35.3
10
51%
5
3
1
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
2-6
33%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
22.3
20.8
2
33%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.3
18.9
30.5
7
51%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.4
10.6
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.2
25.8
22.2
9
32%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.5
23.1
10.4
6
50%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
22.8
16.6
15
52%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
6-13
3-6
46%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.2
17.4
21.2
12
60%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
2-3
67%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
17.0
19.7
2
33%
8
1
0
1
0
3
5
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
13.5
17.7
3
52%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.6
14.5
1
1-3
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.