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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12SuperSonics39%10087
20Magic61%10488
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
42.0
36.6
21
64%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
47%
4-8
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
37.1
30.2
10
54%
4
6
3
1
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
1-1
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
36.6
39.6
16
48%
4
0
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
31.4
27.5
8
84%
4
3
5
1
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.8
19.1
17.1
8
44%
2
0
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.0
31.5
21.2
10
43%
6
1
1
0
2
3
3
3
4-4
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.4
16.9
25.8
4
31%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.6
13.7
11.8
4
24%
8
0
0
0
0
3
5
3
0-1
0%
2-8
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.8
11.7
22.7
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.5
5.0
0
1-1
47%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.5
1.2
0
0-0
38%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.2
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.9
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.6
34.4
30.4
18
57%
2
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
2-7
29%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.1
33.0
26.9
12
51%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
6-10
5-9
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
32.6
25.6
6
53%
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-6
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.9
30.4
31.2
8
68%
10
4
2
1
0
5
2
8
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
55%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.7
28.9
25.2
18
75%
2
3
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
22.6
25.6
7
52%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
19.1
24.0
10
69%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.4
15.2
19.8
2
50%
6
0
2
0
3
4
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
8.9
4.9
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.2
8.9
7.8
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
6.0
17.5
5
125%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
2.7
0
0-0
43%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.