FinalWin Prob.pScore
158%99
97
2342%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
106.69186.6
MIL logo MIL
102.29195.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU97
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)97
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)96
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILRedd Reverse Layup (32 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)95
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)95
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)94
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILRedd Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)93
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)93
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 393
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)93
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 293
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILBUCKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#12)92
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot92
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILRedd Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)92
98.2%
87
1.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 1:17HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 1:19MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot92
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 1:35MILBUCKS Rebound92
97.2%
85
2.8%
Q4 - 1:36HOUMISS Head 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.6%
85
2.4%
Q4 - 1:53HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 1:55HOUMISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot92
97.3%
85
2.7%
Q4 - 1:58HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 2:01MILMISS Redd Layup92
97.7%
85
2.3%
Q4 - 2:16MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
96.3%
85
3.7%
Q4 - 2:18HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.0%
85
3.0%
Q4 - 2:38MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 2:38MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 2:46MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 2:48HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot92
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 3:08HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 3:10MILMISS Redd 3' Jump Shot92
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 3:29MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
97.9%
83
2.1%
Q4 - 3:30HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 192
98.1%
83
1.9%
Q4 - 3:45HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 3:46MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 290
95.3%
83
4.7%
Q4 - 3:46MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 290
94.1%
83
5.9%
Q4 - 3:51MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
93.6%
83
6.4%
Q4 - 3:53HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot90
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 4:10MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
95.7%
83
4.3%
Q4 - 4:10MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)90
95.9%
82
4.1%
Q4 - 4:26HOUAlston 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
97.0%
81
3.0%
Q4 - 4:50MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 288
96.4%
80
3.6%
Q4 - 4:57HOUBell STEAL (1 STL)88
95.8%
80
4.2%
Q4 - 5:16MILBell 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
95.9%
80
4.1%
Q4 - 5:28MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
97.0%
78
3.0%
Q4 - 5:30HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot88
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 5:57MILRedd Driving Layup (24 PTS)88
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 6:04MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 6:06HOUMISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot88
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 6:24HOURockets Rebound88
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 6:24MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 6:41HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Head 2 AST)88
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 7:04MILBell 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q4 - 7:31HOUHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Yao 4 AST)85
96.2%
74
3.8%
Q4 - 7:54MILGadzuric Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)82
93.8%
74
6.2%
Q4 - 7:59MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 8:01HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot82
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q4 - 8:24MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 8:35HOUBlake STEAL (1 STL)82
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q4 - 8:46HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
97.8%
69
2.2%
Q4 - 8:47MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot82
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 9:05HOUYao 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)82
96.6%
69
3.4%
Q4 - 9:22MILBell 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q4 - 9:32MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
96.6%
67
3.4%
Q4 - 9:34HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot80
96.9%
67
3.1%
Q4 - 9:50HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q4 - 9:52MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot80
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 10:01MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
96.0%
67
4.0%
Q4 - 10:03HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot80
96.3%
67
3.7%
Q4 - 10:29MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)80
96.9%
67
3.1%
Q4 - 10:36MILBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 10:37HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot80
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q4 - 10:55MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)80
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 11:11HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Head 1 AST)80
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 11:28MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q4 - 11:28MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 11:33HOUSnyder Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 11:50MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q4 - 11:50MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
97.7%
60
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU76
98.0%
59
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
98.4%
59
1.6%
Q3 - 0:15.0HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 275
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)75
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)75
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q3 - 1:07MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)75
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 1:28HOUHayes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)75
98.7%
54
1.3%
Q3 - 1:42MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T10)75
99.0%
54
1.0%
Q3 - 1:47HOURedd STEAL (1 STL)75
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 2:03MILBell Driving Layup (8 PTS)75
98.7%
54
1.3%
Q3 - 2:18HOUMutombo 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)75
98.9%
52
1.1%
Q3 - 2:37MILWilliams 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)73
98.7%
52
1.3%
Q3 - 2:59HOUHayes Layup (6 PTS)73
98.9%
50
1.1%
Q3 - 3:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
98.8%
50
1.2%
Q3 - 3:02HOUMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot71
98.4%
50
1.6%
Q3 - 3:14MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T9)71
98.6%
50
1.4%
Q3 - 3:27HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)71
98.3%
50
1.7%
Q3 - 3:39HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Redd Layup69
97.8%
50
2.2%
Q3 - 4:01HOUMcGrady 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS)69
97.2%
50
2.8%
Q3 - 4:20MILRedd Layup (14 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)67
96.8%
50
3.2%
Q3 - 4:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
97.2%
48
2.8%
Q3 - 4:34HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot67
97.4%
48
2.6%
Q3 - 4:39HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 4:40MILMISS Bogut Layup67
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 5:02HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)67
96.9%
48
3.1%
Q3 - 5:09HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q3 - 5:10MILMISS Bell Layup65
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q3 - 5:15HOUVillanueva STEAL (2 STL)65
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 5:23MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q3 - 5:23MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
96.6%
47
3.4%
Q3 - 5:37HOUYao Dunk (18 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)65
96.9%
46
3.1%
Q3 - 5:54HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
96.4%
46
3.6%
Q3 - 5:56MILMISS Villanueva 3' Hook Shot63
96.2%
46
3.8%
Q3 - 6:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
95.3%
46
4.7%
Q3 - 6:16HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
95.5%
46
4.5%
Q3 - 6:29HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
96.0%
46
4.0%
Q3 - 6:31MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
95.8%
46
4.2%
Q3 - 6:36HOUYao 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
95.3%
46
4.7%
Q3 - 6:51HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
94.6%
46
5.4%
Q3 - 6:53MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
94.3%
46
5.7%
Q3 - 7:10HOUMcGrady 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)61
93.0%
46
7.0%
Q3 - 7:23MILPatterson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)59
92.1%
46
7.9%
Q3 - 7:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
93.0%
44
7.0%
Q3 - 7:30HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
93.4%
44
6.6%
Q3 - 7:34HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
94.1%
44
5.9%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot59
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q3 - 7:46HOUYao Layup (14 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)59
93.1%
44
6.9%
Q3 - 7:57MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)57
92.2%
44
7.8%
Q3 - 8:14HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)57
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q3 - 8:33MILVillanueva 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)54
91.9%
41
8.1%
Q3 - 8:51HOUYao Layup (12 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)54
92.8%
39
7.2%
Q3 - 9:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
91.3%
39
8.7%
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Villanueva Reverse Layup52
90.9%
39
9.1%
Q3 - 9:23MILBUCKS Rebound52
90.1%
39
9.9%
Q3 - 9:23HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot52
90.5%
39
9.5%
Q3 - 9:42MILPatterson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)52
91.4%
39
8.6%
Q3 - 9:59HOUYao 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
90.1%
39
9.9%
Q3 - 10:18HOURockets Rebound50
88.4%
39
11.6%
Q3 - 10:19MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot50
87.9%
39
12.1%
Q3 - 10:38MILBUCKS Rebound50
86.7%
39
13.3%
Q3 - 10:39HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot50
87.2%
39
12.8%
Q3 - 10:51MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)50
88.4%
39
11.6%
Q3 - 11:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
86.7%
39
13.3%
Q3 - 11:02HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
87.0%
39
13.0%
Q3 - 11:22HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q3 - 11:24MILMISS Villanueva 10' Jump Shot50
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q3 - 11:43HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)50
86.5%
39
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU48
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound48
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
84.0%
39
16.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot48
83.6%
39
16.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0HOUYao Foul Turnover (P1.T9)48
82.7%
39
17.3%
Q2 - 1:01MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
83.3%
39
16.7%
Q2 - 1:01MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 248
83.9%
38
16.1%
Q2 - 1:01MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:01HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot48
84.4%
38
15.6%
Q2 - 1:05MILVillanueva Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)48
85.1%
38
14.9%
Q2 - 1:07MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot48
84.8%
38
15.2%
Q2 - 1:21HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)48
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:21HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 247
83.8%
38
16.2%
Q2 - 1:37MILRedd Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)47
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q2 - 1:51HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)47
85.9%
36
14.1%
Q2 - 2:03HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
83.2%
36
16.8%
Q2 - 2:04MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 245
83.0%
36
17.0%
Q2 - 2:04MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q2 - 2:14HOUMcGrady Layup (14 PTS)45
83.3%
35
16.7%
Q2 - 2:15HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 2:17HOUMISS Yao Layup43
80.1%
35
19.9%
Q2 - 2:38MILWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)43
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 2:54HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)43
79.6%
35
20.4%
Q2 - 3:06MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)41
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 3:23HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
74.6%
35
25.4%
Q2 - 3:23HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 3:24HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 3:26HOUMISS Battier 15' Jump Shot39
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 3:51MILSkinner 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)39
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 4:07HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T8)39
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 4:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 4:13MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Jump Shot39
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 4:33MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 4:35HOUMISS Yao 9' Jump Shot39
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 4:55MILBell Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Gadzuric 2 AST)39
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 5:13MILBUCKS Rebound39
78.3%
31
21.7%
Q2 - 5:14HOUMISS Head 22' Jump Shot39
78.9%
31
21.1%
Q2 - 5:37MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
80.3%
31
19.7%
Q2 - 5:55HOUHoward 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)39
81.9%
29
18.1%
Q2 - 6:13MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
80.1%
29
19.9%
Q2 - 6:37HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)37
77.9%
29
22.1%
Q2 - 7:00MILRedd Layup (7 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)34
74.3%
29
25.7%
Q2 - 7:07MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
75.7%
27
24.3%
Q2 - 7:10HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot34
76.3%
27
23.7%
Q2 - 7:21MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)34
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 7:23MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
79.3%
25
20.7%
Q2 - 7:25MILMISS Redd Layup34
80.6%
25
19.4%
Q2 - 7:39HOUYao Layup (6 PTS)34
79.4%
25
20.6%
Q2 - 7:50MILBell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)32
77.7%
25
22.3%
Q2 - 7:55MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
79.4%
23
20.6%
Q2 - 7:57HOUGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)32
79.9%
23
20.1%
Q2 - 8:04HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
80.8%
23
19.2%
Q2 - 8:06MILMISS Bell 14' Jump Shot32
80.2%
23
19.8%
Q2 - 8:21HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
78.9%
23
21.1%
Q2 - 8:21HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
78.7%
23
21.3%
Q2 - 8:26HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
77.4%
23
22.6%
Q2 - 8:28HOUMISS Head 16' Jump Shot30
75.9%
23
24.1%
Q2 - 9:03MILSkinner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)30
77.0%
23
23.0%
Q2 - 9:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
78.6%
21
21.4%
Q2 - 9:15HOUMISS Yao Layup30
79.2%
21
20.8%
Q2 - 9:18HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
80.4%
21
19.6%
Q2 - 9:21HOUSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)30
79.2%
21
20.8%
Q2 - 9:32HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
80.4%
21
19.6%
Q2 - 9:34MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot30
79.9%
21
20.1%
Q2 - 9:52HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)30
78.6%
21
21.4%
Q2 - 10:18MILBell Layup (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)28
76.7%
21
23.3%
Q2 - 10:31HOUBattier Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)28
78.2%
19
21.8%
Q2 - 10:44MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
76.7%
19
23.3%
Q2 - 10:44MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
76.9%
18
23.1%
Q2 - 10:56HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)26
78.2%
17
21.8%
Q2 - 11:13HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
79.6%
17
20.4%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 226
79.4%
17
20.6%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 226
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q2 - 11:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
78.0%
17
22.0%
Q2 - 11:15MILMISS Gadzuric Layup26
79.1%
17
20.9%
Q2 - 11:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
78.0%
17
22.0%
Q2 - 11:33HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 226
78.2%
17
21.8%
Q2 - 11:33HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 226
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q2 - 11:33HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
79.6%
17
20.4%
Q2 - 11:35HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot26
78.5%
17
21.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU26
79.7%
17
20.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
79.0%
17
21.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
78.6%
17
21.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
77.8%
17
22.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
75.7%
17
24.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)24
77.8%
15
22.2%
Q1 - 1:06MILVillanueva 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)21
73.9%
15
26.1%
Q1 - 1:21HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)21
76.1%
13
23.9%
Q1 - 1:26HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)18
72.1%
13
27.9%
Q1 - 1:28MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot18
71.6%
13
28.4%
Q1 - 1:40MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
70.5%
13
29.5%
Q1 - 1:42MILMISS Patterson 12' Jump Shot18
71.6%
13
28.4%
Q1 - 2:04HOUAlston Foul Turnover (P2.T6)18
70.5%
13
29.5%
Q1 - 2:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
72.3%
13
27.7%
Q1 - 2:10MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot18
71.8%
13
28.2%
Q1 - 2:14MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
70.5%
13
29.5%
Q1 - 2:16HOUBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)18
71.1%
13
28.9%
Q1 - 2:19HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
72.3%
13
27.7%
Q1 - 2:21HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
71.1%
13
28.9%
Q1 - 2:46HOURockets Rebound18
72.3%
13
27.7%
Q1 - 2:46HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
72.3%
13
27.7%
Q1 - 2:46HOUMISS Hayes Tip Shot18
71.1%
13
28.9%
Q1 - 2:46HOUMISS Hayes Layup18
71.1%
13
28.9%
Q1 - 2:55HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
72.3%
13
27.7%
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
71.8%
13
28.2%
Q1 - 3:24HOUMutombo Layup (6 PTS)18
70.0%
13
30.0%
Q1 - 3:26HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 3:28HOUMISS Mutombo Layup16
66.8%
13
33.2%
Q1 - 3:41HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 3:43MILMISS Bogut 15' Jump Shot16
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 3:54HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
66.1%
13
33.9%
Q1 - 3:54HOUMutombo Tip Shot (4 PTS)16
66.1%
13
33.9%
Q1 - 3:56HOUMISS Alston Layup14
62.7%
13
37.3%
Q1 - 4:13HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
64.5%
13
35.5%
Q1 - 4:15MILMISS Bogut 13' Jump Shot14
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 4:39HOUHayes Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)14
62.0%
13
38.0%
Q1 - 4:43MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
60.3%
13
39.7%
Q1 - 4:51MILRedd Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
57.7%
13
42.3%
Q1 - 5:03HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)12
60.2%
12
39.8%
Q1 - 5:19MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
62.4%
12
37.6%
Q1 - 5:19MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
63.0%
11
37.0%
Q1 - 5:40HOUMutombo 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)12
64.1%
10
35.9%
Q1 - 6:04MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMcGrady Layup (2 PTS)10
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 6:38MILVillanueva Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)8
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 6:59HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)8
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 7:15MILBogut 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 7:24HOUPatterson STEAL (1 STL)5
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 7:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 7:38MILMISS Patterson 19' Jump Shot5
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 7:49MILBUCKS Rebound5
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 7:49MILMISS Patterson 9' Jump Shot5
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 8:01MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 8:02MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot5
60.4%
6
39.6%
Q1 - 8:25HOUBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T3)5
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 8:33MILVillanueva Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)5
61.0%
6
39.0%
Q1 - 8:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 8:47HOUMISS McGrady Layup5
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 8:58HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
64.5%
4
35.5%
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot5
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 9:15HOUYao 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)5
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 9:28HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 9:30MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot3
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 9:43MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 9:45HOUMISS Yao 11' Jump Shot3
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 10:02MILBogut 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)3
60.8%
4
39.2%
Q1 - 10:19HOUMcGrady Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
62.4%
2
37.6%
Q1 - 10:32MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 10:32MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
64.9%
1
35.1%
Q1 - 10:50HOUAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)3
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 10:59HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:01MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot0
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 11:20HOUVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)0
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 11:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 11:28MILMISS Bogut Layup0
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Yao: Tip to Villanueva0
60.8%
0
39.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.05 52.7%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
14
24
58%
MIL
15
26
58%
Midrange
HOU
16
38
42%
MIL
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
MIL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
HOU
13
19
68%
MIL
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3267%16.0 / 24
Yao2344%11.5 / 26
R. Alston1243%6.0 / 14
D. Mutombo1071%5.0 / 7
C. Hayes660%3.0 / 5
L. Head660%3.0 / 5
J. Howard467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier250%1.0 / 2
K. Snyder2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd3465%17.0 / 26
C. Bell2265%11.0 / 17
M. Williams945%4.5 / 10
C. Villanueva844%4.0 / 9
A. Bogut739%3.5 / 9
D. Gadzuric542%2.5 / 6
R. Patterson440%2.0 / 5
B. Skinner467%2.0 / 3
S. Blake0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
77
+13
-14
90
MIL
80
+8
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.05 52.7%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
107.1
HOU 106.6 +4.4
MIL 102.2
Pace
91.1
92.3
HOU 86.6
MIL 95.9 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.1
HOU 16.6
MIL 15.0 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.4%
HOU 53.8% +5.2%
MIL 48.6%
TO %
14.8%
15.7%
HOU 14.8%
MIL 12.2% +2.6%
ORB %
25.7%
27.8%
HOU 29.7% +11.8%
MIL 17.9%
FTrt
29.2
28.6
HOU 24.4
MIL 41.1 +16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
56.7%
HOU 68.4% +3.7%
MIL 64.7%
STL %
7.8%
7.7%
HOU 4.4%
MIL 6.6% +2.2%
BLK %
6.5%
4.4%
HOU 6.3% +1.5%
MIL 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
52.9%
HOU 52.7%
MIL 52.8% +0.1%
Rim FG%
56.2%
58.1%
HOU 58.3% +0.6%
MIL 57.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.0%
HOU 42.1%
MIL 43.2% +1.1%
3P %
37.2%
35.6%
HOU 50.0% +20.0%
MIL 30.0%
FT %
75.3%
73.3%
HOU 68.4%
MIL 73.3% +4.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
41.1%
HOU 30.8%
MIL 35.6% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
37.0%
HOU 48.7% +2.0%
MIL 50.7%
3P Att. %
29.0%
21.9%
HOU 20.5% +6.8%
MIL 13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUMIL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points9793
Rebounds4333
Assists2622
Steals46
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals38-7834-73
At-the-Rim FG14-2415-26
Midrange FG16-3816-37
2-Point FG30-6231-63
3-Point FG8-163-10
Free Throws13-1922-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
37.5
12
43%
3
9
1
0
4
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
3-8
38%
G · 6'8" 225 · 27
37.3
32
67%
6
5
1
3
4
1
2
4
7-11
64%
8-14
57%
3-5
60%
C · 7'6" 310 · 26
34.0
23
44%
7
4
0
0
1
4
1
6
3-4
75%
10-24
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 28
33.5
2
50%
4
3
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 240 · 23
29.8
6
60%
8
0
1
0
1
6
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
29.3
6
60%
3
2
0
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
C · 7'2" 260 · 40
13.0
10
71%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23
12.9
2
100%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
12.8
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 31
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
G · 6'4" 195 · 24
#15 · G · 5'11" 166 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
43
26
4
4
14
0
11
32
13-19
68%
30-62
48%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.