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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks31%101119
1Suns69%107112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
43.4
39.6
35
72%
7
4
1
1
0
4
0
7
12-12
100%
10-17
7-15
59%
48%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.0
38.8
30.1
23
68%
3
1
3
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
42%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
38.2
35.5
30
76%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
8-11
73%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
4-6
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
20.7
26.4
10
87%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
47%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
17.1
23.0
8
57%
7
0
1
0
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.1
24.6
19.4
8
46%
5
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
20.0
8.8
3
26%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
18.2
14.9
2
100%
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.1
15.6
21.7
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.7
3.5
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.5
11.5
0
1-2
43%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
2.5
0
0-1
40%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.9
42.3
33.1
30
83%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
7-7
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
5-8
63%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.5
41.6
39.9
21
62%
6
1
3
2
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
7-10
6-10
70%
55%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.8
36.8
33.0
20
54%
1
9
2
1
0
10
0
1
1-1
100%
5-14
4-8
36%
54%
3-4
75%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.0
35.0
15.2
16
74%
8
1
2
0
0
2
2
6
4-4
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
34.6
26.9
13
67%
4
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
5-6
83%
4-7
5-9
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33.8
24.3
15.5
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.1
13.6
8.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.0
7.4
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.1
4.4
28.1
3
80%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
3-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
6.7
0
1-1
46%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
1.7
0
0-1
48%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.1
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.