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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks35%103111
16Wizards65%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
40.7
39.6
28
59%
3
6
2
1
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
8-15
7-15
53%
47%
2-6
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.9
37.0
30.0
12
40%
10
4
1
1
0
1
0
10
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
45%
0-6
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.9
36.6
26.2
15
59%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-6
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.2
31.3
28.3
18
57%
7
4
0
1
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
6-13
5-9
46%
51%
1-1
100%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.3
22.6
24.5
9
60%
6
1
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
29.8
27.6
8
48%
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.7
18.9
18.5
2
25%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
17.1
14.8
15
61%
8
1
1
0
1
0
6
2
3-5
60%
6-10
2-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.5
6.1
19.3
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
3.7
0
0-1
48%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.7
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.9
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.5
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
44.6
35.4
29
57%
5
11
1
2
0
2
1
4
8-8
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.4
38.3
34.5
24
59%
8
1
0
1
1
2
2
6
2-3
67%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
4-6
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
36.3
32.0
14
45%
10
3
3
2
1
3
5
5
4-6
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.6
29.7
24.9
10
74%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.6
23.0
25.7
4
52%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.6
26.5
21.3
13
59%
6
5
0
1
0
2
0
6
7-7
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.0
17.2
18.9
5
87%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
15.0
20.4
15
78%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
3-6
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
2-3
67%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.8
9.4
5.3
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.2
9.5
0
1-3
50%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.3
6.0
0
1-2
45%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.2
6.0
0
0-1
44%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.7
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.1
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.