FinalWin Prob.pScore
2143%94
83
2357%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
89.29391.3
IND logo IND
101.19293.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)83
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLHill 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)83
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 281
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)81
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 279
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)79
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 1:05INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 1:05INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 1:10INDPACERS Rebound76
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 1:10INDMISS Jackson 2' Layup76
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 1:24INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot76
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 1:36ORLMagic Rebound76
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 1:38INDMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 2:01ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 275
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 2:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)75
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 2:03ORLMISS Hill 2' Layup75
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 2:24ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 2:26INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot75
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 2:44INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 2:46ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot75
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 3:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 3:07INDMISS Harrington 3' Layup75
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:11INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 3:13INDMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot75
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:31ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 3:39INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)73
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 4:12ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)73
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 4:29INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)71
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 4:52INDPACERS Rebound71
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 4:54ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot71
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 5:10INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)71
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHill 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 5:45INDHarrington 3' Alley Oop Layup (29 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)69
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 6:09ORLArroyo 2' Layup (7 PTS)69
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 6:14INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)67
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 6:36ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)67
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 6:45ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 6:46INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot65
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 7:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 7:12INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 265
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 7:12INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)65
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 7:15INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 7:17INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup65
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 7:37ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P4.T21)65
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 7:53INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)65
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)65
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q4 - 8:08ORLHoward 2' Follow Up Dunk (13 PTS)65
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q4 - 8:10ORLMISS Milicic 3' Layup63
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 8:34INDO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 8:57ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)63
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q4 - 8:57ORLMagic Rebound63
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q4 - 8:57ORLFoster BLOCK (3 BLK)63
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q4 - 9:01ORLMagic Rebound63
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q4 - 9:02ORLMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot63
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 9:29ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q4 - 9:31INDMISS Armstrong 1' Layup63
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q4 - 9:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q4 - 9:36ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)63
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q4 - 9:56INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)63
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 10:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
12.2%
70
87.8%
Q4 - 10:15ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q4 - 10:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)63
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q4 - 10:35INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot63
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q4 - 10:53INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q4 - 10:55ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q4 - 11:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q4 - 11:14INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot63
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q4 - 11:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q4 - 11:30INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup63
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q4 - 11:36ORLJackson STEAL (1 STL)63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND63
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot63
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLDaniels STEAL (1 STL)63
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)63
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)63
17.5%
69
82.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q3 - 1:01INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 1:03ORLFoster BLOCK (2 BLK)63
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 1:07ORLMagic Rebound63
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot63
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 1:28INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)63
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 1:49INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q3 - 1:50ORLMISS Milicic 10' Jump Shot63
33.1%
65
66.9%
Q3 - 2:17INDHarrington 2' Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)63
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 2:22ORLFoster STEAL (2 STL)63
40.3%
63
59.7%
Q3 - 2:52INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)63
45.3%
63
54.7%
Q3 - 3:06ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)63
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q3 - 3:20INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
45.2%
61
54.8%
Q3 - 3:20INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 3:25ORLHarrington STEAL (1 STL)61
49.4%
59
50.6%
Q3 - 3:41INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)61
54.2%
59
45.8%
Q3 - 3:41INDPACERS Rebound61
49.4%
59
50.6%
Q3 - 3:42INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot61
52.7%
59
47.3%
Q3 - 4:08ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 4:22ORLMagic Rebound59
45.0%
59
55.0%
Q3 - 4:24INDMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 4:44ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)59
40.2%
59
59.8%
Q3 - 5:05INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)57
36.7%
59
63.3%
Q3 - 5:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
44.4%
56
55.6%
Q3 - 5:14ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot57
45.8%
56
54.2%
Q3 - 5:32INDHarrington 3' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)57
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q3 - 5:38ORLGranger STEAL (1 STL)57
52.7%
54
47.3%
Q3 - 6:00INDJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)57
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 6:06INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
59.9%
52
40.1%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot57
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q3 - 6:13ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
64.0%
52
36.0%
Q3 - 6:15INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot57
62.8%
52
37.2%
Q3 - 6:37ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
60.0%
52
40.0%
Q3 - 6:37ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 256
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 6:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
60.3%
52
39.7%
Q3 - 6:59INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot56
59.1%
52
40.9%
Q3 - 7:10INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q3 - 7:12ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot56
56.5%
52
43.5%
Q3 - 7:29INDJump Ball Harrington vs. Battie: Tip to Howard56
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 7:29INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup56
58.2%
52
41.8%
Q3 - 7:39ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
55.2%
52
44.8%
Q3 - 7:58INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
51.9%
52
48.1%
Q3 - 8:14ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
54.9%
50
45.1%
Q3 - 8:31INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)52
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 8:37ORLTinsley STEAL (1 STL)52
47.4%
50
52.6%
Q3 - 8:43ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 8:44INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot52
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q3 - 8:58ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P6.T13)52
47.4%
50
52.6%
Q3 - 9:02INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)52
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q3 - 9:17ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)52
47.0%
50
53.0%
Q3 - 9:39INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
50.9%
50
49.1%
Q3 - 9:39INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
51.5%
49
48.5%
Q3 - 9:47ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
54.4%
48
45.6%
Q3 - 10:00ORLMagic Rebound52
58.2%
48
41.8%
Q3 - 10:01INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot52
56.4%
48
43.6%
Q3 - 10:18ORLHoward Backcourt Turnover (P4.T10)52
53.7%
48
46.3%
Q3 - 10:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q3 - 10:23ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot52
54.9%
48
45.1%
Q3 - 10:41ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q3 - 10:41INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 252
57.1%
48
42.9%
Q3 - 10:41INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
54.8%
48
45.2%
Q3 - 10:46INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
57.3%
47
42.7%
Q3 - 10:48ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot52
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 11:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
60.3%
47
39.7%
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot52
59.3%
47
40.7%
Q3 - 11:23ORLHoward 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
56.9%
47
43.1%
Q3 - 11:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q3 - 11:43INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
52.5%
47
47.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND50
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound50
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot50
51.1%
47
48.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
50.3%
47
49.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot50
51.9%
47
48.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDMISS Foster 1' Layup50
51.9%
47
48.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)50
50.3%
47
49.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 249
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMagic Rebound49
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Milicic 10' Jump Shot49
47.7%
47
52.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)49
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
47.1%
46
52.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot48
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q2 - 1:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q2 - 1:20INDMISS Jasikevicius 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 1:27INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:28INDMISS Jasikevicius 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 1:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot48
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 1:46ORLTurkoglu Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)48
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:49ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q2 - 1:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:50INDMISS Foster 2' Layup48
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 1:51INDMISS Foster 2' Layup48
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 1:52INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:54INDMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot48
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 2:08INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q2 - 2:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 248
49.7%
45
50.3%
Q2 - 2:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
51.4%
45
48.6%
Q2 - 2:08ORLMagic Rebound47
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 2:09ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot47
47.1%
45
52.9%
Q2 - 2:27INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 2:27INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
49.8%
44
50.2%
Q2 - 2:40INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 2:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q2 - 2:49ORLMISS Hill 11' Jump Shot47
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 3:07INDMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q2 - 3:07INDMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q2 - 3:14INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 3:15ORLFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)47
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 3:25ORLMagic Rebound47
60.7%
41
39.3%
Q2 - 3:27ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
60.7%
41
39.3%
Q2 - 3:27ORLMISS Battie 2' Layup47
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 3:28ORLMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot47
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 3:35INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)47
60.8%
41
39.2%
Q2 - 3:58ORLHill 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)47
57.6%
41
42.4%
Q2 - 4:04INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)45
54.0%
41
46.0%
Q2 - 4:19ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
51.2%
41
48.8%
Q2 - 4:19ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
50.7%
41
49.3%
Q2 - 4:20ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
48.3%
41
51.7%
Q2 - 4:21ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot43
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 4:34ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
48.3%
41
51.7%
Q2 - 4:36INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot43
47.5%
41
52.5%
Q2 - 4:58ORLMilicic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)43
45.5%
41
54.5%
Q2 - 5:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
48.3%
41
51.7%
Q2 - 5:09INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot43
47.3%
41
52.7%
Q2 - 5:25ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 5:25ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
44.7%
41
55.3%
Q2 - 5:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Jackson 2' Layup41
41.7%
41
58.3%
Q2 - 5:47INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
39.7%
41
60.3%
Q2 - 5:48ORLMISS Ariza 2' Layup41
40.6%
41
59.4%
Q2 - 5:51INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)41
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 6:04ORLHill 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
39.6%
41
60.4%
Q2 - 6:10ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
37.5%
41
62.5%
Q2 - 6:12INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
36.6%
41
63.4%
Q2 - 6:20ORLFoster STEAL (1 STL)39
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 6:40INDFoster 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)39
37.5%
41
62.5%
Q2 - 6:54INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
39.6%
39
60.4%
Q2 - 6:56ORLMISS Milicic 10' Jump Shot39
40.5%
39
59.5%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 239
40.0%
39
60.0%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 239
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 7:11INDJasikevicius Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)39
42.6%
39
57.4%
Q2 - 7:14INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot39
40.7%
39
59.3%
Q2 - 7:37INDGranger 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)39
42.6%
39
57.4%
Q2 - 7:38INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
45.0%
37
55.0%
Q2 - 7:39INDMISS Jasikevicius 2' Layup39
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 7:58INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
45.0%
37
55.0%
Q2 - 8:00ORLMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Shot39
45.9%
37
54.1%
Q2 - 8:16INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)39
47.6%
37
52.4%
Q2 - 8:33ORLDooling 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)39
49.9%
35
50.1%
Q2 - 8:55INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)37
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 9:09ORLMilicic 6' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)37
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 9:32INDO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)35
47.3%
33
52.7%
Q2 - 9:38INDPACERS Rebound35
49.5%
31
50.5%
Q2 - 9:38INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot35
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 9:56ORLArroyo 10' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)35
49.5%
31
50.5%
Q2 - 10:18INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
47.1%
31
52.9%
Q2 - 10:18INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 10:20INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
49.3%
29
50.7%
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot33
50.1%
29
49.9%
Q2 - 10:47INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)33
52.1%
29
47.9%
Q2 - 11:02INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 11:02ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 233
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 11:02ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q2 - 11:14ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 11:16INDMISS Jasikevicius 11' Jump Shot32
53.0%
27
47.0%
Q2 - 11:24ORLJasikevicius STEAL (1 STL)32
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 11:37INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)32
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND32
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound32
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jasikevicius 19' Jump Shot32
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0INDJasikevicius Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)32
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLArroyo Palming Turnover (P1.T5)32
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0INDHarrison 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
55.4%
26
44.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 231
57.9%
24
42.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)31
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLHoward 10' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)31
62.9%
21
37.1%
Q1 - 1:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
60.0%
21
40.0%
Q1 - 1:08INDMISS Armstrong 17' Jump Shot29
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q1 - 1:30ORLMilicic 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)29
58.2%
21
41.8%
Q1 - 1:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q1 - 1:38INDMISS Armstrong 9' Jump Shot27
54.8%
21
45.2%
Q1 - 1:49ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 2:00INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)25
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 2:20ORLArroyo 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 2:36INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)23
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 2:51INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q1 - 2:52ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot23
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 3:10INDDaniels 2' Layup (2 PTS)23
46.0%
21
54.0%
Q1 - 3:15INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
48.0%
19
52.0%
Q1 - 3:16ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot23
48.8%
19
51.2%
Q1 - 3:35INDHarrington 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)23
50.6%
19
49.4%
Q1 - 3:50ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 3:50ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 3:53INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 4:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Battie 11' Jump Shot21
48.4%
17
51.6%
Q1 - 4:22INDGranger 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
50.3%
17
49.7%
Q1 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
52.0%
15
48.0%
Q1 - 4:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 220
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 5:00INDGranger 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)20
52.5%
15
47.5%
Q1 - 5:05INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 5:07ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot20
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 5:20INDHarrington 7' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)20
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 5:42ORLNelson 1' Finger Roll (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)20
57.7%
11
42.3%
Q1 - 5:46INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)18
55.8%
11
44.2%
Q1 - 6:01ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q1 - 6:01ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 217
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 6:05INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)17
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 6:24ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)17
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 6:29INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 6:38ORLHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMagic Rebound15
48.9%
11
51.1%
Q1 - 6:53INDMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot15
48.2%
11
51.8%
Q1 - 7:05ORLHill Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 7:17INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)15
48.2%
11
51.8%
Q1 - 7:42ORLHill 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
50.0%
9
50.0%
Q1 - 7:47INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 7:50INDPACERS Rebound13
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 7:51INDMISS Tinsley 3' Jump Shot13
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 8:03ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)13
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 8:07ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 8:09INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 8:09INDMISS Granger 2' Layup10
42.1%
9
57.9%
Q1 - 8:10INDMISS Harrington 1' Layup10
42.1%
9
57.9%
Q1 - 8:14ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 8:21INDHarrington 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)10
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 8:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 8:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 110
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 8:51INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)8
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 8:57INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot8
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 9:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
46.4%
5
53.6%
Q1 - 9:08INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 9:28INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.0%
5
56.0%
Q1 - 9:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 28
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 9:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 9:42INDJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 9:51ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 10:02INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 10:02INDHarrington 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 10:04INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot7
47.3%
3
52.7%
Q1 - 10:20ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)7
45.8%
3
54.2%
Q1 - 10:36INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:49ORLHoward 2' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
44.0%
1
56.0%
Q1 - 11:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
42.1%
1
57.9%
Q1 - 11:02INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 22
41.9%
1
58.1%
Q1 - 11:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
40.8%
1
59.2%
Q1 - 11:24ORLBattie 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:39INDMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 11:44INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:46ORLMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Battie0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.7%
IND
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
21
57%
IND
8
24
33%
Midrange
ORL
17
47
36%
IND
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
5
60%
90%
IND
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
ORL
16
28
57%
IND
27
32
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson1973%9.5 / 13
D. Howard1757%8.5 / 15
G. Hill1750%8.5 / 17
H. Turkoglu1260%6.0 / 10
C. Arroyo744%3.5 / 8
D. Milicic536%2.5 / 7
T. Battie330%1.5 / 5
K. Dooling214%1.0 / 7
T. Ariza113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington3262%16.0 / 26
D. Granger1890%9.0 / 10
S. Jackson1038%5.0 / 13
J. O'Neal928%4.5 / 16
S. Jasikevicius550%2.5 / 5
J. Tinsley440%2.0 / 5
M. Daniels440%2.0 / 5
J. Foster433%2.0 / 6
D. Armstrong338%1.5 / 4
R. Marshall2100%1.0 / 1
D. Harrison2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+14
-20
87
IND
76
+20
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.7%
IND
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
103.0
ORL 89.2 +11.8
IND 101.1
Pace
89.8
92.4
ORL 91.3
IND 93.8 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
ORL 15.8
IND 15.4 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.4%
ORL 45.9% +4.1%
IND 41.8%
TO %
18.0%
17.1%
ORL 19.8%
IND 16.2% +3.6%
ORB %
29.3%
28.4%
ORL 18.4%
IND 34.1% +15.7%
FTrt
39.3
32.4
ORL 38.4
IND 40.5 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
58.5%
ORL 46.9%
IND 64.5% +17.6%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
ORL 12.9% +4.2%
IND 8.7%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
ORL 13.6% +7.7%
IND 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
51.0%
ORL 47.7% +1.2%
IND 46.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
56.1%
ORL 57.1% +23.8%
IND 33.3%
Mid FG%
38.3%
39.0%
ORL 36.2%
IND 45.2% +9.0%
3P %
35.6%
34.6%
ORL 60.0% +29.2%
IND 30.8%
FT %
70.2%
76.0%
ORL 57.1%
IND 84.4% +27.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
33.3%
ORL 28.8%
IND 30.4% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
45.5%
ORL 64.4%
IND 53.2% +11.2%
3P Att. %
15.8%
21.2%
ORL 6.8%
IND 16.5% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8393
Rebounds3445
Assists1520
Steals128
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (7)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)31 (1)
Field Goals32-7331-79
At-the-Rim FG12-218-24
Midrange FG17-4719-42
2-Point FG29-6827-66
3-Point FG3-54-13
Free Throws16-2827-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
42.1
17
57%
14
1
1
3
8
4
4
10
3-7
43%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
34.3
12
60%
2
1
2
0
4
4
0
2
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
33.3
17
50%
4
1
4
1
3
2
1
3
4-4
100%
5-14
36%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
32.6
19
73%
1
6
1
0
2
3
0
1
3-4
75%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
32.2
3
30%
9
1
3
2
1
3
1
8
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
19.4
5
36%
2
1
0
3
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
15.6
2
14%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
15.3
7
44%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
15.2
1
13%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
48%
34
15
12
9
20
0
7
27
16-28
57%
29-68
43%
3-5
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.