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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13SuperSonics48%101113
26Hawks52%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
45.6
38.0
23
58%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
7-12
5-9
58%
49%
2-6
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
45.6
38.2
33
52%
5
4
2
1
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
13-24
5-10
54%
47%
1-6
17%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
41.0
32.4
19
60%
1
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
2-3
67%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
39.5
29.1
12
87%
15
3
0
1
1
0
3
12
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.8
17.8
21.8
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.0
33.0
25.4
12
68%
5
4
0
0
3
0
3
2
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.4
19.4
18.1
3
30%
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.8
14.9
15.4
3
32%
3
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.6
8.1
11.1
4
46%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
7.3
0
1-2
42%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.5
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.2
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.5
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.9
48.7
33.7
24
53%
7
3
1
1
2
3
2
5
3-6
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
3-10
30%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
46.7
38.7
28
45%
10
3
0
1
0
4
1
9
1-3
33%
9-16
6-13
56%
49%
3-14
21%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
43.5
29.5
21
61%
8
2
0
1
1
2
4
4
5-7
71%
8-14
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.7
21.2
15.3
3
39%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
20.2
16.8
2
50%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.4
40.0
34.6
17
89%
5
3
1
1
0
2
4
1
6-8
75%
4-5
4-7
80%
55%
1-1
100%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.5
35.3
27.5
14
69%
5
8
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.0
9.4
16.6
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.9
8.7
0
1-2
45%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.1
8.0
0
1-1
46%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
5.1
0
1-1
51%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.5
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.