| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | 33% | 92 | 109 | |
 | 18 | 67% | 98 | 98 | |
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 119.8 | 91 | 89.1 |
| MIN | 107.7 | 91 | 92.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
80
+18
-11
98
MIN
80
+9
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.11 55.6%
MIN
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | ORL | MIN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 109 100% | 98 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | ORL | Dooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 109 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIN | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 109 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | ORL | Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 109 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | ORL | Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 108 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | MIN | James Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 107 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS) | 107 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | MIN | Davis 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Foye 2 AST) | 104 97.8% | 98 2.2% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 104 98.6% | 96 1.4% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 103 98.4% | 96 1.6% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | MIN | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 102 97.0% | 96 3.0% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | MIN | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 102 97.3% | 95 2.7% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 102 97.9% | 94 2.1% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | ORL | MISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 98.2% | 94 1.8% |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIN | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 102 98.1% | 94 1.9% |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIN | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 102 98.3% | 93 1.7% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 102 98.7% | 92 1.3% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | ORL | MISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 101 98.6% | 92 1.4% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 101 98.7% | 92 1.3% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 101 98.9% | 91 1.1% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 101 99.1% | 90 0.9% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 100 99.0% | 90 1.0% |
| Q4 - 2:03 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:15) | 99 98.3% | 90 1.7% |
| Q4 - 2:05 | MIN | MISS James 12' Jump Shot | 99 98.0% | 90 2.0% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 99 96.7% | 90 3.3% |
| Q4 - 2:13 | ORL | MISS Howard 11' Jump Hook Shot | 99 97.3% | 90 2.7% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:14) | 99 98.3% | 90 1.7% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | MIN | MISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot | 99 97.9% | 90 2.1% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | ORL | Arroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 99 96.6% | 90 3.4% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | MIN | Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 99 97.5% | 90 2.5% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | MIN | Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 99 97.7% | 89 2.3% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 99 98.1% | 88 1.9% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | ORL | MISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 | 99 98.2% | 88 1.8% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | ORL | MISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 | 99 98.6% | 88 1.4% |
| Q4 - 3:28 | MIN | Blount Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 99 98.9% | 88 1.1% |
| Q4 - 3:43 | ORL | Ariza 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST) | 99 98.8% | 85 1.2% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIN | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 97 98.4% | 85 1.6% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIN | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 97 98.5% | 84 1.5% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS) | 97 98.9% | 83 1.1% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | ORL | MISS Garrity Free Throw 2 of 3 | 96 98.8% | 83 1.2% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS) | 96 99.2% | 83 0.8% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13) | 95 98.5% | 83 1.5% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | ORL | MISS Nelson Layup | 95 98.0% | 83 2.0% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | MIN | Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 95 98.5% | 83 1.5% |
| Q4 - 4:50 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13) | 95 99.3% | 80 0.7% |
| Q4 - 4:50 | ORL | Howard Tip Shot (21 PTS) | 95 99.3% | 80 0.7% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | ORL | Blount BLOCK (3 BLK) | 93 98.7% | 80 1.3% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 93 98.1% | 80 1.9% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 93 98.2% | 79 1.8% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 93 98.6% | 78 1.4% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | ORL | MISS Nelson Layup | 93 98.8% | 78 1.2% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 93 99.0% | 78 1.0% |
| Q4 - 5:49 | MIN | MISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 98.9% | 78 1.1% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | ORL | Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 93 97.7% | 78 2.3% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | ORL | Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 92 97.5% | 78 2.5% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | MIN | Hudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 91 97.0% | 78 3.0% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | MIN | Jaric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 91 95.9% | 78 4.1% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | MIN | MISS Foye 19' Jump Shot | 91 96.7% | 78 3.3% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | ORL | Dooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T10) | 91 95.9% | 78 4.1% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | MIN | Foye Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 91 97.1% | 78 2.9% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | ORL | Foye STEAL (1 STL) | 91 96.0% | 78 4.0% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 91 95.7% | 78 4.3% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 91 95.9% | 77 4.1% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | ORL | Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 91 96.7% | 76 3.3% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | ORL | Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 90 96.5% | 76 3.5% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 89 95.9% | 76 4.1% |
| Q4 - 7:46 | MIN | MISS Garnett 10' Jump Shot | 89 95.5% | 76 4.5% |
| Q4 - 8:07 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 89 92.8% | 76 7.2% |
| Q4 - 8:07 | ORL | Ariza Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 89 92.8% | 76 7.2% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | ORL | MISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot | 87 89.4% | 76 10.6% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 87 91.0% | 76 9.0% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | ORL | MISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 89.5% | 76 10.5% |
| Q4 - 8:44 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 87 91.1% | 76 8.9% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIN | MISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 | 87 90.8% | 76 9.2% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 87 89.2% | 76 10.8% |
| Q4 - 9:03 | ORL | Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST) | 87 89.2% | 75 10.8% |
| Q4 - 9:24 | MIN | Foye 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 84 83.9% | 75 16.1% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | ORL | Arroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 84 86.8% | 73 13.2% |
| Q4 - 10:01 | MIN | Garnett Driving Layup (23 PTS) | 82 82.0% | 73 18.0% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | ORL | Ariza Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 82 84.9% | 71 15.1% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | MIN | Smith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST) | 82 87.9% | 71 12.1% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | ORL | Dooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 82 90.0% | 69 10.0% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | ORL | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 82 92.0% | 69 8.0% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | MIN | MISS Smith 7' Jump Shot | 82 91.4% | 69 8.6% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | ORL | Arroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 82 88.7% | 69 11.3% |
| Q4 - 11:45 | MIN | Jaric Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST) | 80 86.5% | 69 13.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIN | 80 88.8% | 67 11.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 80 88.8% | 67 11.2% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 80 87.7% | 67 12.3% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13) | 80 89.2% | 67 10.8% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | ORL | MISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 87.8% | 67 12.2% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | MIN | Garnett 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 80 89.3% | 67 10.7% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | ORL | Milicic Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 80 91.1% | 65 8.9% |
| Q3 - 0:45.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 78 89.4% | 65 10.6% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | MIN | MISS Garnett 5' Jump Shot | 78 88.7% | 65 11.3% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | ORL | Bogans Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 78 85.3% | 65 14.7% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIN | Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 78 87.8% | 65 12.2% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 78 85.4% | 65 14.6% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | ORL | MISS Ariza Layup | 78 86.2% | 65 13.8% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 78 87.8% | 65 12.2% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | ORL | MISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot | 78 86.2% | 65 13.8% |
| Q3 - 1:46 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13) | 78 87.8% | 65 12.2% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIN | MISS Davis 12' Jump Shot | 78 87.1% | 65 12.9% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | ORL | Milicic Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 78 83.4% | 65 16.6% |
| Q3 - 2:27 | MIN | Garnett Layup (19 PTS) (Davis 8 AST) | 75 78.0% | 65 22.0% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 75 80.8% | 63 19.2% |
| Q3 - 2:41 | ORL | MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 81.7% | 63 18.3% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | MIN | Davis Reverse Layup (8 PTS) | 75 82.5% | 63 17.5% |
| Q3 - 3:24 | ORL | Ariza 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST) | 75 84.8% | 61 15.2% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12) | 73 82.5% | 61 17.5% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | MIN | MISS Blount 21' Jump Shot | 73 81.7% | 61 18.3% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 73 79.6% | 61 20.4% |
| Q3 - 3:54 | ORL | MISS Battie 8' Jump Shot | 73 80.5% | 61 19.5% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | MIN | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 7 AST) | 73 81.0% | 61 19.0% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 73 85.5% | 58 14.5% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | ORL | MISS Battie 17' Jump Shot | 73 86.2% | 58 13.8% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11) | 73 87.8% | 58 12.2% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | MIN | MISS Garnett Layup | 73 87.2% | 58 12.8% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | ORL | Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST) | 73 84.3% | 58 15.7% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 70 79.6% | 58 20.4% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot | 70 77.5% | 58 22.5% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | MIN | Blount Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 6 AST) | 70 79.7% | 58 20.3% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | ORL | Nelson Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 70 80.4% | 56 19.6% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | ORL | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 68 78.0% | 56 22.0% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | MIN | MISS James Layup | 68 77.1% | 56 22.9% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 68 74.9% | 56 25.1% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 75.9% | 56 24.1% |
| Q3 - 6:48 | MIN | Garnett 5' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 68 78.1% | 56 21.9% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | ORL | Nelson Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 68 78.9% | 54 21.1% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | MIN | James 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST) | 66 76.7% | 54 23.3% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | MIN | Hassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 81.5% | 51 18.5% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 82.3% | 51 17.7% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | MIN | Garnett 4' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 5 AST) | 66 84.0% | 51 16.0% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 66 84.9% | 49 15.1% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | ORL | Battie Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 66 84.9% | 49 15.1% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 64 81.4% | 49 18.6% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10) | 64 83.1% | 49 16.9% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIN | MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot | 64 82.4% | 49 17.6% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | MIN | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 64 80.6% | 49 19.4% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | ORL | MISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot | 64 81.4% | 49 18.6% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 64 83.2% | 49 16.8% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | MIN | MISS Blount 16' Jump Shot | 64 82.4% | 49 17.6% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS) | 64 79.1% | 49 20.9% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | MIN | Garnett 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Davis 4 AST) | 61 74.1% | 49 25.9% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | MIN | Hassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 76.7% | 47 23.3% |
| Q3 - 9:43 | ORL | MISS Battie 20' Jump Shot | 61 77.6% | 47 22.4% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | MIN | Blount 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST) | 61 79.4% | 47 20.6% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 61 80.0% | 45 20.0% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | ORL | MISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 80.8% | 45 19.2% |
| Q3 - 10:22 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 61 82.5% | 45 17.5% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | MIN | MISS Davis 20' Jump Shot | 61 81.8% | 45 18.2% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 61 80.1% | 45 19.9% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Driving Layup | 61 80.9% | 45 19.1% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIN | Davis 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 61 82.5% | 45 17.5% |
| Q3 - 11:03 | MIN | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 61 83.1% | 43 16.9% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | ORL | MISS Howard 11' Hook Bank Shot | 61 83.7% | 43 16.3% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | MIN | Blount 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST) | 61 85.1% | 43 14.9% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | ORL | Howard 7' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST) | 61 86.7% | 41 13.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 59 85.1% | 41 14.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:11.0 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 59 83.4% | 41 16.6% |
| Q2 - 0:11.0 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 59 83.8% | 40 16.2% |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 59 85.7% | 39 14.3% |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 58 85.3% | 39 14.7% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 83.5% | 39 16.5% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | MIN | MISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot | 57 83.1% | 39 16.9% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 57 82.1% | 39 17.9% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | ORL | Milicic Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 57 82.1% | 39 17.9% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | ORL | Griffin BLOCK (1 BLK) | 55 78.4% | 39 21.6% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9) | 55 78.2% | 39 21.8% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | MIN | MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 55 78.0% | 39 22.0% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | MIN | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 55 76.3% | 39 23.7% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIN | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 77.0% | 39 23.0% |
| Q2 - 1:14 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 4' Finger Roll | 55 77.4% | 39 22.6% |
| Q2 - 1:21 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 55 78.2% | 39 21.8% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 55 77.4% | 39 22.6% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 55 78.2% | 39 21.8% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | ORL | Hassell BLOCK (1 BLK) | 55 77.4% | 39 22.6% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIN | Hassell Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST) | 55 78.2% | 39 21.8% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | MIN | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 81.3% | 37 18.7% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | ORL | MISS Milicic 9' Jump Shot | 55 81.6% | 37 18.4% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | MIN | Blount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7) | 55 81.5% | 37 18.5% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 55 79.7% | 37 20.3% |
| Q2 - 2:23 | MIN | MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 80.9% | 37 19.1% |
| Q2 - 2:36 | ORL | Milicic Layup (8 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST) | 55 79.7% | 37 20.3% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | MIN | James 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 53 77.4% | 37 22.6% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 53 79.8% | 35 20.2% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | ORL | MISS Milicic 7' Jump Hook Shot | 53 80.3% | 35 19.7% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | MIN | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 53 79.8% | 35 20.2% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | MIN | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 53 80.1% | 34 19.9% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 53 81.5% | 33 18.5% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | ORL | MISS Howard 8' Jump Shot | 53 82.1% | 33 17.9% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 53 83.5% | 33 16.5% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | MIN | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 53 82.9% | 33 17.1% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | ORL | Nelson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST) | 53 80.1% | 33 19.9% |
| Q2 - 4:21 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 51 78.2% | 33 21.8% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | MIN | MISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot | 51 77.6% | 33 22.4% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | ORL | Dooling Layup (8 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST) | 51 76.2% | 33 23.8% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | MIN | Davis Reverse Layup (4 PTS) | 49 73.2% | 33 26.8% |
| Q2 - 5:28 | ORL | Ariza Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 49 75.2% | 31 24.8% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 47 73.3% | 31 26.7% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | ORL | MISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot | 47 71.6% | 31 28.4% |
| Q2 - 5:39 | MIN | Blount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 47 73.3% | 31 26.7% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | ORL | Howard 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST) | 47 70.8% | 31 29.2% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | MIN | James 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 45 67.6% | 31 32.4% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | ORL | Milicic Dunk (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST) | 45 69.6% | 29 30.4% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 43 67.7% | 29 32.3% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | ORL | Blount BLOCK (2 BLK) | 43 65.7% | 29 34.3% |
| Q2 - 6:54 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS) | 43 67.7% | 29 32.3% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | MIN | Hassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 71.9% | 26 28.1% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | ORL | MISS Ariza Layup | 43 72.7% | 26 27.3% |
| Q2 - 7:18 | MIN | Hassell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 43 72.7% | 26 27.3% |
| Q2 - 7:44 | ORL | Dooling 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 43 74.6% | 24 25.4% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 72.8% | 24 27.2% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | MIN | MISS Foye 22' Jump Shot | 41 72.1% | 24 27.9% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | ORL | Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 41 69.5% | 24 30.5% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | ORL | Milicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 40 68.8% | 24 31.2% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 67.6% | 24 32.4% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | MIN | MISS Smith Layup | 39 66.8% | 24 33.2% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 39 65.0% | 24 35.0% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 38 64.7% | 24 35.3% |
| Q2 - 8:36 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 37 62.9% | 24 37.1% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | ORL | MISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2 | 37 60.6% | 24 39.4% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | ORL | MISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 2 | 37 61.8% | 24 38.2% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIN | Reed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 37 62.9% | 24 37.1% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIN | Reed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 37 63.5% | 23 36.5% |
| Q2 - 9:02 | ORL | Arroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 37 63.8% | 22 36.2% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | ORL | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 37 66.4% | 22 33.6% |
| Q2 - 9:06 | MIN | MISS Reed 13' Jump Shot | 37 65.6% | 22 34.4% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | ORL | Dooling 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 37 63.9% | 22 36.1% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIN | Jaric Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 35 61.9% | 22 38.1% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIN | Jaric Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 35 62.5% | 21 37.5% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIN | Jaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 63.9% | 20 36.1% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | ORL | MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot | 35 64.7% | 20 35.3% |
| Q2 - 9:53 | ORL | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 66.5% | 20 33.5% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | MIN | MISS Foye 22' Jump Shot | 35 65.8% | 20 34.2% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | ORL | Milicic Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST) | 35 63.4% | 20 36.6% |
| Q2 - 10:24 | MIN | Jaric Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5) | 33 61.4% | 20 38.6% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | ORL | Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 33 58.7% | 20 41.3% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | ORL | Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 32 58.3% | 20 41.7% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 31 56.5% | 20 43.5% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | ORL | Hudson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 54.6% | 20 45.4% |
| Q2 - 10:50 | MIN | Reed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 31 56.5% | 20 43.5% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | ORL | Garrity 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 31 52.8% | 20 47.2% |
| Q2 - 11:25 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 50.4% | 20 49.6% |
| Q2 - 11:27 | MIN | MISS Foye 4' Running Jump Shot | 29 49.7% | 20 50.3% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | MIN | Hudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 48.0% | 20 52.0% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | ORL | Garnett BLOCK (1 BLK) | 29 48.8% | 20 51.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIN | 29 50.5% | 20 49.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 29 48.1% | 20 51.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIN | MISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot | 29 49.8% | 20 50.2% |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | MIN | Foye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 47.7% | 20 52.3% |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | MIN | MISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot | 29 48.9% | 20 51.1% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 29 47.7% | 20 52.3% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIN | MISS Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 | 29 49.2% | 20 50.8% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 29 47.6% | 20 52.4% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | ORL | Howard 5' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) | 29 50.0% | 19 50.0% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 27 47.1% | 19 52.9% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 27 47.5% | 18 52.5% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | MIN | Reed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 27 49.9% | 17 50.1% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | MIN | MISS Jaric 3PT Jump Shot | 27 51.2% | 17 48.8% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | MIN | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 49.9% | 17 50.1% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 50.5% | 17 49.5% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | ORL | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 51.7% | 17 48.3% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | MIN | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 27 51.2% | 17 48.8% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | ORL | Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 27 49.9% | 17 50.1% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | MIN | Jaric Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 25 47.0% | 17 53.0% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | ORL | Howard Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 25 49.5% | 15 50.5% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 23 47.0% | 15 53.0% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 23 47.4% | 14 52.6% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | ORL | Nelson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 23 49.5% | 13 50.5% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 21 47.0% | 13 53.0% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | MIN | MISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot | 21 46.4% | 13 53.6% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIN | Jaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 43.7% | 13 56.3% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIN | MISS Davis 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 21 45.4% | 13 54.6% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | ORL | Howard Layup (6 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST) | 21 43.8% | 13 56.2% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | MIN | Garnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 19 41.8% | 13 58.2% |
| Q1 - 3:43 | ORL | Jaric STEAL (1 STL) | 19 39.4% | 13 60.6% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | MIN | Davis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2) | 19 41.8% | 13 58.2% |
| Q1 - 4:07 | ORL | Nelson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 19 38.7% | 13 61.3% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIN | Davis Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST) | 17 37.1% | 13 62.9% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 38.7% | 11 61.3% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIN | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 40.5% | 11 59.5% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | ORL | Garnett STEAL (2 STL) | 17 38.7% | 11 61.3% |
| Q1 - 4:50 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 17 41.3% | 11 58.7% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | MIN | MISS Griffin 20' Jump Shot | 17 40.5% | 11 59.5% |
| Q1 - 5:11 | ORL | Howard Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 17 37.8% | 11 62.2% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 15 36.1% | 11 63.9% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot | 15 34.6% | 11 65.4% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIN | James Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 15 36.1% | 11 63.9% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | ORL | Nelson Running Layup (2 PTS) | 15 37.9% | 9 62.1% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | ORL | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 35.5% | 9 64.5% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIN | MISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot | 13 34.9% | 9 65.1% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | MIN | Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 33.6% | 9 66.4% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 13 33.8% | 9 66.2% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 13 34.8% | 9 65.2% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 13 35.5% | 9 64.5% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | ORL | MISS Bogans 10' Jump Shot | 13 34.1% | 9 65.9% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | MIN | Blount 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST) | 13 35.5% | 9 64.5% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | ORL | Garnett STEAL (1 STL) | 13 36.3% | 7 63.7% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 13 38.3% | 7 61.7% |
| Q1 - 7:44 | ORL | Battie 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST) | 13 41.8% | 4 58.2% |
| Q1 - 7:57 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 11 40.2% | 4 59.8% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | MIN | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 11 39.6% | 4 60.4% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | ORL | Howard Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 11 37.9% | 4 62.1% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 9 36.4% | 4 63.6% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | ORL | MISS Nelson 12' Running Jump Shot | 9 35.0% | 4 65.0% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 9 36.4% | 4 63.6% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | MIN | MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot | 9 35.8% | 4 64.2% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | ORL | Bogans Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 9 34.1% | 4 65.9% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 32.9% | 4 67.1% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | MIN | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 7 32.2% | 4 67.8% |
| Q1 - 9:45 | ORL | Battie 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST) | 7 30.8% | 4 69.2% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 29.6% | 4 70.4% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | MIN | MISS Garnett 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 5 29.0% | 4 71.0% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | ORL | Nelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 5 27.7% | 4 72.3% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 5 29.4% | 4 70.6% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | MIN | Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 29.6% | 3 70.4% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | MIN | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 30.7% | 2 69.3% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | ORL | Blount BLOCK (1 BLK) | 5 31.3% | 2 68.7% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 32.6% | 2 67.4% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | MIN | MISS Blount 7' Jump Shot | 5 32.0% | 2 68.0% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | ORL | Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 5 30.7% | 2 69.3% |
| Q1 - 11:09 | MIN | Garnett 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 2 27.6% | 2 72.4% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | ORL | Turkoglu 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 29.2% | 0 70.8% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | MIN | James Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 27.6% | 0 72.4% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | MIN | TIMBERWOLVES Rebound | 0 26.3% | 0 73.7% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIN | MISS Davis 7' Fadeaway Jumper | 0 27.2% | 0 72.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIN | Jump Ball Garnett vs. Howard: Tip to James | 0 26.3% | 0 73.7% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.11 55.6%
MIN
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
24
38
63%
MIN
15
20
75%
Midrange
ORL
14
33
42%
MIN
13
41
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
MIN
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
24
32
75%
MIN
33
37
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson | 23 | 72% | 11.5 / 16 | |
| D. Howard | 21 | 62% | 10.5 / 17 | |
| D. Milicic | 15 | 68% | 7.5 / 11 | |
| P. Garrity | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| T. Ariza | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| K. Dooling | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| T. Battie | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| C. Arroyo | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| K. Bogans | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 2 | 11% | 1.0 / 9 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Timberwolves| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Garnett | 28 | 58% | 14.0 / 24 | |
| R. Davis | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| M. James | 14 | 50% | 7.0 / 14 | |
| M. Blount | 13 | 72% | 6.5 / 9 | |
| R. Foye | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| M. Jaric | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| T. Hassell | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| C. Smith | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| J. Reed | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| E. Griffin | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
80
+18
-11
98
MIN
80
+9
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.11 55.6%
MIN
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 105.1 103.5 | ORL 119.8 +12.1 MIN 107.7 |
| Pace | 89.8 91.4 | ORL 89.1 MIN 92.9 +3.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 15.6 | ORL 16.2 MIN 15.5 +0.7 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 49.0% | ORL 51.8% +5.4% MIN 46.4% |
| TO % | 18.0% 16.2% | ORL 10.3% +1.0% MIN 11.3% |
| ORB % | 29.3% 25.2% | ORL 40.5% +24.3% MIN 16.2% |
| FTrt | 39.3 29.1 | ORL 39.0 MIN 52.9 +13.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 53.0% 61.7% | ORL 51.2% MIN 64.5% +13.3% |
| STL % | 7.6% 7.0% | ORL 5.5% +1.1% MIN 4.4% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 6.2% | ORL 3.3% MIN 9.9% +6.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.0% 52.2% | ORL 55.6% +0.5% MIN 55.1% |
| Rim FG% | 61.6% 58.7% | ORL 63.2% MIN 75.0% +11.8% |
| Mid FG% | 38.3% 42.4% | ORL 42.4% +10.7% MIN 31.7% |
| 3P % | 35.6% 35.3% | ORL 27.3% MIN 33.3% +6.0% |
| FT % | 70.2% 79.2% | ORL 75.0% MIN 89.2% +14.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 40.1% 30.1% | ORL 46.3% +17.8% MIN 28.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.1% 53.1% | ORL 40.2% +18.3% MIN 58.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 15.8% 16.7% | ORL 13.4% +0.6% MIN 12.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | ORL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.5 | 23.5 |
| Points | 109 | 98 |
| Rebounds | 46 | 28 |
| Assists | 21 | 20 |
| Steals | 5 | 4 |
| Blocks | 2 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (0) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 15 (3) | 6 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (2) | 22 (4) |
| Field Goals | 41-82 | 31-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 24-38 | 15-20 |
| Midrange FG | 14-33 | 13-41 |
| 2-Point FG | 38-71 | 28-61 |
| 3-Point FG | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Free Throws | 24-32 | 33-37 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.