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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers27%9180
10Bulls73%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
39.2
26.0
12
38%
8
4
1
0
3
5
0
8
0-0
-
6-16
5-12
38%
45%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
37.7
32.8
19
69%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
6-10
6-14
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.6
37.4
30.6
10
48%
5
6
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.7
35.1
26.7
7
44%
1
9
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.6
33.4
30.9
18
84%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
5-6
83%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
17.9
19.1
7
93%
7
1
2
1
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.8
15.1
19.8
3
39%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.4
13.8
14.9
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.7
5.5
12.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.7
5.0
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
7.6
0
1-2
42%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
7.5
0
1-2
49%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.8
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.5
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
48.0
30.8
8
36%
18
4
1
1
0
5
10
8
0-0
-
4-11
2-4
36%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
40.1
33.0
23
54%
2
4
2
1
0
3
1
1
5-5
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
45%
4-8
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
31.2
32.0
21
64%
12
2
3
1
1
2
6
6
7-8
88%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
21.3
27.5
3
17%
2
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-8
4-9
13%
44%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
16.7
23.6
8
68%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
27.6
16.2
6
44%
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.9
24.4
23.2
12
47%
6
0
1
0
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
1-3
33%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
16.8
6.4
6
60%
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
7.0
21.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
4.1
7.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.2
2.8
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
9.8
0
2-3
47%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.0
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.