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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Pistons46%9679
19Warriors54%97111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
31.0
36.3
11
46%
0
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.7
30.5
34.8
11
79%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
5-10
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
25.3
28.0
6
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.2
25.3
33.8
8
58%
8
3
0
1
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
12.0
19.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.7
27.9
8.2
11
45%
7
0
1
0
0
4
6
1
1-3
33%
5-11
1-2
45%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
25.4
15.6
2
20%
5
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.9
24.8
11.4
14
50%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
39%
2-5
40%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
16.4
25.2
4
41%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
12.0
1.5
8
33%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-5
0%
4-10
0-0
40%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
9.6
1.6
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.6
5.7
0
0-1
46%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.7
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.5
31.9
31.6
8
40%
10
3
2
1
0
0
2
8
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
31.6
20.1
16
58%
9
4
0
1
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
31.0
23.6
13
67%
8
2
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-4
25%
6-8
3-4
75%
61%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.0
29.4
33.6
12
87%
2
4
0
1
1
5
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
1-1
100%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
28.4
36.5
20
62%
1
9
5
2
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
7-12
5-11
58%
45%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
27.7
26.1
9
51%
6
8
3
1
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
20.3
27.1
13
84%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
12.1
14.6
9
116%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.7
12.0
12.6
7
58%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
8.8
4.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
6.8
0.9
4
106%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.0
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.