FinalWin Prob.pScore
149%91
94
451%92
72
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
105.68990.2
MIA logo MIA
82.88785.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU94
100%
72
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16HOUSnyder Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16HOUSnyder Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30HOUHead REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53HOUYao Dunk (34 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27HOUSnyder 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)84
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup84
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)84
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 2:49HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)83
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 3:04HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)82
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot82
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 3:23HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)82
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)80
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
98.1%
69
1.9%
Q4 - 3:49HOUYao Dunk (30 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)80
98.6%
68
1.4%
Q4 - 4:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)78
98.1%
68
1.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 278
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 278
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q4 - 4:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
97.3%
68
2.7%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS O'Neal Layup78
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q4 - 4:33HOUYao 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Head 1 AST)78
97.3%
68
2.7%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWalker Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q4 - 5:21HOUYao Layup (26 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)76
96.0%
66
4.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)74
94.6%
66
5.4%
Q4 - 5:44HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)74
92.6%
66
7.4%
Q4 - 6:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
84.5%
66
15.5%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q4 - 6:21HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)71
84.0%
65
16.0%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWalker 3' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHEAT Rebound68
79.6%
63
20.4%
Q4 - 6:58HOUMISS Snyder 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q4 - 7:22MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)68
82.7%
63
17.3%
Q4 - 7:46HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
89.0%
60
11.0%
Q4 - 8:01HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
84.3%
60
15.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
83.2%
60
16.8%
Q4 - 8:13HOUPosey STEAL (1 STL)66
80.6%
60
19.4%
Q4 - 8:30HOUSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
84.4%
60
15.6%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Kapono Reverse Layup66
83.3%
60
16.7%
Q4 - 8:59HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)66
80.7%
60
19.3%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)64
75.3%
60
24.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)64
76.2%
59
23.8%
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
79.3%
58
20.7%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot64
82.1%
58
17.9%
Q4 - 9:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
79.4%
58
20.6%
Q4 - 9:36HOUMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot64
80.6%
58
19.4%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
83.2%
58
16.8%
Q4 - 10:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
86.2%
56
13.8%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot64
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q4 - 10:23HOUYao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)64
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q4 - 10:36HOURockets Rebound62
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot62
80.8%
56
19.2%
Q4 - 10:58HOUYao Driving Layup (22 PTS)62
78.0%
56
22.0%
Q4 - 11:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
72.9%
56
27.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS O'Neal Layup60
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
68.2%
56
31.8%
Q4 - 11:25HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot60
69.7%
56
30.3%
Q4 - 11:42HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
72.9%
56
27.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
71.5%
56
28.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU60
68.2%
56
31.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
71.9%
56
28.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
70.7%
56
29.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)60
67.6%
56
32.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
72.0%
56
28.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 160
68.3%
56
31.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
63.0%
56
37.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper58
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
58.1%
56
41.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot58
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 1:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)58
62.5%
56
37.5%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
61.1%
56
38.9%
Q3 - 1:27HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)58
57.7%
56
42.3%
Q3 - 1:30HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 1:32HOUMISS Yao 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
44.7%
56
55.3%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T17)55
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
43.1%
56
56.9%
Q3 - 1:58HOUMISS Yao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot55
44.6%
56
55.4%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWade Palming Turnover (P5.T16)55
47.9%
56
52.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
42.9%
56
57.1%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q3 - 2:48HOUBattier 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
42.9%
56
57.1%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)53
39.3%
56
60.7%
Q3 - 3:25HOUMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)53
43.4%
54
56.6%
Q3 - 3:30HOURockets Rebound53
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 3:32HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
44.8%
54
55.2%
Q3 - 3:52MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)53
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 4:09HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
51.9%
52
48.1%
Q3 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 251
50.2%
51
49.8%
Q3 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot51
51.1%
51
48.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q3 - 5:00HOUMISS Battier 9' Hook Shot51
49.2%
51
50.8%
Q3 - 5:17MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T15)51
52.4%
51
47.6%
Q3 - 5:31HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)51
47.9%
51
52.1%
Q3 - 5:33HOURockets Rebound51
52.4%
51
47.6%
Q3 - 5:34HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
49.3%
51
50.7%
Q3 - 6:01MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)51
52.2%
51
47.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Rebound51
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q3 - 6:15HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
57.2%
49
42.8%
Q3 - 6:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot51
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q3 - 6:53HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
57.2%
49
42.8%
Q3 - 7:01MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)51
59.5%
49
40.5%
Q3 - 7:18HOUMcGrady Tip Shot (8 PTS)51
55.2%
49
44.8%
Q3 - 7:19HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q3 - 7:20HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup49
48.8%
49
51.2%
Q3 - 7:35MIAWalker 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)49
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q3 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
55.2%
47
44.8%
Q3 - 7:45HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot49
56.6%
47
43.4%
Q3 - 7:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)49
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot49
58.3%
47
41.7%
Q3 - 8:20HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (6 PTS)49
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
52.0%
47
48.0%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 247
53.7%
46
46.3%
Q3 - 8:47HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)47
51.5%
46
48.5%
Q3 - 8:47HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)46
50.9%
46
49.1%
Q3 - 8:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q3 - 8:53HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot45
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q3 - 9:07MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)45
47.9%
46
52.1%
Q3 - 9:32HOUHayes Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)45
44.2%
46
55.8%
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)43
40.8%
46
59.2%
Q3 - 9:55HOUHaslem STEAL (1 STL)43
37.1%
46
62.9%
Q3 - 10:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)43
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q3 - 10:22HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)43
44.3%
44
55.7%
Q3 - 10:22HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)42
43.8%
44
56.2%
Q3 - 10:26HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
41.3%
44
58.7%
Q3 - 10:28HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q3 - 10:41HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
41.2%
44
58.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
40.1%
44
59.9%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q3 - 11:02HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot41
39.2%
44
60.8%
Q3 - 11:14MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
41.6%
44
58.4%
Q3 - 11:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
44.8%
42
55.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot41
47.3%
42
52.7%
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
44.8%
42
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU39
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound39
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Battier 42' 3PT Jump Shot39
39.1%
42
60.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS)39
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup39
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)37
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
39.3%
40
60.7%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper37
40.8%
40
59.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot37
39.9%
40
60.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 237
41.2%
40
58.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 237
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUPayton STEAL (1 STL)37
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 1:14HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)37
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 1:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
39.8%
40
60.2%
Q2 - 1:37HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 237
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 1:37HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)37
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 1:41HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
38.3%
40
61.7%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup36
37.9%
40
62.1%
Q2 - 1:57MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 1:59HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot36
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 2:07HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
39.3%
40
60.7%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot36
38.5%
40
61.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 2:19HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot36
37.4%
40
62.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)36
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 2:53HOUAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 3:01MIAPayton 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 3:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
42.6%
38
57.4%
Q2 - 3:16HOUMISS Snyder Free Throw 2 of 236
43.0%
38
57.0%
Q2 - 3:16HOUMISS Snyder Free Throw 1 of 236
44.8%
38
55.2%
Q2 - 3:27MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
45.9%
38
54.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
51.5%
35
48.5%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot36
53.8%
35
46.2%
Q2 - 4:00HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
51.5%
35
48.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)34
48.7%
35
51.3%
Q2 - 4:27HOUYao Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)34
45.8%
35
54.2%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)32
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 4:57HOUSnyder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 5:11HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.9%
33
51.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
48.0%
33
52.0%
Q2 - 5:36HOUYao 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)32
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)30
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound30
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup30
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 6:17MIAHEAT Rebound30
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 6:18HOUMISS Head 16' Jump Shot30
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 6:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 7:02HOUBattier 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)28
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q2 - 7:36HOUBattier 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)28
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 7:52MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
33.9%
33
66.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 7:56HOUMISS Head 9' Running Jump Shot26
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 8:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 8:20HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot26
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 8:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q2 - 8:42HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 8:42HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAWade 7' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)24
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 9:14HOUSnyder 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
41.3%
27
58.7%
Q2 - 9:32HOUHead REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 9:34HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.3%
27
62.7%
Q2 - 9:45HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot22
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q2 - 10:04HOUMISS Snyder 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.3%
27
62.7%
Q2 - 10:26MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)22
39.2%
27
60.8%
Q2 - 10:30HOUWright STEAL (1 STL)22
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 10:43HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot22
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 10:57HOUHead Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 11:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
43.8%
25
56.2%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q2 - 11:34HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)22
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q2 - 11:34HOURockets Rebound22
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q2 - 11:35HOUMISS Snyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q2 - 11:38HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q2 - 11:40HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU22
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound22
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P3.T5)22
43.5%
25
56.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
41.8%
25
58.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 222
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
44.1%
24
55.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
45.4%
24
54.6%
Q1 - 1:15HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)22
44.2%
24
55.8%
Q1 - 1:29MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q1 - 1:38HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup20
40.1%
24
59.9%
Q1 - 1:42MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 1:58HOUHayes Layup (5 PTS)20
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q1 - 2:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
36.8%
24
63.2%
Q1 - 2:02HOUPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)18
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q1 - 2:11HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot18
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q1 - 2:26HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)16
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q1 - 3:11HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q1 - 3:25HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot13
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 3:40HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 3:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot13
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 4:03HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 4:03HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 212
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)12
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot12
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 4:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 4:57HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot12
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 5:08MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)12
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 5:21HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot12
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 5:31HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Haslem 6' Turnaround Jump Shot12
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 5:57HOUBattier Layup (5 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)12
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 6:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot10
36.3%
17
63.7%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.9%
17
65.1%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.5%
17
64.5%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHaslem 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)10
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
38.7%
15
61.3%
Q1 - 6:59HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot10
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
41.3%
15
58.7%
Q1 - 7:33HOUYao 12' Hook Shot (5 PTS)10
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWalker 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 8:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 8:06HOUO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 8:19MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)8
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.2%
10
54.8%
Q1 - 8:25HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot8
45.8%
10
54.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)8
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 8:52HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 8:52HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)7
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 9:11HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)6
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 9:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem Alley Oop Layup6
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 9:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 9:21HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)6
49.3%
6
50.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 9:44HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot6
49.3%
6
50.7%
Q1 - 9:57HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 16
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 10:12HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS)6
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
50.8%
4
49.2%
Q1 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
51.1%
3
48.9%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 10:45HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot4
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 10:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem Layup4
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 11:08HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 11:20HOUYao Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Yao: Tip to Payton0
48.9%
0
51.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
12
16
75%
MIA
13
24
54%
Midrange
HOU
16
37
43%
MIA
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
HOU
17
22
77%
MIA
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao3468%17.0 / 25
T. McGrady1233%6.0 / 18
S. Battier1155%5.5 / 10
L. Head1161%5.5 / 9
R. Alston857%4.0 / 7
C. Hayes770%3.5 / 5
K. Snyder750%3.5 / 7
J. Howard440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2446%12.0 / 26
S. O'Neal1542%7.5 / 18
A. Walker1365%6.5 / 10
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
G. Payton550%2.5 / 5
J. Posey325%1.5 / 6
A. Mourning375%1.5 / 2
J. Kapono338%1.5 / 4
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
79
+13
-10
92
MIA
69
+12
-18
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
104.2
HOU 105.6
MIA 82.8 +22.9
Pace
91.1
90.1
HOU 90.2 +4.3
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
HOU 16.0 +0.8
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.6%
HOU 50.7% +8.4%
MIA 42.3%
TO %
14.8%
15.3%
HOU 12.3% +6.0%
MIA 18.3%
ORB %
25.7%
24.9%
HOU 22.2%
MIA 24.4% +2.2%
FTrt
29.2
32.1
HOU 28.9
MIA 29.6 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
57.6%
HOU 57.1% +10.7%
MIA 46.4%
STL %
7.8%
7.6%
HOU 5.6%
MIA 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.8%
HOU 1.9%
MIA 5.7% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
52.4%
HOU 51.1% +6.7%
MIA 44.4%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.8%
HOU 75.0% +20.8%
MIA 54.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.5%
HOU 43.2% +6.5%
MIA 36.7%
3P %
37.2%
34.3%
HOU 30.4% +6.9%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
75.3%
69.0%
HOU 77.3% +20.2%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
34.9%
HOU 21.1%
MIA 33.8% +12.8%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
40.7%
HOU 48.7%
MIA 42.3% +6.4%
3P Att. %
29.0%
24.5%
HOU 30.3% +6.3%
MIA 23.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9472
Rebounds4239
Assists2013
Steals55
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals35-7628-71
At-the-Rim FG12-1613-24
Midrange FG16-3711-30
2-Point FG28-5324-54
3-Point FG7-234-17
Free Throws17-2212-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'6" 310 · 26
37.9
34
68%
14
2
0
0
4
4
0
14
12-13
92%
11-19
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 27
36.2
12
33%
4
8
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-14
43%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 28
33.2
11
55%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
32.8
8
57%
2
2
2
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 240 · 23
19.0
7
70%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
29.1
4
40%
4
2
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
20.5
11
61%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23
20.4
7
50%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
C · 7'2" 260 · 40
8.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 31
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 195 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
#6 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 5'11" 166 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
51%
42
20
5
1
10
0
8
34
17-22
77%
28-53
53%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.