Final Win Prob. pScore
149%91
94
451%92
72
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
105.68990.2
MIA logo Heat
82.88785.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU94
72
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
72
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot94
72
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)94
72
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)91
72
Q4 - 1:16HOUSnyder Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
70
Q4 - 1:16MIASUB: Wright FOR Walker90
70
Q4 - 1:16MIASUB: Quinn FOR Payton90
70
Q4 - 1:16HOUSUB: Spanoulis FOR Yao90
70
Q4 - 1:16HOUSUB: Padgett FOR McGrady90
70
Q4 - 1:16HOUSnyder Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
70
Q4 - 1:16MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wade89
70
Q4 - 1:16MIAWalker S.FOUL (P3.T4)89
70
Q4 - 1:30HOUHead REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
70
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
70
Q4 - 1:53HOUYao Dunk (34 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)89
70
Q4 - 2:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)87
70
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
70
Q4 - 2:27HOUSnyder 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)87
70
Q4 - 2:40HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)84
70
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup84
70
Q4 - 2:49HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)84
70
Q4 - 2:49HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)83
70
Q4 - 2:49HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)82
70
Q4 - 2:49MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
70
Q4 - 3:04HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)82
70
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot82
70
Q4 - 3:18MIASUB: Posey FOR O'Neal82
70
Q4 - 3:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)82
70
Q4 - 3:23HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)82
70
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)80
70
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
69
Q4 - 3:39HOUSnyder P.FOUL (P2.PN)80
68
Q4 - 3:49HOUYao Dunk (30 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)80
68
Q4 - 3:59MIASUB: Haslem FOR Posey78
68
Q4 - 3:59MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P4.T2)78
68
Q4 - 4:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)78
68
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 278
68
Q4 - 4:16MIAHEAT Rebound78
68
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 278
68
Q4 - 4:16HOUHead S.FOUL (P2.PN)78
68
Q4 - 4:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
68
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS O'Neal Layup78
68
Q4 - 4:33HOUYao 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Head 1 AST)78
68
Q4 - 5:00MIAWalker Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
68
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Wade FOR Kapono76
66
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)76
66
Q4 - 5:21HOUYao Layup (26 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)76
66
Q4 - 5:27MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)74
66
Q4 - 5:44HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)74
66
Q4 - 6:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
66
Q4 - 6:01MIAHEAT Rebound71
65
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
65
Q4 - 6:01HOUYao S.FOUL (P4.T4)71
65
Q4 - 6:21HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)71
65
Q4 - 6:43MIAWalker 3' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
65
Q4 - 6:58MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade68
63
Q4 - 6:58HOUHoward L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)68
63
Q4 - 6:58MIAHEAT Rebound68
63
Q4 - 6:58HOUMISS Snyder 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
63
Q4 - 7:22MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)68
63
Q4 - 7:46HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
60
Q4 - 8:01HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
60
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
60
Q4 - 8:13HOUPosey STEAL (1 STL)66
60
Q4 - 8:30HOUSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
60
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Kapono Reverse Layup66
60
Q4 - 8:4566
60
Q4 - 8:45HOUYao P.FOUL (P3.T2)66
60
Q4 - 8:59HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)66
60
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)64
60
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)64
59
Q4 - 9:14HOUMcGrady S.FOUL (P2.T1)64
58
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
58
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot64
58
Q4 - 9:27MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem64
58
Q4 - 9:27HOUSUB: Snyder FOR Battier64
58
Q4 - 9:27HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Alston64
58
Q4 - 9:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
58
Q4 - 9:36HOUMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot64
58
Q4 - 9:59HOUYao Violation:Defensive Goaltending64
58
Q4 - 9:59MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
58
Q4 - 10:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
56
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot64
56
Q4 - 10:23HOUYao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)64
56
Q4 - 10:36MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)62
56
Q4 - 10:36HOURockets Rebound62
56
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot62
56
Q4 - 10:58HOUYao Driving Layup (22 PTS)62
56
Q4 - 11:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
56
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS O'Neal Layup60
56
Q4 - 11:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
56
Q4 - 11:25HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot60
56
Q4 - 11:42HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
56
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
56
Q4 - 12:0060
56
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU60
56
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
56
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 0:08.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning60
56
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao60
56
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)60
56
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
56
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 160
56
Q3 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton60
56
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
56
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUHead Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)60
56
Q3 - 0:38.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
56
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper58
56
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
56
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 1:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)58
56
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 1:27HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)58
56
Q3 - 1:30HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
56
Q3 - 1:32HOUMISS Yao 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
56
Q3 - 1:48MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T17)55
56
Q3 - 1:48MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)55
56
Q3 - 1:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
56
Q3 - 1:58HOUMISS Yao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot55
56
Q3 - 2:18MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker55
56
Q3 - 2:18HOUSUB: Head FOR Mutombo55
56
Q3 - 2:18HOUSUB: Yao FOR McGrady55
56
Q3 - 2:18HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
56
Q3 - 2:18MIAWade Palming Turnover (P5.T16)55
56
Q3 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
56
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
56
Q3 - 2:48HOUBattier 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 3:10MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)53
56
Q3 - 3:25HOUMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)53
54
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal53
54
Q3 - 3:30HOURockets Rebound53
54
Q3 - 3:32HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
54
Q3 - 3:52MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)53
54
Q3 - 4:09HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
52
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T4)51
52
Q3 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
52
Q3 - 4:28MIAHEAT Rebound51
51
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 251
51
Q3 - 4:28HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P3.PN)51
51
Q3 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
51
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot51
51
Q3 - 4:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
51
Q3 - 5:00HOUMISS Battier 9' Hook Shot51
51
Q3 - 5:06HOUSUB: Howard FOR Hayes51
51
Q3 - 5:06HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)51
51
Q3 - 5:06MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.T3)51
51
Q3 - 5:17HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao51
51
Q3 - 5:17MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T15)51
51
Q3 - 5:17MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P2)51
51
Q3 - 5:31HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)51
51
Q3 - 5:33HOURockets Rebound51
51
Q3 - 5:34HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
51
Q3 - 6:01MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)51
51
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)51
49
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Rebound51
49
Q3 - 6:15HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
49
Q3 - 6:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
49
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot51
49
Q3 - 6:41HOUMcGrady P.FOUL (P1.T4)51
49
Q3 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
49
Q3 - 6:53HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
49
Q3 - 7:01MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)51
49
Q3 - 7:18HOUMcGrady Tip Shot (8 PTS)51
49
Q3 - 7:19HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
49
Q3 - 7:20HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup49
49
Q3 - 7:35MIAWalker 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)49
49
Q3 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
47
Q3 - 7:45HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot49
47
Q3 - 7:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)49
47
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot49
47
Q3 - 8:07HOUHayes P.FOUL (P1.T3)49
47
Q3 - 8:20HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (6 PTS)49
47
Q3 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
47
Q3 - 8:34HOUHayes Violation:Lane47
46
Q3 - 8:34MIAHEAT Rebound47
46
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 247
46
Q3 - 8:34HOUBattier S.FOUL (P2.T2)47
46
Q3 - 8:47HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)47
46
Q3 - 8:47HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)46
46
Q3 - 8:47MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T2)45
46
Q3 - 8:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
46
Q3 - 8:53HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot45
46
Q3 - 9:07MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)45
46
Q3 - 9:32HOUHayes Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)45
46
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)43
46
Q3 - 9:55HOUHaslem STEAL (1 STL)43
46
Q3 - 10:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)43
46
Q3 - 10:22HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)43
44
Q3 - 10:22HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)42
44
Q3 - 10:22MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T1)41
44
Q3 - 10:26HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
44
Q3 - 10:28HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
44
Q3 - 10:41HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
44
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
44
Q3 - 10:56HOUAlston P.FOUL (P3.T1)41
44
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
44
Q3 - 11:02HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot41
44
Q3 - 11:14MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
44
Q3 - 11:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
42
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot41
42
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
42
Q3 - 12:0039
42
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU39
42
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound39
42
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Battier 42' 3PT Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
40
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup39
40
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
40
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAPosey P.FOUL (P2.PN)37
40
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)37
40
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
40
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper37
40
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo37
40
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Payton37
40
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Walker FOR O'Neal37
40
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
40
Q2 - 0:29.0MIA37
40
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
40
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot37
40
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
40
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 237
40
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao37
40
Q2 - 0:52.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Wade37
40
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound37
40
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 237
40
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUYao S.FOUL (P2.T4)37
40
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUPayton STEAL (1 STL)37
40
Q2 - 1:14HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)37
40
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
40
Q2 - 1:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
40
Q2 - 1:37HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 237
40
Q2 - 1:37MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker37
40
Q2 - 1:37HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)37
40
Q2 - 1:37MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
40
Q2 - 1:41HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
40
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup36
40
Q2 - 1:57MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
40
Q2 - 1:59HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 2:07HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
40
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
40
Q2 - 2:19HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 2:39MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)36
40
Q2 - 2:53HOUAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
40
Q2 - 2:53HOUAlston OFF.Foul (P2)36
40
Q2 - 2:53HOUSUB: Yao FOR Snyder36
40
Q2 - 2:53HOUSUB: Alston FOR Mutombo36
40
Q2 - 2:53HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
40
Q2 - 3:01MIAPayton 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
40
Q2 - 3:15HOUHoward L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)36
38
Q2 - 3:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
38
Q2 - 3:16HOUMISS Snyder Free Throw 2 of 236
38
Q2 - 3:16HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao36
38
Q2 - 3:16HOURockets Rebound36
38
Q2 - 3:16HOUMISS Snyder Free Throw 1 of 236
38
Q2 - 3:16MIASUB: Haslem FOR Posey36
38
Q2 - 3:16MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning36
38
Q2 - 3:16MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
38
Q2 - 3:27MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
38
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
35
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot36
35
Q2 - 4:00HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
35
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)34
35
Q2 - 4:27HOUYao Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)34
35
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 4:57HOUSnyder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
33
Q2 - 5:11HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 5:36HOUYao 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 5:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
33
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)30
33
Q2 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound30
33
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup30
33
Q2 - 6:17HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Head30
33
Q2 - 6:17MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal30
33
Q2 - 6:17MIASUB: Wade FOR Wright30
33
Q2 - 6:17HOUHoward L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)30
33
Q2 - 6:17MIAHEAT Rebound30
33
Q2 - 6:18HOUMISS Head 16' Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 6:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
33
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 7:02HOUBattier 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
33
Q2 - 7:17MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade28
33
Q2 - 7:17MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)28
33
Q2 - 7:36HOUBattier 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)28
33
Q2 - 7:52HOUSnyder Violation:Defensive Goaltending26
33
Q2 - 7:52MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
33
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31
Q2 - 7:56HOUMISS Head 9' Running Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 8:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 8:10HOUSUB: Battier FOR Alston26
30
Q2 - 8:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
30
Q2 - 8:10HOUSnyder P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
29
Q2 - 8:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
29
Q2 - 8:20HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot26
29
Q2 - 8:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
29
Q2 - 8:42HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
29
Q2 - 8:42HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
29
Q2 - 8:4224
29
Q2 - 8:42MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
29
Q2 - 8:58MIAWade 7' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)24
29
Q2 - 9:14HOUSnyder 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
27
Q2 - 9:32HOUHead REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
27
Q2 - 9:34HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 9:45HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
27
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot22
27
Q2 - 10:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
27
Q2 - 10:04HOUMISS Snyder 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 10:26MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)22
27
Q2 - 10:30HOUWright STEAL (1 STL)22
25
Q2 - 10:43HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 10:57HOUHead Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
25
Q2 - 10:57HOUHead OFF.Foul (P1)22
25
Q2 - 11:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
25
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 11:34HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)22
25
Q2 - 11:34HOURockets Rebound22
25
Q2 - 11:35HOUMISS Snyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 11:38HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
25
Q2 - 11:40HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 12:0022
25
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU22
25
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound22
25
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUSUB: Alston FOR Snyder22
25
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWright P.FOUL (P1.T3)22
25
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P3.T5)22
25
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAPayton OFF.Foul (P1)22
25
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
25
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 222
25
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUSUB: Battier FOR Hayes22
25
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
25
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo22
24
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUMutombo P.FOUL (P2.PN)22
24
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUSUB: Head FOR Alston22
24
Q1 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Wade22
24
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUMutombo P.FOUL (P1.T4)22
24
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 1:15HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)22
24
Q1 - 1:29MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
24
Q1 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
24
Q1 - 1:38HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup20
24
Q1 - 1:42MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
24
Q1 - 1:53MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker20
24
Q1 - 1:53HOUSUB: Snyder FOR Battier20
24
Q1 - 1:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
24
Q1 - 1:58HOUHayes Layup (5 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 2:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
24
Q1 - 2:02HOUPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)18
24
Q1 - 2:11HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
24
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot18
24
Q1 - 2:26HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
24
Q1 - 2:52MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)16
24
Q1 - 3:11HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
21
Q1 - 3:25HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
21
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot13
21
Q1 - 3:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
21
Q1 - 3:40HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
21
Q1 - 3:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot13
21
Q1 - 4:03HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
21
Q1 - 4:03HOURockets Rebound12
21
Q1 - 4:03HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 212
21
Q1 - 4:03MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
21
Q1 - 4:23MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)12
21
Q1 - 4:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
19
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot12
19
Q1 - 4:48HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao12
19
Q1 - 4:48MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal12
19
Q1 - 4:48HOUAlston P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
19
Q1 - 4:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19
Q1 - 4:57HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot12
19
Q1 - 5:08MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)12
19
Q1 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
17
Q1 - 5:21HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot12
17
Q1 - 5:31HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
17
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Haslem 6' Turnaround Jump Shot12
17
Q1 - 5:57HOUBattier Layup (5 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)12
17
Q1 - 6:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
17
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot10
17
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
17
Q1 - 6:49MIAHaslem 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)10
17
Q1 - 6:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
15
Q1 - 6:59HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot10
15
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
15
Q1 - 7:33HOUYao 12' Hook Shot (5 PTS)10
15
Q1 - 7:44HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
15
Q1 - 7:50MIAWalker 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
15
Q1 - 8:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13
Q1 - 8:06HOUO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
13
Q1 - 8:19MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)8
13
Q1 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 8:25HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 8:37MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 8:52HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 8:52HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 8:52MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 9:11HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)6
6
Q1 - 9:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem Alley Oop Layup6
6
Q1 - 9:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6
Q1 - 9:21HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)6
6
Q1 - 9:34MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:44HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:57HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 16
6
Q1 - 9:58HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
6
Q1 - 9:58MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 10:12HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 10:33HOUBattier S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:45HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem Layup4
2
Q1 - 11:08HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:20HOUYao Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
2
Q1 - 11:20MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Walker )0
2
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Yao: Tip to Payton0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
12
16
75%
MIA
13
24
54%
Midrange
HOU
16
37
43%
MIA
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
HOU
17
22
77%
MIA
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao3468%17.0 / 25
T. McGrady1233%6.0 / 18
S. Battier1155%5.5 / 10
L. Head1161%5.5 / 9
R. Alston857%4.0 / 7
C. Hayes770%3.5 / 5
K. Snyder750%3.5 / 7
J. Howard440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2446%12.0 / 26
S. O'Neal1542%7.5 / 18
A. Walker1365%6.5 / 10
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
G. Payton550%2.5 / 5
J. Posey325%1.5 / 6
A. Mourning375%1.5 / 2
J. Kapono338%1.5 / 4
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
79
+13
-10
92
MIA
69
+12
-18
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
104.2
HOU 105.6 +22.9
MIA 82.8
Pace
91.1
90.1
HOU 90.2 +4.3
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
HOU 16.0 −0.8
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.6%
HOU 50.7% +8.4%
MIA 42.3%
TO %
14.8%
15.3%
HOU 12.3% −6.0%
MIA 18.3%
ORB %
25.7%
24.9%
HOU 22.2%
MIA 24.4% +2.2%
FTrt
29.2
32.1
HOU 28.9
MIA 29.6 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
57.6%
HOU 57.1% +10.7%
MIA 46.4%
STL %
7.8%
7.6%
HOU 5.6%
MIA 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.8%
HOU 1.9%
MIA 5.7% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
52.4%
HOU 51.1% +6.7%
MIA 44.4%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.8%
HOU 75.0% +20.8%
MIA 54.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.5%
HOU 43.2% +6.5%
MIA 36.7%
3P %
37.2%
34.3%
HOU 30.4% +6.9%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
75.3%
69.0%
HOU 77.3% +20.2%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
34.9%
HOU 21.1%
MIA 33.8% +12.8%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
40.7%
HOU 48.7%
MIA 42.3% −6.4%
3P Att. %
29.0%
24.5%
HOU 30.3% +6.3%
MIA 23.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9472
Rebounds4239
Assists2013
Steals55
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals35-7628-71
At-the-Rim FG12-1613-24
Midrange FG16-3711-30
2-Point FG28-5324-54
3-Point FG7-234-17
Free Throws17-2212-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'6" 310 · 26
37.9
34
68%
14
2
0
0
4
4
0
14
12-13
92%
11-19
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 27
36.2
12
33%
4
8
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-14
43%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 28
33.2
11
55%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
32.8
8
57%
2
2
2
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 240 · 23
19.0
7
70%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
29.1
4
40%
4
2
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
20.5
11
61%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23
20.4
7
50%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
C · 7'2" 260 · 40
8.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 31
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 195 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
#6 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 5'11" 166 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
51%
42
20
5
1
10
0
8
34
17-22
77%
28-53
53%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.