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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Rockets49%9194
4Heat51%9272
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
37.9
34.1
34
69%
14
2
0
1
0
4
0
14
12-13
92%
11-19
9-17
58%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
36.2
35.7
12
33%
4
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-14
6-13
43%
45%
0-4
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
33.2
36.6
11
55%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
1-5
20%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
32.8
36.8
8
58%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.4
19.0
22.5
7
72%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
29.1
11.2
4
40%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
20.5
23.9
11
58%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
20.4
17.6
7
52%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
8.3
8.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
1.3
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
1.3
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
43.1
39.0
24
47%
7
4
1
2
1
5
4
3
8-8
100%
8-19
8-17
42%
50%
0-3
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
39.0
34.2
13
65%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
36.0
36.1
5
50%
4
2
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
33.8
36.2
6
33%
10
0
1
1
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
32.9
23.4
15
42%
10
1
0
0
1
5
2
8
3-9
33%
6-14
5-8
43%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.8
25.9
26.3
3
26%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-5
20%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
11.2
13.7
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
8.5
6.8
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.9
8.3
18.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
1.3
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
4.7
0
1-1
47%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.