FinalWin Prob.pScore
1834%97
112
666%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
115.597102.3
MIA logo MIA
109.49691.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN112
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAPosey 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)112
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)112
99.6%
102
0.4%
Q4 - 1:00DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)111
99.5%
102
0.5%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)110
98.9%
102
1.1%
Q4 - 1:19DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)110
97.5%
102
2.5%
Q4 - 1:19DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)109
97.3%
102
2.7%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (37 PTS)108
94.3%
102
5.7%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)108
96.3%
100
3.7%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade Running Layup108
97.3%
100
2.7%
Q4 - 1:55DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)108
96.0%
100
4.0%
Q4 - 1:55DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)107
95.8%
100
4.2%
Q4 - 1:59MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)106
94.0%
100
6.0%
Q4 - 2:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)106
96.8%
97
3.2%
Q4 - 2:11DENMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot106
97.4%
97
2.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)106
98.4%
97
1.6%
Q4 - 2:51DENBoykins 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)106
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
98.4%
94
1.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)104
98.5%
93
1.5%
Q4 - 3:23DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)104
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 3:23DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)103
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 3:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 4:02DENMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)102
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)99
91.3%
92
8.7%
Q4 - 4:36DENAnthony Slam Dunk (31 PTS)99
95.6%
89
4.4%
Q4 - 4:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
93.9%
89
6.1%
Q4 - 4:41DENWright BLOCK (4 BLK)97
92.2%
89
7.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)97
90.9%
89
9.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
91.4%
88
8.6%
Q4 - 5:19DENAnthony Free Throw 3 of 3 (29 PTS)97
93.3%
87
6.7%
Q4 - 5:19DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 3 (28 PTS)96
92.9%
87
7.1%
Q4 - 5:19DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 395
92.5%
87
7.5%
Q4 - 5:31DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
91.1%
87
8.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot95
90.2%
87
9.8%
Q4 - 5:51DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)95
87.9%
87
12.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
88.3%
87
11.7%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
88.9%
86
11.1%
Q4 - 6:20DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)95
90.8%
85
9.2%
Q4 - 6:26DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
88.4%
85
11.6%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot93
87.3%
85
12.7%
Q4 - 6:50DENMiller 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)93
84.5%
85
15.5%
Q4 - 7:10DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
77.4%
85
22.6%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 191
76.7%
85
23.3%
Q4 - 7:22DENWade STEAL (2 STL)91
81.5%
83
18.5%
Q4 - 7:36DENNuggets Rebound91
85.8%
83
14.2%
Q4 - 7:38DENWright BLOCK (3 BLK)91
82.9%
83
17.1%
Q4 - 7:52DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
85.8%
83
14.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
84.6%
83
15.4%
Q4 - 8:12DENMiller Layup (20 PTS)91
79.1%
83
20.9%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)89
74.6%
83
25.4%
Q4 - 8:30DENBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)89
69.5%
83
30.5%
Q4 - 8:39MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)86
57.9%
83
42.1%
Q4 - 8:53DENEvans Layup (8 PTS)86
51.4%
83
48.6%
Q4 - 8:55DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
45.2%
83
54.8%
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
40.7%
83
59.3%
Q4 - 9:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
44.2%
83
55.8%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
42.3%
83
57.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
38.2%
83
61.8%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
40.0%
83
60.0%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)84
44.3%
83
55.7%
Q4 - 10:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
37.6%
83
62.4%
Q4 - 10:03DENWright BLOCK (2 BLK)84
39.4%
83
60.6%
Q4 - 10:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)84
43.6%
83
56.4%
Q4 - 10:17MIAHEAT Rebound84
37.7%
83
62.3%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot84
41.7%
83
58.3%
Q4 - 10:47DENEvans 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)84
37.7%
83
62.3%
Q4 - 11:08DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot82
31.5%
83
68.5%
Q4 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
28.1%
83
71.9%
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot82
29.6%
83
70.4%
Q4 - 11:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
31.4%
83
68.6%
Q4 - 11:47DENBoykins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)82
28.1%
83
71.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN82
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound82
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 40' 3PT Jump Shot82
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
32.7%
83
67.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Posey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot82
31.4%
83
68.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENNajera Layup (4 PTS)82
28.4%
83
71.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
24.4%
83
75.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
21.8%
83
78.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)80
24.4%
83
75.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENDiawara Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)80
28.4%
81
71.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWright Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)77
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q3 - 1:13DENWade STEAL (1 STL)77
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q3 - 1:26DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)77
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q3 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q3 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)76
25.3%
78
74.7%
Q3 - 1:45DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q3 - 1:45DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
26.8%
77
73.2%
Q3 - 2:03MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)74
24.6%
77
75.4%
Q3 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
27.9%
75
72.1%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade Layup74
30.8%
75
69.2%
Q3 - 2:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
27.9%
75
72.1%
Q3 - 2:12DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot74
29.2%
75
70.8%
Q3 - 2:23DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot74
30.9%
75
69.1%
Q3 - 2:38DENEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)74
27.9%
75
72.1%
Q3 - 2:47DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
24.6%
75
75.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
23.5%
75
76.5%
Q3 - 3:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)72
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q3 - 3:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)71
21.1%
75
78.9%
Q3 - 3:12DENNuggets Rebound70
18.9%
75
81.1%
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Miller 11' Running Hook Shot70
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 3:25DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
18.8%
75
81.2%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 270
18.4%
75
81.6%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
17.1%
75
82.9%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
20.8%
74
79.2%
Q3 - 3:52DENMiller 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
18.6%
74
81.4%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)68
16.6%
74
83.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
14.0%
74
86.0%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
14.7%
74
85.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)68
16.5%
74
83.5%
Q3 - 4:37DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
21.5%
71
78.5%
Q3 - 4:37DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
20.7%
71
79.3%
Q3 - 4:50MIAHaslem 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)66
19.1%
71
80.9%
Q3 - 5:16DENAnthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
21.9%
69
78.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T12)64
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 5:45DENCamby 11' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)64
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 5:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
14.6%
69
85.4%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Haslem Layup62
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
12.5%
69
87.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot62
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot62
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 6:12DENMiller Layup (16 PTS)62
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)60
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 6:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot60
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 6:40DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 7:03DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)60
15.0%
66
85.0%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 7:43DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 7:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot55
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAHEAT Rebound55
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 8:22DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot55
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 8:50DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
17.7%
61
82.3%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot55
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 9:21DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)55
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)52
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
15.9%
58
84.1%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
17.5%
57
82.5%
Q3 - 9:47DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 152
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)50
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q3 - 9:56DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 10:21DENCamby Foul Turnover (P2.T10)50
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q3 - 10:30MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)50
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 10:49DENAnthony Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)50
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 10:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 10:59DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot48
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)48
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 11:22DENPayton STEAL (1 STL)48
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound48
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 65' 3PT Jump Shot48
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)48
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)48
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
30.6%
46
69.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENMISS Camby Layup46
31.2%
46
68.8%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 1:19DENMiller Layup (11 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)46
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
39.7%
41
60.3%
Q2 - 1:45DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot44
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 1:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
41.4%
41
58.6%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Diawara 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)44
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q2 - 2:43DENAnthony Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)44
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 2:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)42
35.5%
41
64.5%
Q2 - 3:06DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)42
32.3%
41
67.7%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)40
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 3:50DENAnthony Tip Shot (14 PTS)40
35.1%
38
64.9%
Q2 - 3:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 3:52DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot38
30.7%
38
69.3%
Q2 - 3:59MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
29.8%
38
70.2%
Q2 - 4:03DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot38
30.4%
38
69.6%
Q2 - 4:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Walker 11' Running Jump Shot38
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 4:38DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 237
29.1%
38
70.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)37
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 4:55DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot37
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot37
27.9%
38
72.1%
Q2 - 5:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 5:30DENMiller Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)37
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 5:30DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)36
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 5:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)35
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 5:30DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)34
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Payton Free Throw Technical33
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 5:54MIAWalker Layup (10 PTS)33
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 6:00DENMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)33
23.6%
36
76.4%
Q2 - 6:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 6:34DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
23.6%
36
76.4%
Q2 - 6:40DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25.3%
36
74.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Posey 13' Jump Shot33
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q2 - 7:03DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)33
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q2 - 7:04DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 7:05DENMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 7:07DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 7:43DENSmith Palming Turnover (P1.T7)33
29.4%
33
70.6%
Q2 - 8:03MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)33
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 8:12DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)33
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 8:19DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
32.2%
30
67.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 231
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 8:43DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
33.7%
29
66.3%
Q2 - 8:55DENNuggets Rebound27
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q2 - 8:57DENWright BLOCK (1 BLK)27
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q2 - 9:02MIAWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS)27
27.3%
29
72.7%
Q2 - 9:24DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)27
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q2 - 9:41MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)24
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q2 - 9:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q2 - 9:49DENMISS Boykins 9' Running Jump Shot24
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)24
29.4%
25
70.6%
Q2 - 10:20DENJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)24
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q2 - 10:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q2 - 10:28DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMourning Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup24
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q2 - 11:00MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q2 - 11:03DENPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)24
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q2 - 11:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q2 - 11:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q2 - 11:33DENMISS Boykins Driving Layup24
45.3%
17
54.7%
Q2 - 11:41DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
44.6%
17
55.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENWalker STEAL (1 STL)24
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot24
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot24
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 1:14DENAnthony Driving Dunk (10 PTS)24
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 1:26DENPosey STEAL (1 STL)22
44.2%
15
55.8%
Q1 - 1:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 1:33DENMISS Boykins 14' Jump Bank Shot22
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 1:38DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot22
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
44.2%
15
55.8%
Q1 - 1:49DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 1:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 1:57DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot22
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 2:16MIAPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
46.1%
15
53.9%
Q1 - 2:39DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 2:59MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
46.1%
15
53.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 3:07DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
48.0%
13
52.0%
Q1 - 3:16MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 3:26DENMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 3:31DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot22
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAHEAT Rebound22
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup22
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 3:54DENMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 4:06DENNuggets Rebound19
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 4:06DENWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)19
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 4:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 4:19MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Layup19
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 4:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.7%
9
51.3%
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
49.5%
9
50.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 5:04DENAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)19
53.7%
6
46.3%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)19
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)19
56.4%
5
43.6%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 319
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 5:38DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 5:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot17
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 6:06DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 6:17DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Posey 16' Jump Shot15
50.0%
4
50.0%
Q1 - 6:39DENSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)15
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot13
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 7:02MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 7:20DENCamby Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)13
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 7:23DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Haslem Layup11
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot11
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 7:48DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 7:51DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup8
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 8:07DENMISS Najera 21' Jump Shot8
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 8:23DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot8
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 8:44DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)8
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 9:16DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 9:22DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 9:42DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot4
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 9:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 10:15DENNajera Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)4
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
29.3%
1
70.7%
Q1 - 10:51DENCamby Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:19DENMISS Camby Driving Layup0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot0
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:47DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Camby: Tip to Miller0
28.8%
0
71.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
28
71%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
DEN
14
34
41%
MIA
4
22
18%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
27
22%
33%
MIA
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
Free Throws
DEN
26
29
90%
MIA
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3357%16.5 / 29
A. Miller2981%14.5 / 18
M. Camby1568%7.5 / 11
J. Smith950%4.5 / 9
E. Boykins833%4.0 / 12
R. Evans880%4.0 / 5
E. Najera467%2.0 / 3
Y. Diawara338%1.5 / 4
L. Kleiza350%1.5 / 3
J. Smith0-0.0 / 2
D. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3766%18.5 / 28
A. Walker2265%11.0 / 17
D. Wright1359%6.5 / 11
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
A. Mourning956%4.5 / 8
J. Posey950%4.5 / 9
G. Payton338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+19
-13
103
MIA
79
+11
-17
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
104.2
DEN 115.5 +6.1
MIA 109.4
Pace
97.2
90.1
DEN 102.3 +10.9
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.5
DEN 14.1 +1.7
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.6%
DEN 48.3%
MIA 53.2% +4.9%
TO %
16.5%
15.3%
DEN 12.1% +4.7%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
28.9%
24.9%
DEN 30.2% +9.3%
MIA 20.9%
FTrt
36.0
32.1
DEN 32.6
MIA 36.4 +3.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
57.6%
DEN 60.0% +1.2%
MIA 58.8%
STL %
8.5%
7.6%
DEN 12.4% +7.2%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
7.9%
8.8%
DEN 10.6%
MIA 11.3% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.4%
DEN 54.4%
MIA 58.3% +3.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.8%
DEN 71.4% +7.4%
MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%
39.1%
40.5%
DEN 41.2% +23.0%
MIA 18.2%
3P %
33.6%
34.3%
DEN 22.2%
MIA 46.7% +24.5%
FT %
74.6%
69.0%
DEN 89.7% +7.6%
MIA 82.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
34.9%
DEN 31.5%
MIA 32.5% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
39.0%
40.7%
DEN 38.2%
MIA 28.6% +9.6%
3P Att. %
21.2%
24.5%
DEN 30.3%
MIA 39.0% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points112105
Rebounds4739
Assists2420
Steals125
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals40-8934-77
At-the-Rim FG20-2816-25
Midrange FG14-344-22
2-Point FG34-6220-47
3-Point FG6-2714-30
Free Throws26-2923-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
41.6
33
57%
6
4
3
0
4
1
2
4
7-8
88%
13-24
54%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
36.8
29
81%
8
10
3
0
1
2
1
7
9-9
100%
7-10
70%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
34.3
15
68%
11
2
1
4
2
4
2
9
3-5
60%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
26.8
4
67%
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 21
18.1
9
50%
2
2
2
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
G · 5'5" 133 · 30
23.4
8
33%
1
5
1
1
3
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
1-6
17%
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26
16.6
8
80%
6
0
0
0
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24
14.9
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
14.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27
6.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 22
6.2
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24
#32 · G · 6'7" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
54%
47
24
12
5
13
0
13
34
26-29
90%
34-62
55%
6-27
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.