Final Win Prob. pScore
1834%97
112
666%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
115.597102.3
MIA logo Heat
109.49691.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN112
105
Q4 - 0:11.0DENSUB: Boykins FOR Najera112
105
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAPosey 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)112
105
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
102
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot112
102
Q4 - 0:42.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)112
102
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot112
102
Q4 - 1:00DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)112
102
Q4 - 1:00DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)111
102
Q4 - 1:00MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.PN)110
102
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)110
102
Q4 - 1:19DENSUB: Najera FOR Boykins110
102
Q4 - 1:19MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)110
102
Q4 - 1:19DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)110
102
Q4 - 1:19DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)109
102
Q4 - 1:19MIAWright P.FOUL (P2.PN)108
102
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (37 PTS)108
102
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)108
100
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade Running Layup108
100
Q4 - 1:55DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)108
100
Q4 - 1:55DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)107
100
Q4 - 1:55DENSUB: Smith FOR Evans106
100
Q4 - 1:55MIASUB: Kapono FOR Walker106
100
Q4 - 1:55DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)106
100
Q4 - 1:55MIAWalker L.B.FOUL (P6.PN)106
100
Q4 - 1:59MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)106
100
Q4 - 2:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)106
97
Q4 - 2:11DENMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot106
97
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)106
97
Q4 - 2:51DENBoykins 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)106
94
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
94
Q4 - 3:11MIASUB: Posey FOR Payton104
93
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)104
93
Q4 - 3:11DENEvans S.FOUL (P4.PN)104
92
Q4 - 3:23DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)104
92
Q4 - 3:23DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)103
92
Q4 - 3:23MIAWalker S.FOUL (P5.T4)102
92
Q4 - 3:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
92
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
92
Q4 - 4:02DENMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)102
92
Q4 - 4:27MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)99
92
Q4 - 4:36DENAnthony Slam Dunk (31 PTS)99
89
Q4 - 4:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
89
Q4 - 4:41DENWright BLOCK (4 BLK)97
89
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)97
89
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
88
Q4 - 5:04DENEvans P.FOUL (P3.PN)97
87
Q4 - 5:19DENAnthony Free Throw 3 of 3 (29 PTS)97
87
Q4 - 5:19DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 3 (28 PTS)96
87
Q4 - 5:19DENNuggets Rebound95
87
Q4 - 5:19DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 395
87
Q4 - 5:19MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T3)95
87
Q4 - 5:31DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
87
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot95
87
Q4 - 5:51DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)95
87
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
87
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
86
Q4 - 6:05DENEvans S.FOUL (P2.T4)95
85
Q4 - 6:18DENSUB: Camby FOR Smith95
85
Q4 - 6:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)95
85
Q4 - 6:20DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)95
85
Q4 - 6:26DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
85
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot93
85
Q4 - 6:50DENMiller 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)93
85
Q4 - 7:10DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
85
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 191
85
Q4 - 7:12DENSUB: Anthony FOR Diawara91
85
Q4 - 7:12DENDiawara S.FOUL (P4.T3)91
85
Q4 - 7:12MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)91
85
Q4 - 7:22DENWade STEAL (2 STL)91
83
Q4 - 7:33MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)91
83
Q4 - 7:36DENNuggets Rebound91
83
Q4 - 7:36MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Smith: Tip to91
83
Q4 - 7:38DENWright BLOCK (3 BLK)91
83
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T1)91
83
Q4 - 7:52DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
83
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
83
Q4 - 8:03MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning91
83
Q4 - 8:03MIASUB: Payton FOR Posey91
83
Q4 - 8:12DENMiller Layup (20 PTS)91
83
Q4 - 8:15MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)89
83
Q4 - 8:30DENBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)89
83
Q4 - 8:3986
83
Q4 - 8:39MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)86
83
Q4 - 8:53DENEvans Layup (8 PTS)86
83
Q4 - 8:55DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
83
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 9:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
83
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 9:24DENDiawara P.FOUL (P3.T2)84
83
Q4 - 9:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
83
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 9:59MIASUB: Mourning FOR Walker84
83
Q4 - 9:59MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)84
83
Q4 - 10:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
83
Q4 - 10:03DENWright BLOCK (2 BLK)84
83
Q4 - 10:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)84
83
Q4 - 10:17MIAHEAT Rebound84
83
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 10:31DENSUB: Miller FOR Anthony84
83
Q4 - 10:31DENEvans P.FOUL (P1.T1)84
83
Q4 - 10:47DENEvans 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)84
83
Q4 - 11:08DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
83
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot82
83
Q4 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
83
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot82
83
Q4 - 11:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
83
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
83
Q4 - 11:47DENBoykins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)82
83
Q4 - 12:0082
83
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN82
83
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound82
83
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 40' 3PT Jump Shot82
83
Q3 - 0:02.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
83
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Posey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot82
83
Q3 - 0:27.0DENNajera Layup (4 PTS)82
83
Q3 - 0:28.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
83
Q3 - 0:30.0DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
83
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)80
83
Q3 - 0:56.0DENDiawara Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)80
81
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAWalker S.FOUL (P4.PN)79
81
Q3 - 0:56.0DENDiawara 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)79
81
Q3 - 1:08MIAWright Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)77
81
Q3 - 1:13DENWade STEAL (1 STL)77
79
Q3 - 1:26DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)77
79
Q3 - 1:26MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Haslem )76
79
Q3 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
79
Q3 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)76
78
Q3 - 1:38DENDiawara P.FOUL (P2.PN)76
77
Q3 - 1:45DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
77
Q3 - 1:45DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 1:45DENSUB: Boykins FOR Miller74
77
Q3 - 1:45DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)74
77
Q3 - 1:45MIAWalker S.FOUL (P3.PN)74
77
Q3 - 2:03MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)74
77
Q3 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
75
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade Layup74
75
Q3 - 2:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
75
Q3 - 2:12DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot74
75
Q3 - 2:23DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
75
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot74
75
Q3 - 2:38DENEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)74
75
Q3 - 2:47DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
75
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
75
Q3 - 3:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)72
75
Q3 - 3:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)71
75
Q3 - 3:07MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
75
Q3 - 3:12MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning70
75
Q3 - 3:12DENNuggets Rebound70
75
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Miller 11' Running Hook Shot70
75
Q3 - 3:25DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
75
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 270
75
Q3 - 3:27DENSUB: Evans FOR Camby70
75
Q3 - 3:27MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
75
Q3 - 3:27DENCamby S.FOUL (P4.T4)70
74
Q3 - 3:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
74
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
74
Q3 - 3:52DENMiller 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
74
Q3 - 4:03MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)68
74
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
74
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
74
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)68
74
Q3 - 4:27DENDiawara S.FOUL (P1.T3)68
73
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)68
73
Q3 - 4:37DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
71
Q3 - 4:37DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
71
Q3 - 4:37MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T4)66
71
Q3 - 4:50MIAHaslem 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)66
71
Q3 - 5:16DENAnthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
69
Q3 - 5:28MIASUB: Wright FOR Payton64
69
Q3 - 5:28MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker64
69
Q3 - 5:28DENSUB: Diawara FOR Smith64
69
Q3 - 5:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)64
69
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T12)64
69
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)64
69
Q3 - 5:45DENCamby 11' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)64
69
Q3 - 5:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
69
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Haslem Layup62
69
Q3 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
69
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot62
69
Q3 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
69
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot62
69
Q3 - 6:12DENMiller Layup (16 PTS)62
69
Q3 - 6:28MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)60
69
Q3 - 6:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
66
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot60
66
Q3 - 6:40DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
66
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
66
Q3 - 7:03DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)60
66
Q3 - 7:19MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
66
Q3 - 7:43DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
63
Q3 - 7:43MIAPayton S.FOUL (P4.T3)57
63
Q3 - 7:43DENMiller 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)57
63
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T2)55
63
Q3 - 7:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
63
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot55
63
Q3 - 8:20MIAHEAT Rebound55
63
Q3 - 8:22DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 8:37MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
63
Q3 - 8:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
61
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
61
Q3 - 8:50DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
61
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot55
61
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
61
Q3 - 9:21DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)55
59
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)52
59
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
58
Q3 - 9:32DENNajera S.FOUL (P2.T2)52
57
Q3 - 9:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
57
Q3 - 9:47DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 152
57
Q3 - 9:47MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T1)52
57
Q3 - 9:47DENCamby Dunk (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)52
57
Q3 - 9:49MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)50
57
Q3 - 9:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
57
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
57
Q3 - 9:56DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
57
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
57
Q3 - 10:21DENCamby Foul Turnover (P2.T10)50
57
Q3 - 10:21DENCamby OFF.Foul (P3)50
57
Q3 - 10:30MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)50
57
Q3 - 10:49DENAnthony Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)50
54
Q3 - 10:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
54
Q3 - 10:59DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot48
54
Q3 - 11:10MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)48
54
Q3 - 11:22DENPayton STEAL (1 STL)48
54
Q3 - 11:41MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
54
Q3 - 11:41MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
53
Q3 - 11:41DENCamby S.FOUL (P2.T1)48
52
Q3 - 11:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
52
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
52
Q3 - 12:0048
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound48
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 65' 3PT Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)48
52
Q2 - 0:18.0DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)48
49
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
49
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
46
Q2 - 0:40.0DENMISS Camby Layup46
46
Q2 - 1:04MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
46
Q2 - 1:19DENMiller Layup (11 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)46
43
Q2 - 1:36MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker44
43
Q2 - 1:36MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
43
Q2 - 1:36MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
42
Q2 - 1:36DENCamby S.FOUL (P1.PN)44
41
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
41
Q2 - 1:45DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot44
41
Q2 - 1:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
41
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Diawara 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
41
Q2 - 2:20MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)44
41
Q2 - 2:43DENAnthony Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)44
41
Q2 - 2:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)42
41
Q2 - 3:06DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)42
41
Q2 - 3:29MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)40
41
Q2 - 3:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)40
38
Q2 - 3:50DENAnthony Tip Shot (14 PTS)40
38
Q2 - 3:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
38
Q2 - 3:52DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 3:59MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
38
Q2 - 4:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
38
Q2 - 4:03DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 4:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
38
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Walker 11' Running Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 4:38DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
38
Q2 - 4:38DENNuggets Rebound37
38
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 237
38
Q2 - 4:38MIASUB: Haslem FOR Posey37
38
Q2 - 4:38DENSUB: Diawara FOR Boykins37
38
Q2 - 4:38MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
38
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)37
38
Q2 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
38
Q2 - 4:55DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
38
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
38
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 5:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
38
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 5:30DENMiller Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)37
38
Q2 - 5:30DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)36
38
Q2 - 5:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)35
38
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: Wade FOR Payton34
38
Q2 - 5:30DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)34
38
Q2 - 5:30MIAPayton T.FOUL (P3.T4)33
38
Q2 - 5:30MIAPayton S.FOUL (P3.T4)33
38
Q2 - 5:46DENSUB: Najera FOR Kleiza33
38
Q2 - 5:46DENNuggets Rebound33
38
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Payton Free Throw Technical33
38
Q2 - 5:4633
38
Q2 - 5:4633
38
Q2 - 5:46DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)33
38
Q2 - 5:54MIAWalker Layup (10 PTS)33
38
Q2 - 5:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
36
Q2 - 6:00DENMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)33
36
Q2 - 6:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
36
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 6:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
36
Q2 - 6:34DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 6:40DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
36
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Posey 13' Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 6:52DENBoykins P.FOUL (P1.T4)33
36
Q2 - 7:03DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)33
36
Q2 - 7:04DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
36
Q2 - 7:05DENMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 7:07DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
36
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 7:27MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
36
Q2 - 7:27DENSUB: Camby FOR Smith33
35
Q2 - 7:27DENSUB: Miller FOR Smith33
35
Q2 - 7:27DENSmith S.FOUL (P3.T3)33
35
Q2 - 7:27MIAWright Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)33
35
Q2 - 7:43DENSmith Palming Turnover (P1.T7)33
33
Q2 - 7:49MIAWalker P.FOUL (P2.T3)33
33
Q2 - 8:03MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)33
33
Q2 - 8:12DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)33
30
Q2 - 8:19DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
30
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 8:27MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 8:27MIAHEAT Rebound31
29
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 231
29
Q2 - 8:27DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
29
Q2 - 8:43DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 8:43MIAPayton S.FOUL (P2.T2)30
29
Q2 - 8:43DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)30
29
Q2 - 8:54DENSUB: Anthony FOR Evans27
29
Q2 - 8:54MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade27
29
Q2 - 8:54MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)27
29
Q2 - 8:55DENNuggets Rebound27
29
Q2 - 8:57DENWright BLOCK (1 BLK)27
29
Q2 - 9:02MIAWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS)27
29
Q2 - 9:24DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)27
27
Q2 - 9:36DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)24
27
Q2 - 9:41MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)24
27
Q2 - 9:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
25
Q2 - 9:49DENMISS Boykins 9' Running Jump Shot24
25
Q2 - 10:08MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)24
25
Q2 - 10:20DENSUB: Smith FOR Johnson24
22
Q2 - 10:20DENJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)24
22
Q2 - 10:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
22
Q2 - 10:28DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
22
Q2 - 10:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
22
Q2 - 10:44MIAMourning Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
22
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup24
20
Q2 - 11:00MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
20
Q2 - 11:03DENPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)24
20
Q2 - 11:25MIASUB: Mourning FOR Haslem24
20
Q2 - 11:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
20
Q2 - 11:25DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
19
Q2 - 11:25MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
19
Q2 - 11:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
17
Q2 - 11:33DENMISS Boykins Driving Layup24
17
Q2 - 11:41DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
17
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
17
Q2 - 12:0024
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
17
Q1 - 0:21.0DENWalker STEAL (1 STL)24
17
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
17
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
17
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot24
17
Q1 - 0:52.0DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
17
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot24
17
Q1 - 1:14DENAnthony Driving Dunk (10 PTS)24
17
Q1 - 1:22MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
17
Q1 - 1:26DENPosey STEAL (1 STL)22
15
Q1 - 1:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
15
Q1 - 1:33DENMISS Boykins 14' Jump Bank Shot22
15
Q1 - 1:38DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 1:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
15
Q1 - 1:49DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 1:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
15
Q1 - 1:57DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 2:16MIAPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
15
Q1 - 2:39DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
15
Q1 - 2:49DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
15
Q1 - 2:59MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
15
Q1 - 3:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
13
Q1 - 3:07DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
13
Q1 - 3:16MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
13
Q1 - 3:26DENSUB: Boykins FOR Miller22
11
Q1 - 3:26DENMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
11
Q1 - 3:26DENMiller OFF.Foul (P2)22
11
Q1 - 3:31DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
11
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot22
11
Q1 - 3:38MIAHEAT Rebound22
11
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup22
11
Q1 - 3:54DENMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
11
Q1 - 4:06DENSUB: Smith FOR Najera19
11
Q1 - 4:06DENNuggets Rebound19
11
Q1 - 4:06DENWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)19
11
Q1 - 4:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
11
Q1 - 4:19MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
11
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Layup19
9
Q1 - 4:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
9
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
9
Q1 - 4:49MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
9
Q1 - 5:04DENAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)19
6
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)19
6
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)19
5
Q1 - 5:13DENSUB: Johnson FOR Smith19
4
Q1 - 5:13MIAHEAT Rebound19
4
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 319
4
Q1 - 5:13MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning19
4
Q1 - 5:13DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.T4)19
4
Q1 - 5:38DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
4
Q1 - 5:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
4
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot17
4
Q1 - 6:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)17
4
Q1 - 6:06DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
4
Q1 - 6:17DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
4
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Posey 16' Jump Shot15
4
Q1 - 6:24MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker15
4
Q1 - 6:24MIASUB: Wright FOR Payton15
4
Q1 - 6:24DENNajera P.FOUL (P1.T3)15
4
Q1 - 6:39DENSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)15
4
Q1 - 6:46MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
4
Q1 - 6:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
4
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot13
4
Q1 - 7:02MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
4
Q1 - 7:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
4
Q1 - 7:20DENCamby Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)13
4
Q1 - 7:23DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
4
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Haslem Layup11
4
Q1 - 7:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
4
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot11
4
Q1 - 7:38DENSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
4
Q1 - 7:48DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
4
Q1 - 7:48MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
4
Q1 - 7:48DENMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
4
Q1 - 7:51DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
4
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup8
4
Q1 - 8:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
4
Q1 - 8:07DENMISS Najera 21' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:10MIAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
4
Q1 - 8:13MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 8:23DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
4
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:44DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)8
4
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:16DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 9:22DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
2
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 9:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 9:42DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 9:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
2
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:15DENNajera Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 10:28DENMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:51DENCamby Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:19DENMISS Camby Driving Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:47DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Camby: Tip to Miller0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
28
71%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
DEN
14
34
41%
MIA
4
22
18%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
27
22%
33%
MIA
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
Free Throws
DEN
26
29
90%
MIA
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3357%16.5 / 29
A. Miller2981%14.5 / 18
M. Camby1568%7.5 / 11
J. Smith950%4.5 / 9
E. Boykins833%4.0 / 12
R. Evans880%4.0 / 5
E. Najera467%2.0 / 3
Y. Diawara338%1.5 / 4
L. Kleiza350%1.5 / 3
J. Smith0-0.0 / 2
D. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3766%18.5 / 28
A. Walker2265%11.0 / 17
D. Wright1359%6.5 / 11
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
A. Mourning956%4.5 / 8
J. Posey950%4.5 / 9
G. Payton338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+19
-13
103
MIA
79
+11
-17
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
104.2
DEN 115.5 +6.1
MIA 109.4
Pace
97.2
90.1
DEN 102.3 +10.9
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.5
DEN 14.1 −1.7
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.6%
DEN 48.3%
MIA 53.2% +4.9%
TO %
16.5%
15.3%
DEN 12.1% −4.7%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
28.9%
24.9%
DEN 30.2% +9.3%
MIA 20.9%
FTrt
36.0
32.1
DEN 32.6
MIA 36.4 +3.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
57.6%
DEN 60.0% +1.2%
MIA 58.8%
STL %
8.5%
7.6%
DEN 12.4% +7.2%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
7.9%
8.8%
DEN 10.6%
MIA 11.3% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.4%
DEN 54.4%
MIA 58.3% +3.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.8%
DEN 71.4% +7.4%
MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%
39.1%
40.5%
DEN 41.2% +23.0%
MIA 18.2%
3P %
33.6%
34.3%
DEN 22.2%
MIA 46.7% +24.5%
FT %
74.6%
69.0%
DEN 89.7% +7.6%
MIA 82.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
34.9%
DEN 31.5%
MIA 32.5% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
39.0%
40.7%
DEN 38.2%
MIA 28.6% −9.6%
3P Att. %
21.2%
24.5%
DEN 30.3%
MIA 39.0% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points112105
Rebounds4739
Assists2420
Steals125
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals40-8934-77
At-the-Rim FG20-2816-25
Midrange FG14-344-22
2-Point FG34-6220-47
3-Point FG6-2714-30
Free Throws26-2923-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
41.6
33
57%
6
4
3
0
4
1
2
4
7-8
88%
13-24
54%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
36.8
29
81%
8
10
3
0
1
2
1
7
9-9
100%
7-10
70%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
34.3
15
68%
11
2
1
4
2
4
2
9
3-5
60%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
26.8
4
67%
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 21
18.1
9
50%
2
2
2
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
G · 5'5" 133 · 30
23.4
8
33%
1
5
1
1
3
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
1-6
17%
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26
16.6
8
80%
6
0
0
0
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24
14.9
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
14.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27
6.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 22
6.2
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24
#32 · G · 6'7" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
54%
47
24
12
5
13
0
13
34
26-29
90%
34-62
55%
6-27
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.