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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Nuggets34%97112
6Heat66%102105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
41.6
34.7
33
56%
6
4
3
1
0
4
2
4
7-8
88%
13-24
9-19
54%
48%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
36.8
34.1
29
76%
8
10
3
1
0
1
1
7
9-9
100%
7-10
5-11
70%
46%
2-5
40%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
34.3
29.3
15
67%
11
2
1
1
4
2
2
9
3-5
60%
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.3
26.8
24.6
4
67%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
18.1
31.1
9
48%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.5
23.4
24.8
8
32%
1
5
1
1
1
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
1-6
17%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.5
16.6
16.4
8
82%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
14.9
6.5
3
34%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.3
14.3
15.0
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.5
6.9
15.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.9
6.2
4.2
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-3
33%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
44.6
40.3
37
65%
8
11
2
2
0
6
1
7
16-17
94%
6-16
9-18
38%
51%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
41.2
34.8
12
52%
10
0
0
1
0
1
5
5
0-1
0%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
39.1
35.8
22
65%
4
1
1
1
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
5-11
45%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
28.9
12.8
9
59%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
5-6
83%
2-5
1-3
40%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
20.4
35.3
3
34%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.9
35.9
14.0
13
57%
0
3
0
1
4
2
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
2-5
40%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.8
28.0
26.0
9
50%
9
1
1
1
1
2
0
9
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
1.9
8.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
5.0
0
1-1
44%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
3.9
0
1-1
48%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.