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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats34%9385
19Hornets66%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.1
42.8
37.0
25
73%
16
1
0
1
7
1
4
12
3-7
43%
11-14
6-13
79%
44%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.3
41.2
26.5
21
54%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-3
33%
7-13
3-6
54%
43%
2-5
40%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
31.9
30.1
7
41%
4
5
0
1
1
3
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
3-8
43%
41%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.0
26.1
37.4
4
29%
3
3
1
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
5-11
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
23.7
34.0
1
9%
1
2
0
2
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
5-9
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.6
28.7
19.6
18
48%
11
1
0
1
2
4
5
6
4-6
67%
7-16
3-7
44%
45%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
27.3
8.3
5
32%
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
45%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.5
5.8
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
4.9
17.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
4.0
9.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.2
3.7
9.8
2
114%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
9.9
0
1-3
48%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.1
40.5
29.0
2
17%
15
1
0
1
1
2
3
12
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.4
37.7
31.6
42
82%
8
0
2
1
1
3
1
7
7-8
88%
10-12
4-8
83%
48%
5-10
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.5
32.9
35.6
2
11%
2
10
3
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-7
6-12
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.1
32.3
31.9
8
32%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-11
5-11
27%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.5
10.7
3.7
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.7
26.1
24.2
14
57%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.4
17.9
6.4
8
40%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-1
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
15.7
14.2
2
17%
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.1
14.4
11.1
10
63%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
40%
0-2
0%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
11.9
14.5
4
52%
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
12.0
0
1-3
48%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
1.8
0
0-0
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.