FinalWin Prob.pScore
239%90
92
161%94
84
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.48989.7
HOU logo HOU
92.39190.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Head Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)92
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 1:05HOUROCKETS Rebound92
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 1:07SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot92
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 1:21HOUYao Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)92
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 1:34SASYao STEAL (4 STL)92
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 1:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 1:51HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot92
98.4%
83
1.6%
Q4 - 2:09SASParker 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
97.3%
83
2.7%
Q4 - 2:29HOUHead Foul Turnover (P4.T8)90
96.6%
83
3.4%
Q4 - 2:38SASDuncan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)90
93.3%
83
6.7%
Q4 - 3:05HOUBattier 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)88
89.4%
83
10.6%
Q4 - 3:22SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)88
91.7%
81
8.3%
Q4 - 3:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q4 - 3:28HOUMISS Yao Layup88
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 3:44HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
88.8%
81
11.2%
Q4 - 3:46SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot88
90.0%
81
10.0%
Q4 - 4:02HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
92.4%
81
7.6%
Q4 - 4:02HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
92.8%
80
7.2%
Q4 - 4:11HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
94.6%
79
5.4%
Q4 - 4:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 188
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 4:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
92.6%
79
7.4%
Q4 - 4:24HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot86
91.7%
79
8.3%
Q4 - 4:35SASGinobili Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)86
89.4%
79
10.6%
Q4 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
85.7%
79
14.3%
Q4 - 4:53HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q4 - 5:11SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)84
75.9%
79
24.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q4 - 5:31HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot82
67.5%
79
32.5%
Q4 - 5:45SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)82
62.0%
79
38.0%
Q4 - 5:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
45.9%
79
54.1%
Q4 - 6:01HOUMISS McGrady 18' Turnaround Jump Shot79
42.5%
79
57.5%
Q4 - 6:21HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
36.8%
79
63.2%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
39.3%
79
60.7%
Q4 - 6:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
45.2%
79
54.8%
Q4 - 6:43HOUMISS Yao Layup79
42.6%
79
57.4%
Q4 - 7:11SASGinobili Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
31.7%
79
68.3%
Q4 - 7:25HOUMISS Padgett Layup77
29.7%
79
70.3%
Q4 - 7:27HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
25.3%
79
74.7%
Q4 - 7:30HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot77
29.7%
79
70.3%
Q4 - 7:41HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
25.3%
79
74.7%
Q4 - 7:41HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 277
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q4 - 7:41HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
27.1%
79
72.9%
Q4 - 8:00HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
30.9%
78
69.1%
Q4 - 8:02SASMISS Elson 12' Jump Shot77
33.6%
78
66.4%
Q4 - 8:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
37.7%
78
62.3%
Q4 - 8:15HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
35.9%
78
64.1%
Q4 - 8:42SASGinobili Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)77
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q4 - 8:56HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)75
26.6%
78
73.4%
Q4 - 9:13HOUROCKETS Rebound75
37.5%
75
62.5%
Q4 - 9:15SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
39.3%
75
60.7%
Q4 - 9:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
43.5%
75
56.5%
Q4 - 9:33HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
41.7%
75
58.3%
Q4 - 9:40SASPadgett STEAL (1 STL)75
37.5%
75
62.5%
Q4 - 9:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
43.5%
75
56.5%
Q4 - 9:53HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
41.7%
75
58.3%
Q4 - 10:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
37.3%
75
62.7%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Finley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot75
39.1%
75
60.9%
Q4 - 10:25HOUHead Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)75
43.2%
75
56.8%
Q4 - 10:46SASHorry Dunk (10 PTS)75
37.3%
75
62.7%
Q4 - 10:50HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)73
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q4 - 11:02HOUROCKETS Rebound73
28.0%
75
72.0%
Q4 - 11:02SASMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot73
29.4%
75
70.6%
Q4 - 11:15SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
32.8%
75
67.2%
Q4 - 11:17HOUMISS Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot73
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q4 - 11:36SASFinley 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
28.0%
75
72.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
24.0%
75
76.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
24.0%
75
76.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Yao 10' Hook Shot71
22.7%
75
77.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)71
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Yao Layup68
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
12.5%
75
87.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot68
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 1:06SASUdrih Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 1:10HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)66
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q3 - 1:26SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
9.3%
75
90.7%
Q3 - 1:35SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 1:36HOUMISS Yao Layup63
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 1:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 1:39HOUMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot63
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 1:59SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)63
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 2:07SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 2:09HOUMISS McGrady 12' Jump Bank Shot60
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 2:15HOUROCKETS Rebound60
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 2:16HOUMISS McGrady 9' Running Jump Shot60
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 2:36SASFinley Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 2:44SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:45HOUMISS Howard Layup58
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 2:59HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Horry 10' Jump Bank Shot58
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 3:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:19HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot58
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 3:26SASMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)58
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 3:38HOUROCKETS Rebound58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:38HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:38HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 258
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 3:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 257
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 4:12SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 4:14HOUMISS Mutombo 11' Jump Shot57
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 4:38SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 4:57HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:15HOUROCKETS Rebound55
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 5:15SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot55
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 5:31HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 5:31HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 255
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 5:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 5:37SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot55
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 5:44HOUBattier Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)55
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 6:04HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan Layup55
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 6:18HOUAlston Layup (9 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)55
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 6:22SASYao STEAL (3 STL)55
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 6:41HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 255
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q3 - 6:41HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 6:52SASElson Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)55
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 7:01HOUYao Layup (16 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)53
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 7:17SASElson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)53
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 7:39HOUAlston 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)51
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 7:44HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 7:46SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 7:59HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot51
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 8:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 8:09SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q3 - 8:33HOUYao 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)49
7.5%
63
92.5%
Q3 - 8:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 8:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 8:48SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 9:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 9:08HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 9:24SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 9:31HOUMISS McGrady Layup49
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 9:44SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 9:55HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)49
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 10:25SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 10:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 10:33HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot47
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 10:51SASOberto Layup (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)47
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q3 - 11:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 11:03HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot45
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q3 - 11:28SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)45
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Head 1 AST)43
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot43
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)43
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMutombo Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)43
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Mutombo Layup43
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Head 5' Running Jump Shot43
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUROCKETS Rebound43
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)43
16.9%
51
83.1%
Q2 - 1:20HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q2 - 1:20HOUMcGrady Tip Shot (18 PTS)43
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q2 - 1:21HOUMISS Head Layup43
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q2 - 1:26SASAlston STEAL (2 STL)43
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 1:30HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)43
22.3%
49
77.7%
Q2 - 1:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 1:42SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 242
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q2 - 2:00HOUMcGrady 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)42
20.1%
49
79.9%
Q2 - 2:27SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS)42
23.3%
47
76.7%
Q2 - 2:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 2:40HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q2 - 3:02SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q2 - 3:11SASSpurs Rebound38
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot38
16.5%
47
83.5%
Q2 - 3:27SASSpurs Rebound38
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 3:28HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 3:34SASBattier STEAL (1 STL)38
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q2 - 3:46HOUHead 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 3:50HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 3:51SASMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)38
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:53SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Barry Layup38
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:56SASMISS Barry 12' Running Jump Shot38
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 4:16SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 4:18HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 4:39SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)38
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 4:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot38
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 5:03HOUMutombo Layup (2 PTS)38
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 5:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMISS Battier Layup38
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 5:22HOUROCKETS Rebound38
23.9%
43
76.1%
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot38
24.5%
43
75.5%
Q2 - 5:36SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 5:38HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot38
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 6:05SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
24.0%
43
76.0%
Q2 - 6:21HOUPadgett 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)36
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 6:29HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 6:31SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot36
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 6:49HOUPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)36
28.7%
40
71.3%
Q2 - 7:08SASYao STEAL (2 STL)36
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 7:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 7:15HOUMISS Yao 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 7:27SASAlston STEAL (1 STL)36
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 7:48HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)36
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 8:04SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
40.3%
34
59.7%
Q2 - 8:04SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 8:19HOUAlston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)34
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 8:33SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 8:33SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 8:57HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 9:21SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Elson 2 AST)32
37.7%
31
62.3%
Q2 - 9:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
35.6%
31
64.4%
Q2 - 9:29HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot30
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q2 - 9:51SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q2 - 10:03SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 10:05HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 10:22SASGinobili 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)27
26.8%
31
73.2%
Q2 - 10:35HOUYao Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)25
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 10:53SASElson 11' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)25
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q2 - 11:08HOUYao 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)23
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 11:26HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q2 - 11:28SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot23
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q2 - 11:44SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 223
28.6%
27
71.4%
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 223
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU23
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASElson Dunk (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)23
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)21
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot18
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 1:17HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (12 PTS)18
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 1:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
25.4%
23
74.6%
Q1 - 1:28SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
25.8%
23
74.2%
Q1 - 1:48SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 1:49HOUMISS Alston Layup18
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q1 - 2:07HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
25.4%
23
74.6%
Q1 - 2:09SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot18
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 2:26SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q1 - 2:27HOUMISS Mutombo Layup18
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 2:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
25.4%
23
74.6%
Q1 - 2:29HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup18
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 2:50SASDuncan Layup (8 PTS)18
25.4%
23
74.6%
Q1 - 3:07HOUAlston 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
25.4%
21
74.6%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 3:24SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 3:26HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot14
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q1 - 3:43HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 3:45SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot14
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 4:04HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)14
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 4:15HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Finley 11' Running Jump Shot14
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 4:39HOUYao Layup (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)14
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 4:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 4:54SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot14
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 5:05SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot14
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 5:26HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot14
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 5:45HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)14
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 5:57SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 6:15HOUHoward 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
34.5%
13
65.5%
Q1 - 6:17HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 6:21HOUMISS Battier 7' Hook Shot12
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 6:35SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 6:49HOUMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
38.2%
11
61.8%
Q1 - 6:53SASYao STEAL (1 STL)12
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 7:07HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)12
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 7:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 7:15SASMISS Parker Driving Layup12
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 7:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
43.4%
8
56.6%
Q1 - 7:22HOUMISS Yao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot12
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 7:47SASElson Layup (4 PTS)12
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 7:49SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 7:51SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot10
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 8:02HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 8:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 8:02HOUHoward Layup (2 PTS)10
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 8:03HOUMISS McGrady Layup10
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 8:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 8:37HOUMISS Yao Layup8
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 8:54SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 8:54SASElson Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)8
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 8:55SASMISS Parker Layup6
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 9:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.9%
5
62.1%
Q1 - 9:05HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot6
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 9:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 9:28SASBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)6
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 9:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.9%
5
62.1%
Q1 - 9:47HOUMISS McGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot6
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 10:01SASParker Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:18HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 10:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.7%
3
64.3%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot4
36.3%
3
63.7%
Q1 - 10:45HOUMcGrady Layup (2 PTS)4
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 11:03SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
39.2%
1
60.8%
Q1 - 11:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
35.7%
1
64.3%
Q1 - 11:11SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 21
34.3%
1
65.7%
Q1 - 11:11SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
35.1%
1
64.9%
Q1 - 11:25HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
34.0%
1
66.0%
Q1 - 11:25HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 20
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 11:39HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
35.7%
0
64.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.1%
HOU
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
25
68%
HOU
13
29
45%
Midrange
SAS
12
36
33%
HOU
9
32
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
HOU
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
SAS
13
17
76%
HOU
10
18
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1950%9.5 / 19
M. Ginobili1968%9.5 / 14
F. Elson1275%6.0 / 8
B. Udrih1192%5.5 / 6
R. Horry10100%5.0 / 5
T. Parker831%4.0 / 13
M. Finley844%4.0 / 9
F. Oberto375%1.5 / 2
B. Bowen233%1.0 / 3
B. Barry0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2648%13.0 / 27
Yao2040%10.0 / 25
R. Alston1255%6.0 / 11
L. Head633%3.0 / 9
S. Padgett675%3.0 / 4
S. Battier536%2.5 / 7
J. Howard550%2.5 / 5
D. Mutombo440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+9
-15
83
HOU
82
+13
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.1%
HOU
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
105.6
SAS 103.4
HOU 92.3 +11.1
Pace
89.8
91.1
SAS 89.7
HOU 90.2 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
SAS 16.0
HOU 16.0 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
49.9%
SAS 53.4% +9.4%
HOU 44.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
SAS 15.5%
HOU 8.9% +6.6%
ORB %
24.5%
25.7%
SAS 24.2% +3.8%
HOU 20.4%
FTrt
31.3
29.2
SAS 23.0 +1.6
HOU 21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
58.6%
SAS 47.2%
HOU 50.0% +2.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.8%
SAS 3.4%
HOU 11.0% +7.6%
BLK %
7.8%
6.5%
SAS 9.8% +3.2%
HOU 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.3%
SAS 54.1% +9.4%
HOU 44.7%
Rim FG%
62.1%
56.2%
SAS 68.0% +23.2%
HOU 44.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.0%
SAS 33.3% +5.2%
HOU 28.1%
3P %
38.1%
37.2%
SAS 53.8% +10.3%
HOU 43.5%
FT %
75.1%
75.3%
SAS 76.5% +20.9%
HOU 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
30.3%
SAS 33.8%
HOU 34.5% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
40.7%
SAS 48.6%
HOU 38.1% +10.6%
3P Att. %
24.7%
29.0%
SAS 17.6%
HOU 27.4% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points9284
Rebounds5136
Assists1716
Steals310
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (1)25 (6)
Field Goals36-7432-84
At-the-Rim FG17-2513-29
Midrange FG12-369-32
2-Point FG29-6122-61
3-Point FG7-1310-23
Free Throws13-1710-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
37.0
19
50%
15
2
0
3
4
4
2
13
5-7
71%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
35.9
2
33%
4
3
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
34.7
19
68%
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
29.6
8
31%
4
5
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
5.4
3
75%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31
26.8
12
75%
7
2
0
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
23.9
10
100%
4
1
2
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
22.4
8
44%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
18.4
11
92%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-3
100%
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
51
17
3
6
15
0
8
43
13-17
76%
29-61
48%
7-13
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.