Final Win Prob. pScore
239%90
92
161%94
84
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
103.48989.7
HOU logo Rockets
92.39190.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Head Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Yao92
84
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Horry92
84
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSUB: Oberto FOR Parker92
83
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Ginobili92
83
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSUB: Udrih FOR Duncan92
83
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen92
83
Q4 - 0:26.0SASDuncan S.FOUL (P4.T3)92
83
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:05HOUROCKETS Rebound92
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 1:07SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot92
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 1:21HOUYao Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)92
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 1:34SASYao STEAL (4 STL)92
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 1:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 1:51HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot92
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 2:09SASParker 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
98.4%
83
1.6%
Q4 - 2:29SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson90
83
Q4 - 2:29SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)90
83
Q4 - 2:29HOUHead Foul Turnover (P4.T8)90
97.8%
83
2.2%
Q4 - 2:29HOUHead OFF.Foul (P1)90
83
Q4 - 2:38SASDuncan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)90
95.8%
83
4.2%
Q4 - 3:05HOUBattier 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)88
92.4%
83
7.6%
Q4 - 3:22SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)88
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q4 - 3:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
96.9%
81
3.1%
Q4 - 3:28HOUMISS Yao Layup88
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q4 - 3:44HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
91.3%
81
8.7%
Q4 - 3:46SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot88
92.3%
81
7.7%
Q4 - 4:02HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
94.3%
81
5.7%
Q4 - 4:02HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
94.6%
80
5.4%
Q4 - 4:02SASSUB: Elson FOR Horry88
79
Q4 - 4:02SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.T2)88
79
Q4 - 4:11HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
96.0%
79
4.0%
Q4 - 4:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 188
96.2%
79
3.8%
Q4 - 4:11HOUYao S.FOUL (P4.T1)88
79
Q4 - 4:11SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)88
79
Q4 - 4:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q4 - 4:24HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot86
93.7%
79
6.3%
Q4 - 4:34HOUSUB: Battier FOR Padgett86
79
Q4 - 4:34HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)86
79
Q4 - 4:35SASGinobili Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)86
91.9%
79
8.1%
Q4 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 4:53HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
87.5%
79
12.5%
Q4 - 5:11SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)84
79.9%
79
20.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
74.4%
79
25.6%
Q4 - 5:31HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot82
72.3%
79
27.7%
Q4 - 5:41HOUSUB: Alston FOR Battier82
79
Q4 - 5:41HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)82
79
Q4 - 5:45SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)82
67.1%
79
32.9%
Q4 - 5:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
51.2%
79
48.8%
Q4 - 6:01HOUMISS McGrady 18' Turnaround Jump Shot79
47.7%
79
52.3%
Q4 - 6:21HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
42.3%
79
57.7%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
44.7%
79
55.3%
Q4 - 6:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
50.2%
79
49.8%
Q4 - 6:43HOUMISS Yao Layup79
47.8%
79
52.2%
Q4 - 6:45HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo79
79
Q4 - 7:11SASGinobili Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
41.9%
79
58.1%
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
35.7%
79
64.3%
Q4 - 7:25HOUMISS Padgett Layup77
33.7%
79
66.3%
Q4 - 7:27HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
29.1%
79
70.9%
Q4 - 7:30HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot77
33.7%
79
66.3%
Q4 - 7:41HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
29.1%
79
70.9%
Q4 - 7:41HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 277
34.8%
79
65.2%
Q4 - 7:41HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q4 - 7:41SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih77
78
Q4 - 7:41SASSUB: Horry FOR Finley77
78
Q4 - 7:41SASSUB: Bowen FOR Elson77
78
Q4 - 7:41HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao77
78
Q4 - 7:4177
78
Q4 - 7:41SASElson S.FOUL (P4.T1)77
78
Q4 - 8:00HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q4 - 8:02SASMISS Elson 12' Jump Shot77
37.9%
78
62.1%
Q4 - 8:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q4 - 8:15HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
40.2%
78
59.8%
Q4 - 8:42SASGinobili Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)77
36.1%
78
63.9%
Q4 - 8:56HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)75
30.1%
78
69.9%
Q4 - 9:13HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Alston75
75
Q4 - 9:13SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry75
75
Q4 - 9:13HOUROCKETS Rebound75
42.4%
75
57.6%
Q4 - 9:15SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
44.1%
75
55.9%
Q4 - 9:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
48.1%
75
51.9%
Q4 - 9:33HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
46.3%
75
53.7%
Q4 - 9:40SASPadgett STEAL (1 STL)75
42.4%
75
57.6%
Q4 - 9:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
48.1%
75
51.9%
Q4 - 9:53HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
46.4%
75
53.6%
Q4 - 10:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
42.0%
75
58.0%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Finley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot75
43.7%
75
56.3%
Q4 - 10:25HOUHead Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)75
47.6%
75
52.4%
Q4 - 10:46SASHorry Dunk (10 PTS)75
42.1%
75
57.9%
Q4 - 10:50HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)73
36.5%
75
63.5%
Q4 - 11:02HOUROCKETS Rebound73
32.1%
75
67.9%
Q4 - 11:02SASMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot73
33.4%
75
66.6%
Q4 - 11:15SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
36.6%
75
63.4%
Q4 - 11:17HOUMISS Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot73
35.2%
75
64.8%
Q4 - 11:36SASFinley 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
32.0%
75
68.0%
Q4 - 11:46HOUBattier Violation:Kicked Ball71
75
Q4 - 12:0071
75
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
27.3%
75
72.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
27.3%
75
72.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Yao 10' Hook Shot71
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)71
24.2%
75
75.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Yao Layup68
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot68
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 1:06SASUdrih Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
15.2%
75
84.8%
Q3 - 1:10HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)66
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q3 - 1:26SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
10.8%
75
89.2%
Q3 - 1:35SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 1:36HOUMISS Yao Layup63
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 1:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 1:39HOUMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot63
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 1:59SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)63
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 2:07SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 2:09HOUMISS McGrady 12' Jump Bank Shot60
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 2:15HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo60
75
Q3 - 2:15SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan60
75
Q3 - 2:15HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)60
75
Q3 - 2:15HOUROCKETS Rebound60
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 2:16HOUMISS McGrady 9' Running Jump Shot60
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 2:36SASFinley Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 2:44SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 2:45HOUMISS Howard Layup58
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 2:59HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Horry 10' Jump Bank Shot58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:19HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot58
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 3:26SASMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)58
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 3:38HOUROCKETS Rebound58
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:38HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:38HOUSUB: Snyder FOR Battier58
74
Q3 - 3:38HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 258
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:38SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
74
Q3 - 3:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 3:56SASSpurs Rebound57
74
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 257
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 3:56SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker57
74
Q3 - 3:56HOUHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
74
Q3 - 4:12SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 4:14HOUMISS Mutombo 11' Jump Shot57
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 4:38SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 4:57HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 5:15SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson55
71
Q3 - 5:15HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao55
71
Q3 - 5:15HOUROCKETS Rebound55
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 5:15SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot55
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 5:31HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 5:31HOUROCKETS Rebound55
70
Q3 - 5:31HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 255
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 5:31SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili55
70
Q3 - 5:31SASElson S.FOUL (P3.T4)55
70
Q3 - 5:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 5:37SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot55
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 5:44HOUBattier Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)55
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 5:44HOUBattier OFF.Foul (P2)55
70
Q3 - 6:04SASElson L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)55
70
Q3 - 6:04HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan Layup55
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 6:18HOUAlston Layup (9 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)55
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 6:22SASYao STEAL (3 STL)55
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 6:41HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 255
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 6:41HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 6:41SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T2)55
67
Q3 - 6:52SASElson Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)55
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:01HOUYao Layup (16 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)53
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 7:17SASElson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)53
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 7:36SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)51
65
Q3 - 7:39HOUAlston 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)51
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 7:44HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 7:46SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q3 - 7:59HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot51
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 8:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 8:09SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 8:09HOUYao S.FOUL (P3.T1)49
63
Q3 - 8:33HOUYao 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)49
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 8:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 8:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 8:48SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)49
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 9:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 9:08HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 9:24SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 9:31HOUMISS McGrady Layup49
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 9:44SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto49
61
Q3 - 9:44SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 9:44SASOberto OFF.Foul (P4)49
61
Q3 - 9:55HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)49
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 10:25SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 10:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 10:33HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot47
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 10:51SASOberto Layup (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)47
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 11:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
10.9%
58
89.1%
Q3 - 11:03HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot45
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q3 - 11:15SASOberto P.FOUL (P3.T1)45
58
Q3 - 11:28SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)45
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q3 - 12:0043
56
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Head 1 AST)43
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot43
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)43
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMutombo Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)43
18.1%
51
81.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Mutombo Layup43
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Head 5' Running Jump Shot43
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUROCKETS Rebound43
18.1%
51
81.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)43
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q2 - 1:20HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 1:20HOUMcGrady Tip Shot (18 PTS)43
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 1:21HOUMISS Head Layup43
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 1:26SASAlston STEAL (2 STL)43
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 1:30HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)43
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q2 - 1:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 1:42HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao42
49
Q2 - 1:42SASSpurs Rebound42
49
Q2 - 1:42SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 242
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 1:42HOUYao S.FOUL (P2.T4)42
49
Q2 - 2:00HOUMcGrady 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)42
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q2 - 2:10SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker42
47
Q2 - 2:10SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T4)42
47
Q2 - 2:27SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS)42
25.0%
47
75.0%
Q2 - 2:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
22.7%
47
77.3%
Q2 - 2:40HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
22.0%
47
78.0%
Q2 - 2:54HOUSUB: Alston FOR Padgett40
47
Q2 - 2:54HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo40
47
Q2 - 2:54SASSUB: Finley FOR Barry40
47
Q2 - 2:54SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Elson40
47
Q2 - 2:54HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
47
Q2 - 3:02SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 3:11SASSpurs Rebound38
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot38
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 3:27SASSpurs Rebound38
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q2 - 3:28HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 3:34SASBattier STEAL (1 STL)38
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q2 - 3:46HOUHead 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q2 - 3:50HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 3:51SASMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)38
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 3:53SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Barry Layup38
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 3:56SASMISS Barry 12' Running Jump Shot38
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 4:05HOUMutombo P.FOUL (P1.T3)38
45
Q2 - 4:16SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 4:18HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q2 - 4:39SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)38
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 4:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot38
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 5:03HOUMutombo Layup (2 PTS)38
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 5:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
25.7%
43
74.3%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMISS Battier Layup38
27.3%
43
72.7%
Q2 - 5:14SASBarry P.FOUL (P2.T3)38
43
Q2 - 5:22HOUROCKETS Rebound38
25.7%
43
74.3%
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot38
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 5:36SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
27.9%
43
72.1%
Q2 - 5:38HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot38
27.2%
43
72.8%
Q2 - 5:51HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao38
43
Q2 - 5:51SASSUB: Elson FOR Horry38
43
Q2 - 5:51SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
43
Q2 - 6:05SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
25.7%
43
74.3%
Q2 - 6:21HOUPadgett 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)36
23.9%
43
76.1%
Q2 - 6:29HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
28.0%
40
72.0%
Q2 - 6:31SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot36
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 6:40SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili36
40
Q2 - 6:40HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Alston36
40
Q2 - 6:40SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
40
Q2 - 6:49HOUPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)36
30.8%
40
69.2%
Q2 - 7:08SASYao STEAL (2 STL)36
35.5%
37
64.5%
Q2 - 7:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 7:15HOUMISS Yao 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
37.4%
37
62.6%
Q2 - 7:27SASAlston STEAL (1 STL)36
35.5%
37
64.5%
Q2 - 7:48HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)36
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 8:04SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 8:04SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 8:04HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
34
Q2 - 8:19SASSUB: Barry FOR Finley34
34
Q2 - 8:19HOUAlston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)34
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 8:33SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 8:33SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
37.8%
34
62.2%
Q2 - 8:33SASSUB: Duncan FOR Udrih32
34
Q2 - 8:33SASSUB: Parker FOR Elson32
34
Q2 - 8:33HOUSUB: Battier FOR Snyder32
34
Q2 - 8:3332
34
Q2 - 8:33HOUSnyder S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
34
Q2 - 8:57HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
35.5%
34
64.5%
Q2 - 9:21SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Elson 2 AST)32
40.4%
31
59.6%
Q2 - 9:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
37.9%
31
62.1%
Q2 - 9:29HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot30
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 9:51SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 10:03SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 10:05HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 10:22SASGinobili 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)27
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q2 - 10:35HOUYao Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)25
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 10:53SASElson 11' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)25
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 11:08HOUYao 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)23
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q2 - 11:26HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q2 - 11:28SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot23
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q2 - 11:44SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 223
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 11:44HOUROCKETS Rebound23
27
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 223
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 11:44SASUdrih S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
27
Q2 - 12:0023
27
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU23
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASElson Dunk (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)23
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)21
26.7%
27
73.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
24.8%
25
75.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot18
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q1 - 1:17HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (12 PTS)18
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q1 - 1:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
27.6%
23
72.4%
Q1 - 1:28SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 1:48SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 1:49HOUMISS Alston Layup18
28.5%
23
71.5%
Q1 - 2:03SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen18
23
Q1 - 2:03SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan18
23
Q1 - 2:03HOUSUB: Snyder FOR Battier18
23
Q1 - 2:03HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
23
Q1 - 2:07HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 2:09SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot18
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 2:26SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 2:27HOUMISS Mutombo Layup18
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 2:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 2:29HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup18
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 2:50HOUMutombo Violation:Defensive Goaltending18
23
Q1 - 2:50SASDuncan Layup (8 PTS)18
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 3:07HOUAlston 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
25.8%
23
74.2%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 3:14HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao14
21
Q1 - 3:14HOUBattier S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
21
Q1 - 3:24SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 3:26HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot14
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 3:43HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 3:45SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot14
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 4:04HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)14
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q1 - 4:04SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson14
20
Q1 - 4:04SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker14
20
Q1 - 4:04SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
20
Q1 - 4:04HOUYao Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)14
20
Q1 - 4:15HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Finley 11' Running Jump Shot14
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 4:39HOUYao Layup (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)14
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 4:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:54SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot14
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 5:05SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot14
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 5:26HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot14
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:36SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili14
16
Q1 - 5:36SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
16
Q1 - 5:45HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)14
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 5:57SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 6:15HOUHoward 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 6:17HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:21HOUMISS Battier 7' Hook Shot12
40.3%
11
59.7%
Q1 - 6:35SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:49HOUMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 6:49HOUMcGrady OFF.Foul (P1)12
11
Q1 - 6:53SASYao STEAL (1 STL)12
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:07HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)12
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 7:15SASMISS Parker Driving Layup12
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 7:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 7:22HOUMISS Yao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot12
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 7:47SASElson Layup (4 PTS)12
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 7:49SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 7:51SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot10
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 8:02HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 8:02SASElson S.FOUL (P1.T4)10
7
Q1 - 8:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 8:02HOUHoward Layup (2 PTS)10
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 8:03HOUMISS McGrady Layup10
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 8:18HOUHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
5
Q1 - 8:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 8:37HOUMISS Yao Layup8
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 8:54SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 8:54SASElson Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)8
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 8:55SASMISS Parker Layup6
39.4%
5
60.6%
Q1 - 9:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.2%
5
59.8%
Q1 - 9:05HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot6
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:20SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto6
5
Q1 - 9:20SASOberto P.FOUL (P2.T3)6
5
Q1 - 9:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.1%
5
60.9%
Q1 - 9:28SASBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)6
39.4%
5
60.6%
Q1 - 9:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 9:47HOUMISS McGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot6
39.8%
5
60.2%
Q1 - 10:01SASParker Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
39.0%
5
61.0%
Q1 - 10:18HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 10:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.1%
3
60.9%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot4
39.3%
3
60.7%
Q1 - 10:45HOUMcGrady Layup (2 PTS)4
39.8%
3
60.2%
Q1 - 11:03SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
39.9%
1
60.1%
Q1 - 11:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
39.1%
1
60.9%
Q1 - 11:11SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 21
38.8%
1
61.2%
Q1 - 11:11SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
39.0%
1
61.0%
Q1 - 11:11HOUAlston S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
1
Q1 - 11:25HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
39.0%
1
61.0%
Q1 - 11:25HOUROCKETS Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:25HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 20
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:25SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T2)0
0
Q1 - 11:32SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:39HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.1%
HOU
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
25
68%
HOU
13
29
45%
Midrange
SAS
12
36
33%
HOU
9
32
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
HOU
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
SAS
13
17
76%
HOU
10
18
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1950%9.5 / 19
M. Ginobili1968%9.5 / 14
F. Elson1275%6.0 / 8
B. Udrih1192%5.5 / 6
R. Horry10100%5.0 / 5
T. Parker831%4.0 / 13
M. Finley844%4.0 / 9
F. Oberto375%1.5 / 2
B. Bowen233%1.0 / 3
B. Barry0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2648%13.0 / 27
Yao2040%10.0 / 25
R. Alston1255%6.0 / 11
L. Head633%3.0 / 9
S. Padgett675%3.0 / 4
S. Battier536%2.5 / 7
J. Howard550%2.5 / 5
D. Mutombo440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+9
-15
83
HOU
82
+13
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.1%
HOU
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
105.6
SAS 103.4 +11.1
HOU 92.3
Pace
89.8
91.1
SAS 89.7
HOU 90.2 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
SAS 16.0
HOU 16.0 −0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
49.9%
SAS 53.4% +9.4%
HOU 44.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
SAS 15.5%
HOU 8.9% −6.6%
ORB %
24.5%
25.7%
SAS 24.2% +3.8%
HOU 20.4%
FTrt
31.3
29.2
SAS 23.0 +1.6
HOU 21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
58.6%
SAS 47.2%
HOU 50.0% +2.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.8%
SAS 3.4%
HOU 11.0% +7.6%
BLK %
7.8%
6.5%
SAS 9.8% +3.2%
HOU 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.3%
SAS 54.1% +9.4%
HOU 44.7%
Rim FG%
62.1%
56.2%
SAS 68.0% +23.2%
HOU 44.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.0%
SAS 33.3% +5.2%
HOU 28.1%
3P %
38.1%
37.2%
SAS 53.8% +10.3%
HOU 43.5%
FT %
75.1%
75.3%
SAS 76.5% +20.9%
HOU 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
30.3%
SAS 33.8%
HOU 34.5% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
40.7%
SAS 48.6%
HOU 38.1% −10.6%
3P Att. %
24.7%
29.0%
SAS 17.6%
HOU 27.4% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points9284
Rebounds5136
Assists1716
Steals310
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (1)25 (6)
Field Goals36-7432-84
At-the-Rim FG17-2513-29
Midrange FG12-369-32
2-Point FG29-6122-61
3-Point FG7-1310-23
Free Throws13-1710-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
37.0
19
50%
15
2
0
3
4
4
2
13
5-7
71%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
35.9
2
33%
4
3
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
34.7
19
68%
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
29.6
8
31%
4
5
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
5.4
3
75%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31
26.8
12
75%
7
2
0
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
23.9
10
100%
4
1
2
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
22.4
8
44%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
18.4
11
92%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-3
100%
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
51
17
3
6
15
0
8
43
13-17
76%
29-61
48%
7-13
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.