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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls34%9299
3Mavericks66%97111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
42.3
35.7
25
61%
3
6
1
1
0
5
0
3
5-8
63%
10-16
4-9
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
41.6
31.3
24
79%
10
4
0
1
1
2
4
6
4-5
80%
10-13
5-11
77%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
34.9
37.7
6
37%
8
2
0
2
1
0
5
3
2-5
40%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
27.9
23.7
11
70%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
21.2
21.7
2
17%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
35.1
24.5
17
41%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
5-15
3-8
33%
43%
1-3
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
18.3
20.0
7
35%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
10.5
6.0
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
6.0
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.2
2.1
6.8
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
18.8
0
3-6
46%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
5.8
0
1-1
46%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
37.8
39.5
31
65%
10
1
0
1
1
2
0
10
11-11
100%
10-17
7-14
59%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
37.0
35.3
17
52%
5
5
0
1
1
2
1
4
5-5
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
35.8
24.1
14
88%
13
1
0
0
3
0
6
7
0-0
-
7-8
2-4
88%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
28.6
27.3
9
56%
1
5
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.0
26.1
32.3
21
63%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
43%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
27.0
21.2
8
51%
9
1
1
1
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.1
19.1
18.8
3
38%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
13.4
11.6
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
2-2
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
11.2
17.6
2
100%
2
0
0
1
5
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.8
3.9
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
0.3
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.5
5.6
0
0-1
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.